Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 08-03-2006, 05:59 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,310
Default SAR: Day 8 (Sort of..)

A bizarre and surreal scene Wednesday at the Spa as hundreds of people were dazed and confused upon the cancellation of racing.. a first in Saratoga history. It was the right decision.

Thursday, the potential for heavy weather makes the 8 race thoroughbred card (jumpers in the 1st) a dicey proposition. Slop/off the turf is a distinct possibility...

SELECTIONS -- Saratoga, Thursday, August 4, 2006


1st: Jumpers


2nd: MSW, 2yo fillies, 5f

1. #2 Seaside Affair 2-1: Frankel via Kenneally; Just missed in wide trip bow
2. #6 Cherokee Sheik 5-2: Mott-Zayat bay may have chased good ones
A. #1 Hatta Flower 9-2: 7/17 gate work (:48.1) says ready
B. #3 Tale of the Queen 12-1: Three straight 5f a.m. drills for MaryLou/Abreu

MOVE UPS ON WET: 1-3-4-8


3rd: OC/N3X, F&M-3+, 7f

1. #7 Platinee 8-1: Generous tote on Mott cutback candidate 3-1-1 last 5
2. #1e Frankel entry 1-1: #1 Indian Flare never off board in 7 career tries
A. #5 Better Now 5-1: Hennig Gr. III winner broke skid with GoGo last
B. #2 Unkatzable 9-2: Inclined to include DWL where he makes sense

MOVE UPS ON WET: 1-2-6


4th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f

A very nice group of statebred fillies...

1. #9 Her Royal Nibs 9-2: Note turf drill, Raphie; Always earns cash; 5yo v 3's
2. #6 Bella Dorato 10-1: Mile was out of her range; Cuts back, adds Leparoux
A. #4 Holy Kryptonite 7-2: Gyarmati grey gets better and better; ITM 6/6
B. #2 Token 5-1: Daughter of tragic Gold Token came late in 1st ALW try

LONGSHOT ALERT: Noticed late that #5 Mama Theresa (10-1) broke maiden here last year, would love it wet and goes Morales to Cornelio.. May get lost on board..

MOVE UPS ON WET: 4-5-6-7-9


5th: OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (Superfecta)

Looking to beat the ML favorite, #2 Summer Service, in solid group.. Probably smart if you cover him in exotics/multis, but we'll try to keep him out of the top three slots here..

1. #3 Ever a Friend 8-1: Happy to gobble up Clement-Bejarano at juicy tote
2. #1 Thatsmorelikeit 8-1: Fact J.R. moves here telegraphs Barbera's intent
A. #7 Museeb 5-1: Danzig bay loved the switch to turf sprinting
B. #9 All Hail Stormy 7-2: JJ 1-2-0 last 3 when paired with this serious horse

LONGSHOT ALERT/SUPER ADD-IN: #4 Theconfidenceman (15-1) returned as different horse at 5.. Johnny V. abandons in favor of the #1, but Leparoux an able sub..

OFF THE TURF/WET MOVE UPS: 1-5-7-9


6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f

1. #3 Chunk of Love 5-1: ITM 15 of 20 career, 9 of 10 trip... An equine ATM
2. #1e Lake entry 5-2: Here's another pair always around the money
A. #7 Bless My Mary 4-1: Tony D. winless but ITM 60% so far; 4/12 with Coa
B. #8 Kelly K's Pleasure 12-1: Yet another that rarely fails to place or show

MOVE UPS ON WET: Note #9 Itsayatesthing 2/2 in mud.. Others: 1-8


7th: CLM, 3yo, 6.5f

1. #7 Clear the Way 6-1: Romans stalker returns to claimers after ALW third
2. #4 Suave Jazz 7-2: A. Dutrow gelding won last but has had seconditis
A. #1 Time to Grow Up 4-1: Schosberg pace pony wired 2 back in BEL slop
B. #5 Garibaldi 5-1: $1.5 mill Tabor-Magnier-Smith buy yours for $100k today

MOVE UPS ON WET: 1-4-8


8th: 4th Statue of Liberty, $150,000, 3yo NYB fillies, 9f-IT (Superfecta)

1. #3 No Reason 10-1: Multiple NYB Stakes winner dangerous if able to grass
2. #10 Artistic Express 5-2: Corny has been moving Broman red up; Stretches
A. #9 Lick the Spoon 12-1: Allard brings Lycius miss "home"; Trouble in last
B. #8 My Interpretation 4-1: Kimmel going well; Freud bay working well

LONGSHOT ALERT/SUPER ADD-IN: #5 Point Me to It (15-1) would love it if it comes off turf but has been improving..

OFF THE TURF/WET MOVE-UPS: 3-5-10-12 (MTO #14)


9th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (Superfecta)

1. #9 One Traveler 5-1: Hill needs to work trip, but bay different hoss on lawn
2. #4 Daybeforeher B'day 4-1: Contessa gal gets hustling GoGo; Coa on #3
A. #1e Rice entry 5-2: #1a Lady Rizzi shaping up as long-term runner-up mdn
B. #3 Tomorrow's Nano 2-1: Coa sticks here and one behind in debut 2nd last

LONGSHOT ALERT/SUPER ADD-IN: #6 Regal Asset (20-1) showed speed from impossible post last time before fading.

OFF THE TURF/WET MOVE UPS: 1a-2b-4-9 (MTO #10)


CARRYOVER

Reminder that there is a $57k carryover still out there.. I wouldn't suggest playing it with all the uncertainty regarding the weather and surfaces, but here's an <$100 play...

4: 9
5: 1-3-7-9
6: 3
7: 1-4-7
8: 3-10
9: 3-9

1x4x1x3x2x2 = 48 x $2 = $96


Good luck..
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 08-03-2006, 07:56 AM
2 Dollar Bill 2 Dollar Bill is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: South Jersey
Posts: 1,994
Cool

A funny thing happen to me..... take the ride from vermont to the SPA,,,and find out its CLOSED..... (for the heat)... so as disappointment was on our faces...we say....""Hey lets stop in the Hall Of Fame"" ...and walk in to see the sign say....""Closed for a special event""... We did walk around quickly before getting thrown out....LOL. A very nice place ....a Must see when going to the track... Just pick the right day !!!
__________________
Ole' Timer says to another leaving Keystone Race Track (Philly )
...""Its a good thing I broke even today, I really
needed the money """!!!!
Gotta Love Horse Racing !!
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 08-03-2006, 12:11 PM
Hickory Hill Hoff's Avatar
Hickory Hill Hoff Hickory Hill Hoff is offline
Newmarket
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: the "Sand Flats"
Posts: 6,903
Default

What kinda price do you think we'll get on EVER A FRIEND?
Liked this runner all season, good spot here.
__________________
"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction"

http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 08-03-2006, 12:17 PM
paisjpq's Avatar
paisjpq paisjpq is offline
top predator.
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 5,020
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Hickory Hill Hoff
What kinda price do you think we'll get on EVER A FRIEND?
Liked this runner all season, good spot here.
I loved this horse @ 8-1, hope he gets overlooked.
__________________
Seek respect, not attention.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 08-03-2006, 12:23 PM
GPK GPK is offline
5'8".. but all man!
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: 3 miles from Chateuax de la Blaha
Posts: 21,706
Default

allright....more people jumping on another one of my horses

I don't know if EAF has the early speed to go with some of these, but a well timed ride by Bejerano could get the job done. He has beat better than these before (May 21 race) but its all in how he will take to the weeds.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 08-03-2006, 12:27 PM
paisjpq's Avatar
paisjpq paisjpq is offline
top predator.
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 5,020
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by GPK
allright....more people jumping on another one of my horses

I don't know if EAF has the early speed to go with some of these, but a well timed ride by Bejerano could get the job done. He has beat better than these before (May 21 race) but its all in how he will take to the weeds.
you can have him GPK, I just follow Liberation Bred horsees because I know and like Rob Whitely...I still love the horse @ those odds and hope he can get it done today.
__________________
Seek respect, not attention.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 08-03-2006, 12:39 PM
GPK GPK is offline
5'8".. but all man!
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: 3 miles from Chateuax de la Blaha
Posts: 21,706
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by paisjpq
you can have him GPK, I just follow Liberation Bred horsees because I know and like Rob Whitely...I still love the horse @ those odds and hope he can get it done today.

Only reason I ever started following him was because he went gate to wire in the race that Sunriver made his debut as well. I thought EAF looked very good in breaking his maiden first out, so I added him to my watch list. He is most likely gonna be making his way off my list soon.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 05:59 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.