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#1
05-23-2009, 03:35 AM
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5/23: Belmont; Arlington; Hollywood (P4's); Louisville H.
Outrageous holiday weekend of racing action kicks off the summer season Saturday with deep fields and compelling stakes across the map. Arlington has the intense slate with a stakes quad today, while Belmont, Monmouth and Hollywood all commence three day weekends highlighted by quality features. Churchill, Golden Gate, Calder, Philadelphia and Woodbine all have rich events on at least one of their holiday schedules, and Lone Star will draw their 6 stake (3 graded) Monday overnight today.
As discussed all week on "At the Races", momentum from highly-viewed and loud buzz Preakness has potential to carry over into meat of the sport's calendar, with the low cost appeal of "A Day at the Races", highly marketable to an entertainment-hungry public. Do what you can to take advantage and drag friends with you to the oval this weekend! My P4 looks at NY, Chicago and Los Angeles to get things started... Have a safe, enjoyable Memorial Day Weekend! BELMONT PARK POST-SCRATCHES 7th: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Important looking Maiden affair with host of fancy price tags and heritages; Storm Flag Flying's first drop debuts here and Shug told the ATR audience he is progressing nicely though today isn't necessarily the day.. Most Likely: #6 Ishtarry 9-2: $1MM Shadwell DistHum from KMc; Firing bullets.. 9th Best Value: #10 SCR Next Best: #11 Intrepid 7-2 6th Super Add: #4 Strasbourg 20-1 2nd 8th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f-T (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #1 Token Special 4-1 2nd Most Likely: #7 Wishful Star 3-1 WON Next Best: #6 Fiona Freud 5-2 3rd Super Add: #5 Green Harbor 10-1 5th 9th: 51st Sheepshead Bay (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 11f-T (DD, Super) Best Value: #5 Mushka 4-1: $10 inviting on Mott miss that is competitive again.. 2nd Most Likely: #3 Criticism 9-5: Albertrani mare has aced 3 of last 4 graded tries.. WON Next Best: #1 Backseat Rhythm 7-2 5th Super Add: #2 Venetian Causeway 15-1 6th 10th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 7f-T (Super) Most Likely: #5 Victorious Leader 7-2 5th Best Value: #3 Longing for Malibu 12-1 8th Next Best: #10 Compliance Officer 5-2 2nd Super Add: #7 Joey's Chance 15-1 WON <$75 P4 Play: 7: 2-4-6-11 8: 1-7 9: 1-3-5 10: 3-5-10 4x2x3x3 = $72 CHURCHILL DOWNS POST-SCRATCHES 10th: 72nd Louisville H. (Gr. III), 3+, 12f-T (DD, Super) Best Value: #2 Gangbuster 10-1: Rested since KEE stake demolition.. 6th Most Likely: #7 Brass Hat 4-1: Borel can't leave him with too much to do.. WON Next Best: #8 Spice Route 8-5: That price? 12f with Bridge? No thanks.. 2nd Super Add: #5 Always First 5-1: Can honor sire Barathea who passed this week.. 7th ARLINGTON PARK POST-SCRATCHES 8th: 2 American 1000 Guineas, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #7 Consequence 5-2 WON Best Value: #3 Hot Cha Cha 4-1 5th Next Best: #8 Afternoon Stroll 9-2 3rd Super Add: #6 Obsequious 7-2 6th 9th: 73rd Arlington Matron (Gr. III), F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #9 Indescribable 2-1 3rd Best Value: #10 Home's the Best 20-1 4th Next Best: #2 Kiss With a Twist 9-2 2nd Super Add: #7 Euphony 6-1 WON .50 Tri Spot Play: 9-10 with 2-7-9-10 with 2-3-4-7-8-9-10 (2x3x5 = 30 x .50 = $15.00) 10th: 57th Hanshin Cup (Gr. III), 3+, 1m (DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Stonehouse 3-1 5th Best Value: #5 Vacation 5-1 WON Next Best: #2 Cherokee Artist 7-2 3rd Super Add: #7 Amazing Results 5-1 4th 11th: 75th Arlington Classic, 3yo, 8.5f-T (Super) Giant Oak, if close to his best, can muscle this group. If you take that approach, load up under him with the big prices as all have a license to run well here... Fascinating wagering opportiunity. Most Likely: #3 Giant Oak 2-1 WON Best Value: #8 SCR Next Best: #10 Proceed Bee 20-1 7th Super Add: #5 Poltergeist 15-1 9th .50 Tri Spot Play: 3 with 5-6-10 with ALL (1x3x7 = 21 x .50 = $10.50) <$75 P4 Play: 8: 3-7-8 9: 2-7-9-10 10: 1-2-4-5-7-8 11: 3 3x4x6x1 = $72 $1 Pick 4 (5,7/7/5/3) Paid $792.80 HOLLYWOOD PARK POST-SCRATCHES 6th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #7 Bad Boy 5-2 3rd Best Value: #2 Tent 5-1 WON Next Best: #3 Scott's Spirit 7-2 5th Super Add: #13 Kilderry 3-1 2nd 7th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Valiant Effort 3rd Next Best: #4 Got Free 5-2 5th Best Value: #1 Nikki'sgoldensteed 8-1 WON 8th: 58th Milady H. (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 8.5f (DD, Super) Most Likely: #9 Zenyatta 3-5 WON Next Best: #7 Life is Sweet 5-2 2nd Best Value: #5 Champagne Eyes 8-1 5th Super Add: #3 Allicansayiswow 20-1 3rd 9th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super, Super High 5) Most Likely: #6 Dreamalong 7-2 2nd Best Value: #7 First Grade 5-1 WON Next Best: #1 Storm the Church 3-1 3rd Exotics Use: #5 Lanai 5-1 5th High 5 Play: #11 Starzig 8-1 4th $2 Exact 5 (7-6-1-11-5) Paid $1,635.60 <$75 P4 Play: 6: 2-3-7 7: 1-3-4 8: 7-9 9: 1-5-6-7 3x3x2x4 = $72 $1 Pick 4 (2/1/4,6,8,9/7) Paid $265.30 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 05-24-2009 at 05:09 AM. 
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#2
05-23-2009, 08:44 AM
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Posted at 3:35 AM and edited at 5:23 AM? Are you a Terminator and never need to sleep? :-)
Thanks for the early morning reading material though. Love the show and all you do to promote racing.
__________________
“Once there was only dark. If you ask me, light’s winning.”–Rust Cohle – True Detective
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#3
05-23-2009, 08:56 AM
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#5
05-23-2009, 01:58 PM
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Also, in BEL 7, the 7 & 10 are scratched relative to Steve's pk4 play.
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#6
05-23-2009, 02:34 PM
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BELMONT P4 SCR'S
Race 7 #7 Wanted Alive, #10 Winged Hero Race 8 #2 Cat Radio, #8 Gaffney's Grits, #10 Approved by Mom, #12 Faithful One Race 9 #4 Shadiyna (IRE), #6 Russian Rosie (IRE) Race 10 #2 Montana Music, #12 Heavenly Blaze, #13 Sergeant Karakorum ARLINGTON P4 SCR'S Race 9 #4 Laguna Plateada (CHI), #5 Venetian Causeway Race 11 #8 Turfiste HOLLYWOOD P4 SCR'S Race 6 #12 Coastal Flare, #8 One On the House, #9 Royal Vision Race 7 #5 Funny Me (GB) Race 8 #4 Dawn After Dawn, #8 Hot n' Dusty Race 9 #9 Beloved Deputy
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 05-23-2009 at 05:57 PM.
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#7
05-23-2009, 06:02 PM
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#8
05-23-2009, 06:13 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#9
05-23-2009, 07:21 PM
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Strike up the band Steve....800$ winner at Arlington
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#10
05-23-2009, 07:23 PM
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Quote:
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
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#11
05-23-2009, 07:26 PM
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Great job again today Steve.....
Thanks again Steve for helping some of us multi-race challenged people. I know Belmont didnt exactly work out, but if a player would have worked with what you laid out, it was there to be had. Also in great position at Hollywood!!!!!!!!!!!
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#14
05-23-2009, 08:47 PM
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Great job Steve, you helped me get in the right mindset of singling Giant Oak on top and I threw in Kent's horse just because of the price underneath for a nice exacta to end the day, thanks!
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#17
05-24-2009, 04:44 AM
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Thanks very much all for the kind words... It was obviously a great day start to finish, but I'm obligated to acknowledge leaving $1,600 on the table in the Belmont P4 when I failed to use my 4th horse, red-hot Pat Kelly's Joey's Chance. Was glad the rest of the day didn't go in that agonizing direction.
Those that tuned in to ATR Thursday/Friday should have done very well with Marcus Hersch having sung the praises of Euphony and Giant Oak, Buff Bradley telling you why Brass Hat was ready and Shug oozing confidence in his Chicago starts (Vacation and Consequence). Will not play as widely today with Belmont carryover the focus... Hope those that used the selections 'got some' Saturday! Thanks again.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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