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  #1  
Old 08-19-2006, 07:17 AM
Gander Gander is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 5,336
Default Sar 3rd today

Any opinions? Looks like a field of horses who failed to live up to some lofty expectations: Scipon, Reverberate and AP Arrow. Throw in the vastly improved Take the Bluff, and the outsiders Backchat and Irish Majesty and you have yourself a nice betting race.

AP Arrow- Been off a while, first time Pletcher, nice works, fond of track. Wont be any kind of price but logical to be there when the real running starts.

Take the Bluff- Nice race over the track, seems to like this distance.

Scipon- At once promising horse, likes to come from far behind. Bancone is 50% with blinkers off winning 5 out of 10. Likely overbet.

Irish Majesty- Looks too slow for these.

Backchat- Hails from hot barn, comes off brief freshening. Could fit well here.

Reverberate- If they all ran their best races, he'd win. Willing to give him the benefit of a doubt in a race loaded with question marks.
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  #2  
Old 08-19-2006, 08:55 AM
jackofhearts
 
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Tough race.

Unless you really like someone , there seem to be many better opportunities today.

The Bluff runner from Wimborne is my strictly sentimental choice, and I would expect a better than anticipated price.

Good luck here!
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  #3  
Old 08-19-2006, 09:26 AM
KY_Sasquash KY_Sasquash is offline
Golden Gate
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 365
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gander
Any opinions? Looks like a field of horses who failed to live up to some lofty expectations: Scipon, Reverberate and AP Arrow. Throw in the vastly improved Take the Bluff, and the outsiders Backchat and Irish Majesty and you have yourself a nice betting race.

AP Arrow- Been off a while, first time Pletcher, nice works, fond of track. Wont be any kind of price but logical to be there when the real running starts.

Take the Bluff- Nice race over the track, seems to like this distance.

Scipon- At once promising horse, likes to come from far behind. Bancone is 50% with blinkers off winning 5 out of 10. Likely overbet.

Irish Majesty- Looks too slow for these.

Backchat- Hails from hot barn, comes off brief freshening. Could fit well here.

Reverberate- If they all ran their best races, he'd win. Willing to give him the benefit of a doubt in a race loaded with question marks.
Take the Bluff is lone speed. Unload on him.
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  #4  
Old 08-19-2006, 09:53 AM
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dellinger63 dellinger63 is offline
Keeneland
 
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absolutely paceless race.
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  #5  
Old 08-19-2006, 10:02 AM
Gander Gander is offline
Del Mar
 
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I dont know about that Dell. While we may not see any 22 and change type fractions, Reverberate has back speed and pretty much has no choice but to go early in here given the short field and outside post. Take the Bluff can go. AP Arrow has some fast works and may opt to be closer than ever today.
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  #6  
Old 08-19-2006, 10:05 AM
Gander Gander is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
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I may take a shot with Reverberate if the price is right. AP Arrow promise to take more money than he deserves. Take the Bluff will also lead bettors to the windows being "lone speed" and having a recency edge over most of these. Scipon almost always takes money. Reverberate's comebacker was pretty awful but that was after almost a year away, that will scare people from betting him. Not the worst stab in this field if you can get 9/2 or higher.
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  #7  
Old 08-19-2006, 12:12 PM
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randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
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I bet Take the Bluff last time. That was a tough effort....AP looks tough to me.
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