2/26: Gulfstream (1st-11th)

Kasept · #1 02-26-2011, 07:56 AM

GULFSTREAM

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: MDN CLM, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Cho 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Achaemenes 4-1 WON ($6.40)
Next Best: #3 Trouble for Tiger 6-1 5th

2nd: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 8.5f-Inner Turf (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 I Dreamt I Was 3-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Albali 8-1 6th
Next Best: #8 To the Point 5-1 8th
Super Add: #6 You're too Wild 10-1 2nd

3rd: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 9f (P3, PDD, Super)

First of the day's important soph tests, with a few auditioning for Florida Derby tries..

Most Likely: #6 Nacho Business 4-1: Breen considered Fountain bid.. 2nd
Next Best: #2 Arch Traveler 2-1: Jerkens tests Sky Mesa's route ability.. WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Cool Blue Red Hot 3-1: Easy to root for classy Penna.. 5th

4th: CLM/N3L, 4+, 8.5f-Outer Turf (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Screenplay 8-1 WON ($16.20)
Next Best: #4 Show the Way J 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Rules of Honor 6-1 4th
Super Add: #10 Wild Entry 12-1 5th

5th: OC/N2X, 4+, 11.5f-Inner Turf (P3, DD, Super)

Tough to decipher, well-matched field for three turn turf affair that anchors early quad; Spread in the multis as this is a roulette wheel race that will be determined by trip..

Best Value: #3 Tenth Wish 12-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Sporty 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Beckham Bend 6-1 WON ($21.80)
Super Add: #11 Bucheron 15-1 6th

<$50 P4 Play:

2: 4-9
3: 2-6
4: 1-4-6
5: 2-3-4-5-6-8-9-11

2x2x3x8 = 96 x .50 = $48

6th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Though non-stake 3yo focus seems to be on today's 3rd race, there's plenty of potential for serious players to emerge from this group..

Most Likely: #3 San Pablo 8-5: Imposing fave but not invincible.. WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #4 Point of Entry 6-1: Expect forward progress from Pine Island sib.. 2nd
Next Best: #2 Gold Necessities 8-1: Note money Breen-Hall grey took in 2yo debut.. 6th
Super Add: #1 Minister Colin 20-1: If lacking talent, Proctor had TAM as option.. 4th

7th: OC/N3X, 4+, 8.5f-Outer Turf (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Mind-bendingly difficult group..

Most Likely: #9 Guys Reward 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Asphalt 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Dean's Kitten 10-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Mikoshi 12-1 WON ($13.60)

8th: 24th Davona Dale (G2), 3yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)

ALW faces like Hot Summer and Oh Carole are highly viable options to the 4 returnees from the Forward Gal..

Best Value: #2 Hot Summer 12-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Oh Carole 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 R Heat Lightening 3-1 WON ($7.00)
Super Add: #9 Dancinginherdreams 5-2 2nd

9th: 58th Hutcheson (G2), 3yo, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Wickedly fun group with speed on speed lined up. Expect frantic pace. KMc told ATR audience that Crossbow may opt for next week's Gotham at AQU, and he has indeed been SCR'd..

Most Likely: #3 Travelin Man 5-2: Brilliant debut, 5 drills since; Can't fault.. 2nd
Best Value: #6 Little Drama 20-1: Similar Fawkes stunt? Big Drama winning '09 Swale.. 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Manicero 12-1: Happy to include any overlaid Calder sprinter.. 8th
Super Add: #8 Black N Beauty 8-1: Back to right trip; Holy Bull enhanced in NoLa.. 9th

10th: 65th Fountain of Youth (G2), 3yo, 9f (DD, Super)

#2 Derby prospect To Honor and Serve makes soph debut here against group that was slightly impuned by demuring of Dialed In. Mrs. Weber's best Triple Crown trail hope since High Fly certainly doesn't need to win, but Mott trainee is most likely very close to 100% for undertaking. Soldat's 2 wins both came in curious scenarios, (slop last, weak juvy lawn stake MDN win), which makes him in my mind a player needing to prove himself on a fast dirt surface. Beyond the two faves, it is largely a group of suspects looking to earn their way into the upper echelon of sophomores..

Most Likely: #7 To Honor and Serve 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #2 Gourmet Dinner 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Soldat 2-1 WON ($4.80)
Super Add: ##8 Shackleford 8-1 5th

11th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 7.5f-Inner Turf (Super)

Most Likely: #4 Hardrocker 6-1 7th
Best Value: #6 Factual 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Foolish Tiger 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #1 Best Act 8-1 5th

<$50 P5 Play:

7: 6-7-9
8: 2-4-5-9
9: 3-6
10: 7
11: 1-4-6-8

3x4x2x1x4 = 96 x .50 = $48

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-4-5-9
9: 3-6-9
10: 1-2-7
11: 1-4-6-8

4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

Good luck!
Steve

atolunch · #2 02-26-2011, 09:33 AM

Steve,

Please check the third race, Arch Traveler is the #2 I think, not #1 as listed.

I'm liking the McPeek's Ghostzapper maiden #3 Jojo's mojo in the finale, any thoughts on that one?

BOL today, and thanks as always for your time and insights.

Kasept · #3 02-26-2011, 11:12 AM

GP SCR/CHG'S

Race: 1 Changes Time Posted
#2 Fad Scratched - Trainer 10:50 AM ET
#4 Pacmanstephen Scratched - Trainer 10:50 AM ET
#7 I Can and I Will Scratched - Trainer 10:50 AM ET

Race: 2 Changes Time Posted
Temp Rail Distance set at 24 ft. Reported at Entry Time
#7 Dixie Kid Scratched - Trainer 10:50 AM ET

Race: 3 Changes Time Posted
#3 Hothersal Scratched - Trainer 10:50 AM ET

Race: 4 Changes Time Posted
Temp Rail Distance set at 84 ft. Reported at Entry Time
#2 Chinsegut Bay Scratched - Trainer 10:50 AM ET
#5 Rainbows Arch Scratched - Trainer 10:50 AM ET
#7 Fire Cloud Scratched - Trainer 10:50 AM ET
#14 Daniel Moon Scratched - Also-Eligible 10:50 AM ET

Race: 5 Changes Time Posted
Temp Rail Distance set at 24 ft. Reported at Entry Time
#12 Poni Colada Scratched - Main-Track-Only 10:50 AM ET
#13 Day of Destiny Scratched - Main-Track-Only 10:50 AM ET

Race: 7 Changes Time Posted
Temp Rail Distance set at 84 ft. Reported at Entry Time
#6 Jimmy Simms Scratched - Trainer 10:50 AM ET
#8 Rogue Victory Scratched - Trainer 10:50 AM ET
#13 Mystic Scratched - Also-Eligible 10:50 AM ET
#14 M J's Enchanteur Scratched - Also-Eligible 10:50 AM ET

Race: 8 Changes Time Posted
#7 Roxy Gap Scratched - Trainer 10:50 AM ET

Race: 9 Changes Time Posted
#1 Crossbow Scratched - Trainer 10:50 AM ET

Race: 11 Changes Time Posted
Temp Rail Distance set at 24 ft. Reported at Entry Time
#10 Liquid Luck Scratched - Trainer 10:50 AM ET
#11 Dixie Gray Scratched - Trainer 10:50 AM ET
#15 Valter Scratched - Also-Eligible 10:50 AM ET
#16 Matthewsburg Scratched - Also-Eligible 10:50 AM ET

CHECK BACK AT EQUIBASE OR GP WEBSITE FOR FURTHER LATE CHANGES...

THEY ARE NOTORIOUS FOR THEM DOWN THERE...