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#1
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Maclean's Music (110 preliminary Beyer)
3yo First-time starter out of the worlds fastest horse - Forest Music - won his debut big at Santa Anita today and is an obvious superstar. A Baffert debuter by Werblin who was the clear-cut standout of OBS June last year was a clear and distant 2nd.
Forest Music was one of only two horses in history to ever to run a 20 and change quarter at the Fasig Tipton Calder sale. Tiz Wonderful (who broke his maiden by about 15 at Saratoga first-out) was the other. Forest Music won her debut nicely with a 107 Beyer figure at LRL - and was rushed into the BC Juvenile fillies out west a few weeks later in start #2 and was eased. Ended up being a multiple Graded Stakes winning sprinter who would set strong paces and always stagger home. Maclean's Music has no future as a distance horse ... but Distorted Humor to Forest Music ... you have to love that. |
#2
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That was impressive. Stopped the clock at 1:07 & change, right? Looked easy too...
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#3
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Formal Gold's record for highest debut figure of all-time is probably still safe ... but there's a good chance Maclean's Music will recieve a debut figure of 110+
Race #1: Winner Via Verde ran a 90 last out - winning par for this class level is an 86. Via Verde winning time was 25 points slower than Maclean's Music Race #2: Winner Lost Prophet ran a 77 last out - winning par for the class level is a 73. Lost Prophet's winning time was 39 points slower than Maclean's Music Race #3: Turf Race #4: Route Race #5: Turf Race #6: Havens Lake ran a 71 last out - winning par for the class level is a 72. Havens Lake's winning time was 41 points slower than Maclean's Music Race #7: Turf Race #8: Maclean's Music's race. Debuters 1-2-3 ... 4th place finisher beaten 11.5 lengths was a Mandella 2nd time starter who ran an 87 in his debut. Race #9: Saint Isabelle ran a 90 two starts back - winning par for the class level is an 89. Saint Isabelle's winning time is 17 points slower than Maclean's Music. Race #10: Winning par is 61. 2nd and 3rd place finishers - both beaten 2 lengths - ran a 60 and 61 last out respectively. The final time for this race was 55 points slower than Maclean's Music. |
#4
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Thanks for proving my point in the other thread.
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#5
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For some reason - I thought Formal Gold ran a 114 instead of a 112 in his debut. He ran a 112.
Formal Gold's 15-year-old record is in danger. That figure for Maclean's Music could justifiably be as high as a 113. Formal Gold was pretty darn good at the end of his career - slaughtering the great Skip Away in back-to-back races with insane figures. Once he got hurt - Skip Away was invincible for over a year. Obviously - don't expect Maclean's Music to stretch out like that. |
#6
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Only horse to ever run three straight BSFs over 124?
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#7
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Since they've been published in '91 anyway.
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#8
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What was with all the jockey changes on Formal Gold?
I suppose some of it had to do with all the jock changes on Skip Away. |
#9
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Quote:
You were very busy last night. This thread and the Derby thread easily trumped reading the Sunday Bergen Record first thing this morning. Thanks.
__________________
"I don't need nice horses at Philly, just ones with conditions."---Cannon Shell |
#10
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From Scott Blasi, colt came back great, doing fine this morning. Says they're all pretty excited...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |
#11
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Are they going straight to the SA Derby?
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#12
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There'd probably be a better chance they'd run Wilburn in the SA Derby but I think after the Albergatti flop they'll be a bit more patient with recent maiden winners.
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#13
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I was being facetious, but heck, the way people get the fever the last 10 years or so, coupled with the lack of good health of the owner, I would not be surprised at all to see this horse put on the 'trail'.
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#14
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Quote:
This colt looked very good. High cruising speed, seemed well within himself. He might eventually get a mile, but probably no further. FM is still a young broodmare, lets hope she produces a few more nice ones. |
#15
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110 Beyer the preliminary number..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |
#16
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Is this crop going to set a record for most debuters with a triple digit BSF?
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#17
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Quote:
If race #1 comes back par - Maclean's Music gets a 111 If race #2 comes back par - Maclean's Music gets a 112 If race #6 comes back par - Maclean's Music gets a 113 if race #9 comes back par - Maclean's Music gets a 106 if race #10 comes back par - Maclean's Music gets a 116 That avg's out to a 111.6 with 112 the middling number. If you look at the day The Factor won his maiden race ... the track was clearly yielding much faster times all day long on The Factor's day. |
#18
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That would give the heavily bet Baffert Werblin debuter who finished a clear 2nd a 92.
Here he is working a bullet 1/4 mile at OBS June last year ... http://www.obssales.com/juncatalog/2010/197.wmv Track was quite slow that day ... as nags were posting 23 and even 24 and change quarters. |
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