6/5: Belmont Park ($62k C/O)

[Kasept]

Dead heat and chalk made winning Late P4 play at Belmont a money-loser Saturday, and hopeless opinions at Churchill bled dough. Made a nice chunk with Nassau hit at Woodbine to even things out quite a bit for the day. Hope you did OK. $62k carry at Belmont today and Woodbine Oaks anchors excellent card there.


BELMONT PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: MDN CLM-NY, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Dita 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Wind in My Sails 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 By M K 7-2 4th
Super Add: #7 Nauset Light 7-2 7th


6th: NYSS-Spectacular Bid, 3yo, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Odd assembly with 6 of the 8 trying turf for the first time, none with notable breeding for it or sibling strength on it. Bold Deed returns to Empire company after the G2 Peter Pan, but will face plenty of fromt end pressure. Tricky race..

Most Likely: #8 Warrior Up 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Freuds Ana Streak 10-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Bold Deed 9-5 2nd
Super Add: #7 Seek to Destroy 20-1 7th


7th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)

SCR #5 Sheraguska who ran yesterday..

Most Likely: #8 Show Trial 3-1 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #6 SCR
Next Best: #10 SCR
Super Add: #4 Gentle Edwin 8-1 2nd


8th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Sounds Familiar 3-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Vinda 6-1 WON ($23.00)
Best Value: #4 Madrilena 12-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Tidal Slam 7-2 5th


9th: 5th NYSS Cupecoy's Joy, 3yo-F, 7f-T (DD, Super)

4 Freuds out of 8 fillies signed on, and they feel like the 4 to use..

Most Likely: #1 Hessonite 2-1 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #6 Freuds On Holidays 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Letshootpool 3-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Good Habits 10-1 7th


10th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (Super)

Very well-matched group and good betting opportunity if you can keep serious but outposted favorite Giarixa (2-1) out of the top slots while utilizing the likes of Senor Enrico at a crazy ML of 20-1. The decisions are tough because ideally you would love to use a horse like #1 Wishingonadream who is a good fit here, but is saddled with tough-to-take Jaime Rodriguez..

Most Likely: #4 Bold Vindication 5-1 WON ($8.20)
Best Value: #1 Wishingonadream 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Gamblin Fever 9-2 4th
Super Add: #3 Senor Enrico 20-1 -


<$150 P6 Play:

5: 1-4-8
6: 8
7: 6-8/SCR
8: 2-3
9: 1-4-6
10: 4-10/SCR

3x1x2x2x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 6-8/SCR
8: 2-3-4-6
9: 1-4-6
10: 2-4-8-10/SCR

2x4x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48

.50 P4 (6-3-1-4) Paid $135.75


Good luck!
Steve