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#1
09-04-2011, 09:55 AM
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9/4: Saratoga (Day 38; Spinaway/Saranac)
Spa Saturday action was largely unproductive from a betting standpoint, but thrilling with premium quality efforts from Havre de Grace in the Woodward and Jackson Bend in the Forego. Sharp maidenbreakers were a big part of the day too with Darley's Alpha and Bill Parcell's Saratoga Snacks were sharp on the main track at 7f and 6.5f. while Live Oak's Za Approval and blanket finish topper Kitten's Kid (Merrill Scherer) aced lawn diplomas.
In the wagering, things never really jelled over the 12 race slate despite a handful of winners and exotics sprinkled throughout the day. When the dust settled, I found myself $300 poorer thanks to unsuccessful P4 and P6 tickets. Hope everyone did OK (or minimized the losses anyway). Weather is a bit iffy this afternoon and very iffy for Labor Day Monday.. SARATOGA POST-SCRATCHES 1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super) Delightful start to the betting with this wide open affair that featuresdroppers and dirt/turf moves, et al.. Dive in and sprinkle liberally with price horses! Best Value: #8 Cooper River 8-1 7th Next Best: #10 Living Right 7-2 2nd Exotics Use: #2 Storm Galileo 12-1 3rd Super Add: #7 Equivocation 12-1 4th .10 SUPER PLAY: Key 8 in W/PL slots with 1-2-4-5-10 (1x5x4x3 + 5x1x4x3) = 60 + 60 = 120 x .10 = $12.00 2nd: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD) 3-5? Seriously, 3-5? Come on.. Best Value: #2 Sharp Tongue Lady 8-1 3rd Next Best: #5 Fantasy of Flight 3-5 2nd Exotics Use: #3 Dust and Diamonds 6-1 WON ($12.20) 3rd: Sightseek-R, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #4 Arena Elvira 7-5 WON ($3.00) Best Value: #3 All About Alex 10-1 5th Exotics Use: #2 Lacie Slew 7-2 3rd 4th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #7 Jupiter Trio 9-2 4th Next Best: #4 Southbeachsandy 7-2 WON ($6.30) Exotics Use: #14 Papa's Nice Cat 8-1 10th Super Add: #3 Ground Force 6-1 2nd 5th: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #7 Special Action 5-2 8th Best Value: #4 Next Page 8-1 6th Exotics Use: #1 My Piano Man 6-1 WON ($12.60) Super Add: #9 Astonish 15-1 7th <$75 P4 Play: 2: 2-3-5 3: 3-4 4: 3-4-7-14 5: 1-4-7 3x2x4x3 = $72 ($36 for .50) $. Pick 4 (3-4-1/4/6/9/13-1) Paid $343.00 ($171.50 for .50) 6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super) Lots of possible pedigree notes, but none better than Stan Hough's Carolina Light who is a half to Scrappy T!!! (Oh.. and Tar Heel Mom of course).. Scrappy T!!! Best Value: #7 Heart of Destiny 10-1 WON ($32.60) Next Best: #6 Formative 3-1 4th Exotics Use: #9 Zultanite 15-1 7th Super Add: #8 Karlovy Vary 8-1 3rd 7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super) This is a curious set of 2yo fillies with far too many 'obvious' horses. I'm looking elsewhere.. Most Likely: #10 Be With Me 5-1 5th Best Value: #9 Sea Island 15-1 9th Exotics Use: #3 Centrique 8-1 7th Super Add: #6 Newbie 8-1 4th 8th: NY-MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Likely has no chance in his debut, but it is hard not to root for Robbie Davis sending his first starter out (#6 Sandyinthesun) as a trainer under daughter Jackie.. Most Likely: #2 Paci Di Notte 9-2 5th Best Value: #3 Faulkner 5-1 3rd Exotics Use: #7 Turn Up the Music 7-2 WON ($7.40) Super Add: #1 Angel Ray 12-1 12th 9th: 104th Saranac (G3), 3yo, 9f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Brilliant Speed 7-2 WON ($6.50) Best Value: #4 Queen'splatekitten 8-1 2nd Next Best: #6 Seal Cove 6-1 7th Exotics Use: #10 Sky Blazer 15-1 4th 10th: 120th Spinaway (G1), 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Georgie's Angel 2-1 4th Best Value: #5 Lady Pecan 8-1 8th Next Best: #7 Judy the Beauty 3-1 2nd Exotics Use: #1e A. Dutrow entry 7-2 WON ($8.80)/5th 11th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD, Super) Ausable Chasm was intended for this but had the bad luck of not being in the field when a total of 20 (!) entered.. Most Likely: #4 Schillerette 7-2 4th Best Value: #9 Jazz Life 6-1 5th Next Best: #1 Silver Screamer 3-1 WON ($5.90) Exotics Use: #10 Unknown Wonder 15-1 10th Super Add: #8 Copious Notes 12-1 9th 12th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (Super) RACE CANCELLED Most Likely: #5 Glory in Motion 4-1 Next Best: #4 Ready to Party 5-1 Exotics Use: #10 High Strider 3-1 Super Add: #8 Starjetta 7-2 <$75 P4 Play: 9: 4-5-6 10: 1-3-5-7 11: 1-4-9-10 12: 4-5-10 3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 $.50 Pick 4 (5-1-1-ALL) Paid $20.87 (x 3 = $62.61) Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 09-04-2011 at 07:21 PM. 
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#2
09-04-2011, 11:02 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#7
09-04-2011, 07:29 PM
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Quote:
Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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