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#1
05-12-2012, 04:12 AM
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5/12: Belmont ($26k C/O); Monmouth (6th-10th)
Another Belmont carryover into Saturday, on the heels of bonus pots Wednesday and Thursday, further demonstrates the challenging new landscape in New York. While $40 Sylvestris was key to generating today's $26k pool, another five of Friday's 9 races produced winners of $10.00 or more. Full fields and a complex variety of runners from far flung bases is making the early portion of the meet exceedingly tricky. Mid-week action was complicated by off the turf events, but with the rain having subsided, a nice weekend of grass racing looms. The summer feels like it arrives today with Monmouth and Delaware Parks opening to add to your options including Monday slates at the quaint First State oval.
BELMONT PARK POST-SCRATCHES 5th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super) $26k C/O starts here.. NOTE: #13 (AE) Captain Goodenough (5-1) would need to be considered should he draw in.. Most Likely: #5 Sam's Buck 7-2 4th Best Value: #3 Northern Evader 8-1 12th Next Best: #11 Alarmed Ndangerous 5-2 3rd Exotics Use: #6 Post Pattern 10-1 2nd 6th: Genuine Devotion, F&M-3+, 6f-IT ( Tough little overnight stake. Obvious contenders from top lawn outfits (Brown, Clement) figure tough but Weaver in with a shot at a number with MSP Ultimate Class and Going to Kukaro scares as wire threat.. SCR #8 Whipsaw City 5-2 Best Value: #9 Ultimate Class 12-1 6th Next Best: #1 Going to Kukaro 4-1 WON ($4.40) Exotics Use: #6 Miss Liberty 4-1 3rd Super Add: #4 Sharnberry 8-1 4th 7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Digby B 7-2 11th Best Value: #4 Renzo Bertoni 6-1 WON ($9.50) Next Best: #1 Leroidessioux 3-1 2nd Exotics Use: #2 Bustarella 12-1 4th 8th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Antenna 4-1 5th Next Best: #1a Fulton Street 7-2 3rd Best Value: #13 Take Down Two 6-1 2nd Exotics Use: #4 Won Wild Dude 8-1 8th 9th: 58th Peter Pan (G2), 3yo, 9f (DD, Super) Even with Zetterholm and Teeth of the Dog scratching, a terrific rendition of this traditional Belmont S. prep. Feels like there is too much pace and pressure for one of the speeds to clear as pair inside (The Lumber Guy, Right to Vote) certain to hook up immediately with Le Bernadin and Master Rick stalking close up. Other half of the field made up of mid-pack stalkers and closers (Mark Valeski, Summer Front, Street Life, Good Morning Diva, Big Screen, Hakama) should get their targets.. Best Value: #4 Le Bernardin 15-1 10th Next Best: #5 Mark Valeski 5-2 WON ($4.70) Exotics Use: #11 Summer Front 8-1 8th Super Add: #12 Street Life 8-1 3rd 10th: NY-MSW, 3+, 7f-T (Super) Most Likely: #8 Trainingforsuccess 7-2 5th Best Value: #7 Frisky Cat 5-1 2nd Next Best: #9 Hidden Vow 3-1 - Exotics Use: #5 Solengo 5-1 4th <$150 P6 Play: 5: 5 6: 1-6-9 7: 3-4 8: 1-3 9: 4-5-11 10: 7-8 1x3x2x2x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144 <$75 P4 Play: 7: 1-2-3-4 8: 1-3-13 9: 2-4-5-9-11-12 10: 7-8 4x3x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72 MONMOUTH PARK POST-SCRATCHES 6th: NJ-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #11 Fine Friends 6-1 10th Next Best: #1 Final Forest 7-2 WON ($5.40) Exotics Use: #3 Macho Mo Mon 5-1 4th Super Add: #6 No Fret 12-1 6th 7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Greatful Heir 3-1 5th Next Best: #4 Busted Again 7-2 WON ($6.20) Best Value: #5 Deliguska 30-1 6th Exotics Use: #2 Baffle Me 6-1 3rd 8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #7 Framed 9-2 6th Next Best: #5 Playing a Joke 4-1 DNF-Fell Exotics Use: #1 More Than Candy 3-1 WON ($5.60) Super Add: #6 Linebacker 7-2 3rd 9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #4 Chairman Now 2-1 WON ($3.40) Best Value: #7 Late SCR Next Best: #3 Small Town Talk 6-1 3rd Exotics Use: #6 Dragonfish 8-1 2nd 10th: Decathlon, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Very nice group for $75k. SCR Comedero who ran at BEL Thursday.. Best Value: #7 Flat Bold 6-1 2nd Next Best: #8 Bank Merger 9-2 DNF-Spill Exotics Use: #9 Zero Rate Policy 3-1 DNF-Spill Super Add: #4 Soaring Stocks 7-2 DNF-Spill <$75 P5 Play: 6: 1-3-6-7-10-11 7: 3-4 8: 1-2-4-5-6-7 9: 4 10: 7-8 6x2x6x1x2 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 05-12-2012 at 05:42 PM. 
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#2
05-12-2012, 11:51 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 05-12-2012 at 04:30 PM.
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#3
05-12-2012, 04:30 PM
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That was an ugly looking spill at MTH. Trujillo appears to have been pretty lucky..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
05-12-2012, 05:01 PM
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Terrific effort from Small Town Talk off layoff -- 'first time Chuck' -- in MTH 9th!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#5
05-12-2012, 05:16 PM
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In deference
I will not play the 7 or 8 as you don't need that much weight on you in the pick 5
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