6/28: Belmont (1st-10th); Hollywood (5th-8th)

[Kasept]

Couldn't negotiate tough Belmont carryover Wednesday but did OK on the day via fortuitous $41.60 winner Thomas Hill in the lynchpin 7th. Erratic helmsman Abel Lezcano likely impeded Dominguez and Namron in the stretch on the 20-1 Karl Grusmark trainee, but the result went official without an inquiry or objection and the price triggered juicy multi returns including the $303 late quad and 2 $100+ P3's. The P6 brought back a nice $70k to 2 winners. Having $14.40 Coach Royal, $20.80 Hlao Roo and Thomas Hill on your ducat deserved every bit of $70k. Hope everybody did well. More excellent weekday action at BEL as well as HOL today!


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-1+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Purely Majestic 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #6 Evans Rocket 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Earnings Release 5-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Why Take a Chance 2-1 2nd


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

2yo fillies all debut here including #4 Baby J, the first runner from the first crop of MGSW and SAR 5.5f track record breaker J Be K (Silver Deputy). The former Zayat campaigner was in the news just days ago having been sold by Arkansas farm Trophy Club for stud duty in Argentina. Baby J (6-1) could be very live in this unveiling coming out of Michelle Nihei's excellent "FTS" barn and being a half to MSW Laureate Conductor (Bernstein) and fast Que Posse (Posse). Mott sends Mrs. Weber's Seasoned Warrior, a Majestic Warrior bay out of MGSW Saorise making her a half to MGSW Hide and Chic (Seeking the Gold) and MSW Autobahn Girl (A. P. Indy). Mott not famous for sending them out cranked, but this filly has a license to be OK right away and zipped 3f in :35.0 days ago on the BEL training track (2/54)..

Best Value: #4 Baby J 6-1 WON ($18.20)
Next Best: #5 Seasoned Warrior 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Lucky Friend 8-5 4th


3rd: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Baby boys here and while a little against Pletcher filly above, his Discreet Cat colt here for Repole (#5 Onetwentyeight) should be ready at first asking being a half to Tackleberry (Montbrook). Full 3yo sib Please Be Discreet took 4 starts to break maiden earned quickish fig early on..

Most Likely: #5 Onetwentyeight 8-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #4 Muscles Marinara 15-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Late SCR
Exotics Use: #1 Volastic 2-1 2nd


4th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Good, well-matched group.

Most Likely: #8 Karakorum Elektra 3-1 WON ($8.40)
Next Best: #2 Shakeira 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #10 Myrtle's Grey 9-2 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Pure Amour 15-1 6th


5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Mightylover 5-2 8th
Best Value: #1 Jet Set Cat 10-1 WON ($16.80)
Next Best: #10 Alvito 7-2 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Manacor 6-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-4-5
3: 5
4: 2-4-6-8-9-10
5: 1-5-6-10

3x1x6x4 = $72 ($36 for .50)

$1 Pick 4 (4/3,5/8/1) Paid $389.00 ($194.50 for .50)


6th: PASS


7th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Preach Tome Daddy 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 My Perfect Light 10-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Considerate 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Christina d'Oro 15-1 2nd


8th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Brutally tough group with many improving types and honest pace scenario anticipated. I make 6 of the 9 eligible for laurels. Pick and pray..

Most Likely: #9 Vee One Rotate 5-1 8th
Best Value: #2 Saturday's for Fun 15-1 5th
Next Best: #8 English Major 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Forever Faithful 10-1 DNF


9th: Glowing Honor-R, F&M-3+, 7f-T (DD)

Like the De La Rose in Saratoga, a 'non Sweepstakes winner on year' event. I love these. They always draw interesting fields. Violette's Trix in the City rock solid and a value..

Race hit by heavy SCR's..

Best Value: #6 Trix in the City 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Whipsaw City 5-2 2nd


10th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT

Best Value: #5 Double Berg 5-1 WON ($13.60)
Next Best: #4 Deverell 2-1
Exotics Use: #8 Lizzie Bear 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Ginagain 4-1


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 3-5-8
8: 2-4-8-9
9: 5-6
10: 2-4-5-8

3x4x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48



HOLLYWOOD PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Zuboff 5-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Royal Meridian 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Tizpat 5-2 4th
Super Add: #5 Sarangani 4-1 2nd


6th: OC/C, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 John Scott 5-1 WON ($7.20)
Next Best: #8 Rail Trip 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Classic Legacy 3-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Admission 4-1 6th


7th: OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (DD)

Best Value: #1 Doyouseemecoming 9-2 4th
Next Best: #5 Stirred Up 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Seventh Avenue 5-1 2nd


8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (Super Hi-5)

As mentioned by Rich Eng, the Baffert filly #7 Executiveprivlege (2-1) comes with big advance press..

Most Likely: #7 Executiveprivlege 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #8 Irish Presence 15-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Renee's Queen 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Awesome Annie 5-2 6th


<$50 P4 Play:

5: 1-2-5-6-7-8
6: 1-5-6-8
7: 1-2-5
8: 7

6x4x3x1 = 72 x .50 = $36


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

BEL SCR/CHG'S

[atolunch]

Please double check Race 7, I think My Perfect Light is the #3, not #2 as listed.

Thanks as always, and good luck with the card today.

Here's to keepin the Byk train rolling!!

[Kasept]

How about the race the 33-1 Necessary Luxury just ran? T2D and the bug. Huh. I guess at 30-1+ she was playable. I glossed right over her.

[Kasept]

Running to Toga.. Catch up later!

[GPK]

Wow...that early Pick 4 came back awfully light, no?

Paid $194.50 for .50 and the parlay was $238 for .50.

[dagolfer33]

Originally Posted by GPK

Wow...that early Pick 4 came back awfully light, no?

Paid $194.50 for .50 and the parlay was $238 for .50.

THE BYK FACTOR

[rpncaine]

Could be...he's so hot I put this one in from work on my phone.

Thanks Steve, got playing money for the weekend stuff now!

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by dagolfer33

THE BYK FACTOR

No.. (but thanks..)

The 2yo filly win price was inflated. She wasn't 8-1 in the P4.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by GPK

Wow...that early Pick 4 came back awfully light, no?

Paid $194.50 for .50 and the parlay was $238 for .50.

Note GPK's choice of 'light' over 'short'..

[GPK]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Note GPK's choice of 'light' over 'short'..

I'm leaving.

[Kasept]

$27k BEL C/O FRIDAY

[Kasept]

How about that performance from Carla Gaines' John Scott?

[pointman]

Originally Posted by Kasept

How about that performance from Carla Gaines' John Scott?

That was real nice, dug in very gamely and refused to let Rail Trip pass. Nice call, Steve.

I will enjoy that performance even more if the 1 or 2 wins the 7th . . . .

[atolunch]

The hits just keep coming.

Congrats and thanks yet again.

Let's keep it rolling!!

[casp0555]

Thanks for the opinions and choices today Steve. i added My Best Brother to the 8th along with Paratito to keep alive in the 8th. Thanks for the hard work.