romney rules in iowa

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

News papers endorse romney..the first time in 40 years
He also has a lock in floridas i10 corridor ..

[geeker2]

Obama now spending campaign money in PA. A state he thought was locked up for him.

[dellinger63]

Not to tap the glass too hard but I'm sayin Romney takes Wisconsin !!!

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

went to see romney in p cola 10,000 seats were gone in 25 min..another 3000 were outside....the people get it...

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

as a side maddona concert in new orleans last weekend.. she told concert goers to vote obama ..she was boo'd and several people left..

[keithting]

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead

News papers endorse romney..the first time in 40 years
He also has a lock in floridas i10 corridor ..

I believe that Romney takes Florida, but it will come down to Ohio and possibly even Colorado !!!

[Riot]

Oh, my, we need all you guys to take your election predictions to the contest thread

[Rupert Pupkin]

Originally Posted by Riot

Oh, my, we need all you guys to take your election predictions to the contest thread

I don't know who is going to win but it will definitely be closer than you think. If it was as big of a cinch as you think, Obama would be a 1-9 favorite. The posted odds right now of the republicans keeping control of the House of Representatives is a 95% chance (aka 1-20). Now that is a heavy favorite. If someone has a very strong expectation of that happening, that would be warranted.

Obama is far from a lock. The race is very still tight. If the betting lines are right and he has around a 64% chance of winning, that is a solid favorite but it is far from a lock.

If Obama does win, the one good thing is that we won't have to worry about riots. If Romney wins, I guarantee there will be riots. I have no idea what the extent will be but I guarantee there will at least be some civil unrest. People are already threatening it on Twitter. If people riot after a championship basketball game, they will certainly riot if their man loses the Presidency.

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

of course there will.. god forbid they have to work..and not get free obama bucks..

[Rupert Pupkin]

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead

of course there will.. god forbid they have to work..and not get free obama bucks..

That was one of the things that one of the people on Twitter said. He said, "If Romney wins we're going to riot. Romney is going to take away our food stamps."

[Riot]

Rupert - I think this election was decided over a month ago. The polls really have not budged significantly since then. There is 6 days to election. Romney is refusing to talk to press.

How can Romney turn around all these swing states and get to 270? Romney never had a road to 270 electoral votes. He would need a historical landslide of all swing states. Never gonna happen.
-------------------
Via Markos Moulitsas copying TPM Polltracker (all polls synthesized together) :

Here's the current state of the race 10-30-12, per the TPM polltracker. I did one of these yesterday, so the trends only span one day.

State Obama Romney Margin Change from 10/29

Colorado 48 46.2 1.8 0.0
Florida 48.2 48.4 -0.2 0.1
Iowa 49.2 46.9 2.3 0.0

New Hampshire 48 45 3.0 0.7
Nevada 50.3 46.2 4.1 0.9
North Carolina 45.9 48.4 -2.5 0.0

Ohio 49.4 47.3 2.1 0.7
Virginia 48.6 46.6 2.0 0.0
Wisconsin 48.9 46.7 2.2 0.0

Michigan 47.7 46.5 1.2
Pennsylvania 48.9 45.9 3.0

The states that have polls all show the trends continuing in Obama's direction. I re-added Michigan and Pennsylvania at the bottom. Pennsylvania looks tight/ But it's skewed by one of those baby Rasmussen pollsters, in this case Foster-McCollum for the local Fox affiliate. Their influence on the composite is particularly outsized because few people have polled the state recently. Take them out, and it's Obama 48.7-44.8, or a nearly four-point edge.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead

of course there will.. god forbid they have to work..and not get free obama bucks..

Let me ask you something...do conservatives take the "Obama bucks" also? I mean, the way you guys go on the only people who receive government support are people who support Obama.

[bigrun]

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin

I don't know who is going to win but it will definitely be closer than you think. If it was as big of a cinch as you think, Obama would be a 1-9 favorite. The posted odds right now of the republicans keeping control of the House of Representatives is a 95% chance (aka 1-20). Now that is a heavy favorite. If someone has a very strong expectation of that happening, that would be warranted.

Obama is far from a lock. The race is very still tight. If the betting lines are right and he has around a 64% chance of winning, that is a solid favorite but it is far from a lock.

If Obama does win, the one good thing is that we won't have to worry about riots. If Romney wins, I guarantee there will be riots. I have no idea what the extent will be but I guarantee there will at least be some civil unrest. People are already threatening it on Twitter. If people riot after a championship basketball game, they will certainly riot if their man loses the Presidency.

Oh yeah, how bout the tea party and their leader gomer here...they gonna sit by and do nothing.. and they will be packing..

[dylbert]

Originally Posted by Riot

Oh, my, we need all you guys to take your election predictions to the contest thread

Great thing, Riot, you only have one vote. Looks like this contest is trending sharply toward Romney.

When your campaign unravels, it just unravels. Yes, Obama has looked presidential in wake of Sandy disaster. Incumbant enjoys that privilege as office holder. He can pledge the public coffers to assist recovery efforts, too. That's his job!

[Riot]

Originally Posted by dylbert

Great thing, Riot, you only have one vote. Looks like this contest is trending sharply toward Romney.

When your campaign unravels, it just unravels. Yes, Obama has looked presidential in wake of Sandy disaster. Incumbant enjoys that privilege as office holder. He can pledge the public coffers to assist recovery efforts, too. That's his job!

If you think Romney will win, put up your total Here's the link: http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/sho...t=48857&page=3

Rude posted a Rasmussen poll today (Ras is notably right leaning), though, that says Obama wins with over 330 electoral votes.

Just sayin'