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Old 03-14-2013, 08:09 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,310
Default 3/14: Aqueduct ($28k C/O); Santa Anita ($94k C/O)

AQUEDUCT


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$28k C/O starts here..

This isn't as much of a slam dunk as having a 2-5 favorite might indicate. Smoldering Beauty is going to get the lead here and Cluster of Stars is going to to have to negotiate the #1 hole..

Most Likely: #1 Cluster of Stars 2-5 (A) WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #3 Smoldering Beauty 5-1 (B) 3rd
Next Best: #5 McCarren Park 10-1 (X) 4th


5th: CLM, 4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Now a 4 horse field and you might have to use all 4..

Most Likely: #1 Hewitts 2nd
Next Best: #7 Sensational Slam WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Straight Fax 4th


6th: NY-MDN CLM, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Belief System 9-5 (A) WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #11 Spectacular Act 5-1 (B) 4th
Next Best: #4 El Dreamer 4-1 (B) 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Antone Suavey 15-1 (C) 3rd


7th: NY-OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Motion Lounge 2-1 (A) 9th
Next Best: #4 Ibid 5-2 (B) 8th
Best Value: #2 Kitten's Kitten 15-1 (B) 7th
Exotics Use: #6 She's Always Hot 10-1 (C) 2nd


8th: S/HCP, 4+, 1m-70y (DD)

Jacobson brings Cayambe SCR'D right back a week after he demolished similar in first Eastern exhibition. If he faulters, it could be absolutely anyone else including the quintet exiting the 2/10 starter (#'s 1-2-5-7-8)..

Most Likely: #1 Itsagoodtendollars 5-1 (A) WON ($7.00)
Next Best: #8 Chairman Now 7-2 (B) 6th
Best Value: #2 Best Actor 20-1 (B) 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Sacred Ground 5-1 (C) 2nd


9th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 1m

Most Likely: #7 Cherylwithans 3-1 (A) 3rd
Next Best: #5 Madison Ave. Jo Jo 2-1 (B) 7th
Best Value: #1 Winmor Gold 5-1 (C) 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Im a Rockstar Diva 7-2 (C) WON ($13.20)


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 1
5: 1-3-5-7
6: 2
7: 2-3-4
8: 1-2-8
9: 5-7

1x4x1x3x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-11
7: 2-3-4
8: 1-2-4-5-7-8
9: 1-4-5-7

2x3x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72



SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM, 4yo-F, 1m-T/30' (P6, P3, DD)

$94k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #1 Mia Isabel 5-2 5th
Next Best: #2 Thermal Nermal 3-1 WON ($7.80)
Best Value: #6 Gittel 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Four Better 6-1 2nd


4th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Black Witch 2-1 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #5 Elegant in Silk 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Temptress 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Iconic Spirit 3-1 2nd


5th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m-T/30'

Most Likely: #2 Van Brit 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #10 Bonita Star 5-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Lily's Perfect 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Eyes On the Prize 5-1 7th


6th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Exceedingly well-matched group. Hard to cross any out..

Most Likely: #1 Luckarack 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Courtside 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Blue Jay Attack 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Close to the Edge 4-1 7th
Super Add: #2 Stoneside 7-2 6th


7th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Best Present Ever 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Esentepe 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Sciarapelli 9-2 WON ($10.60)
Super Add: #6 Jet Blue Girl 6-1 5th


8th: MDN CLM, 4+, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Catquest 8-1 WON ($11.80)
Next Best: #2 Unmarked Bills 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Shot of Chaya 8-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Deception Free 3-1 4th


<$200 P6 Play:

3: 1-2
4: 2-5-7-8
5: 2
6: 1-5
7: 3-8
8: 2-7-11

2x4x1x2x2x3 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

5: 2
6: 1-2-3-5-7-8
7: 3-6-7-8
8: 1-2-7-11

1x6x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 03-14-2013 at 07:40 PM.
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  #2  
Old 03-14-2013, 11:07 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,310
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AQU SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #3  
Old 03-14-2013, 12:50 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,310
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SA SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #4  
Old 03-14-2013, 12:59 PM
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atolunch atolunch is offline
Oaklawn
 
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Posts: 2,218
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Steve,

Are you using the 4 or the 11 in the 6th @ AQ for the P4?

Thanks and good luck today!

Here's to keeping the Byk Train rollin!!
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Old 03-14-2013, 02:03 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by atolunch View Post
Steve,

Are you using the 4 or the 11 in the 6th @ AQ for the P4?
Should probably use both -- El Dreamer will win at some point -- but the 11 makes sense as the other horse..

G/L!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #6  
Old 03-14-2013, 03:08 PM
cal828 cal828 is offline
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Posts: 5,901
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I think Jet Blue Girl is the 6 in Race 7 at SA.
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