12/15: Gulfstream Park (1st-10th)

[Kasept]

Brilliant performance from Shared Belief ended the G1 stakes era at Hollywood Park on a high note Saturday as the Candy Ride gelding stamped himself as the possible Juvenile Champion and certain 2014 Classic Season heavyweight. The Jerry Hollendorfer trainee owned by Jim Rome’s Jungle Racing and Partners sat patiently throughout under Corey Nakatani and was even unperturbed by an outside rush to the front from Candy Boy nearing the turn. Shared Belief simply responded when asked off the turn by Nakatani and powered away from the overmatched field to a 5+ length win that will earn him many 2yo Eclipse votes in coming weeks.

Meanwhile, Baffert/Fog City hopeful and 2nd choice Tap It Rich took a big step backwards undoing any apparent progress that had been made to bring the willful Tapit ridgling to hand. Though we won’t have to think about them at Hollywood beyond next Sunday, the outside post positions fully doomed a marooned third of the field as the 1-2-3-4-6 filled the pay slots including 72-1 maiden Electric Eddie who ran evenly to be 5th.

At Gulfstream, Michael Dilger stunned a deep-looking 2yo MSW route with 36-1 Our Caravan. The Sobotniks’ Daaher bay, whose seeming clue for talent was a $190k Saratoga Yearling price tag, halted P4 and P5 plays in their tracks.

Hope everyone did OK Saturday… With NY cancelled, Gulfstream and Hollywood will get the focus.


GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Strong Humor 6-1 ($8.20)
Next Best: #3 Thunder Hole 2-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Belief System 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Mr. Baker 20-1 5th


2nd: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Wild, wide open affair!

Best Value: #3 Pyrite Smokin 20-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Love Shack 15-1 10th
Exotics Use: #6 Zeffee 20-1 9th
Super Add: #7 Double Berg 4-1 7th


3rd: MCLM/$32k, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Thinkofyou 7-2 5th
Best Value: #4 Formal Quality 12-1 9th
Next Best: #2 K B Biorhythms 3-1 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Cocoanut Row 5-1 7th


4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Top Excitement 3-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Casino Day 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Gaetano T 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Jump for Kitten 5-2 WON ($4.40)


5th: MCLM/$25k, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Rainbow 6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Amber Morning 3-1 10th
Next Best: #14 Ever Awesome 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Love That Kelly 4-1 WON ($8.20)
Super Add: #6 Exceed the Limit 15-1 3rd


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-6-7
3: 2-4-6
4: 1-8
5: 2-11-14

4x3x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48


6th: OC/N1X, 2yo, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

All eyes on Coup de Grace as C. Brown/Fox Hill colt takes next step..

Most Likely: #8 Coup de Grace 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #2 Gone as Wind 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Hy Kodiak Warrior 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Purchango 12-1 6th


7th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

I think Divine Luck is a standout here in the type of open race I like to make stands. Bustle (4-1) up against it from #13..

Best Value: #4 Divine Luck 6-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Dancing for Glory 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Exclude 10-1 8th
Super Add: #7 Indian Starlight 20-1 11th


8th: 9th South Beach, F&M-3+, 7.5f-T (P3, DD)

Another spot where if the one you like doesn’t win, it could be any of another 8-9..

Most Likely: #6 Baffle Me 3-1 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #8 Sure Route 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Moment in Dixie 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Ana Luisa 4-1 4th


9th: OC/N1X, 2yo-F, 6f (DD)

Pletcher Glencrest filly Onlyforyou the one to beat yes, but Istrue has S. Florida tongues wagging..

Most Likely: #4 Only for You 3-1 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #10 Istrue 5-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Dreaminofauntdiane 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Red Brunette 15-1 10th


10th: MCLM/$75k, 2yo, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Dropper.. Turf movers.. Stretchouts.. Yee-Ha!

Best Value: #11 Crossed Boundary 10-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Kwacha 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Aunt Ruby’s Kitten 5-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Dark and Dusty 8-1 7th
Hi-5 Play: #8 Meuser 3-1 WON ($6.60)


<$50 P5 Play:

6: 2-8
7: 4
8: 3-6-7-8
9: 2-4-10
10: 4-7-9-11

2x1x4x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 4-5
8: 3-6-7-8
9: 2-4-10
10: 3-4-7-8-9-11

2x4x3x6 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

GP SCR/CHG'S