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#1
12-29-2013, 06:59 AM
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12/29: Aqueduct ($33k C/O)
Parade of $17-$25 winners at Aqueduct crushed my P4 interests and tripped a $33k carryover into Sunday. Central to the price players was Dominick Schettino, who last saddled a winner on October 27, but got firster Molly the Freud and previously mired Fee and Sugar across for diplomas.
Had all the mundane victors at Santa Anita but stupidly categorized Unbridled's Song as a 3rd choice "B" in the P4 structures which cost a breakeven return of the $1.50 main play. One nice result at Arcadia was 10-1 ML 'Best Value' idea Cherubim who crushed a good MSW group at nearly 21-1. Cherubim was interesting because of strong workout notes from Andy Harrington in his National Turf report: SA 12/15: Would have called this a breeze under wraps while going the last 4f in 47.4. May like the dirt a lot more than now departed Cushion surface. -- Grade: B SA 12/9: Much the best over Son Of Malibu looking to have nice looking power while under wraps, last 3f in 36.1. Sure looks better than debut. -- Grade: B For $10, you should not play SoCal tracks without Harrington's insights. Hope everyone did well Saturday... This AQU sequence is completely impossible, but I've capped it and here are the thoughts. AQUEDUCT POST-SCRATCHES 4th: MCLM/$50k, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD) $33k P6 C/O starts here.. Reasonable opening to skein with dropping faves Sals Wonderfulgirl and Believeinfaith standing out. There are lurkers though in the form of Julie Napp SCR'D (Schettino, dropping down & cutting back) and Lady Luciano (Cannizzo Frost Giant miss that improved in first try on the inner track). The fun horse here is Lauded (20-1) from Henning who sports the pentafecta of karma moves by dropping down, cutting back, going turf to dirt, adding blinkers and tabbing bug! Most Likely: #8 Sals Wonderfulgirl 3-1 5th Next Best: #4 Believeinfaith 2-1 3rd Exotics Use: #7 Lady Luciano 6-1 6th Best Value: #9 Lauded 20-1 8th 5th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 8.5f (F/S, P3, DD) If Penn National invader A.P. Cino runs to his paper form, he appears dominant. Don't be put off by Kaylia Albright who is a 15% jock that won her 100th race of the year Saturday. She has banked close to $2,000,000 in 2013, her 2nd year in the irons.. Most Likely: #5 A. P. Cino 2-1 2nd Best Value: #1 Sacred Ground 10-1 3rd Next Best: #9 Photon 5-2 WON ($10.00) Exotics Use: #6 Metaurus 30-1 6th 6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Best Value: #12 M P Ruckus 15-1 2nd Next Best: #1a El Oh El 1-1 WON ($5.00) Next Best: #4 Stealth Steed 10-1 4th Exotics Use: #6 Two More Jacs 15-1 7th 7th: NY-OC/C, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD) One of the races that makes this a very difficult P6 to manage. Entire field is within a couple lengths of each other on typical form.. Most Likely: #6 Rebellious Chic 7-2 8th Next Best: #2 Rodinia 3-1 WON ($6.20) Best Value: #1 SCR Exotics Use: #4 Concealed 6-1 2nd 8th: OC/C, 3+, 8.5f (DD) Equally impossible group.. Most Likely: #6 Tiz Chris 9-2 4th Best Value: #4 Modern Child 20-1 WON ($38.20) Next Best: #2 Mighty Ian 4-1 5th Exotics Use: #1e Jacobson entry 5-2 2nd/6th Super Add: #9 Finn's Quest 7-2 3rd 9th: CLM, 3+, 1m-70y Expect #1 Hailstone to SCR having run Friday.. Not that his coming out makes this any easier.. Most Likely: #5 Festive Spirit 9-2 9th Next Best: #3 Mr. Espresso 8-1 5th Best Value: #4 Classic R and B 30-1 3rd Exotics Use: #6 Money in Motion 6-1 4th <$300 P6 Play: All A Entries 1 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00 A's with One B 2 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00 3 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $16.00 4 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00 5 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $16.00 6 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 4,6 - $8.00 A's with Two B's 7 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $16.00 8 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00 9 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $16.00 10 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 4,6 - $8.00 11 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 3,5 - $16.00 12 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $32.00 13 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 4,6 - $16.00 14 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $16.00 15 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 4,6 - $8.00 16 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 4,6 - $16.00 A's with One C 17 $2.00 pick P6: 1,7,9 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $24.00 18 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 1,4,5 with 6 with 3,5 - $24.00 19 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 1,9 with 3,5 - $16.00 20 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 2,7 - $8.00 Total: $288.00 <$100 P4 Play: All A Entries 1 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00 A's with One B 2 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00 3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 1,4 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00 4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 1,2 with 3,5 - $8.00 5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 6 - $4.00 A's with Two B's 6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,4 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00 7 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 2,6 with 1,2 with 3,5 - $8.00 8 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 6 - $4.00 9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 1,4 with 1,2 with 3,5 - $8.00 10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 1,4 with 4,6 with 6 - $4.00 11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 1,2 with 6 - $4.00 A's with One C 12 $0.50 pick P4: 9,10 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00 13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 3,5,9 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $12.00 14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 9 with 3,5 - $4.00 15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 4 - $4.00 Total: $100.00 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 12-29-2013 at 04:23 PM. 
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#2
12-29-2013, 11:03 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#3
12-29-2013, 03:54 PM
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Quote:
__________________
Good Luck......and may a Derby Trailer lead the way to the window! Ed
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#4
12-29-2013, 04:00 PM
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Ed, Dave..
Thanks fellas.. But I don't like the way the board looks.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#6
12-29-2013, 03:52 PM
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#7 Amber Coast lone live runner in @NYRAnews C/O for $93k. Any other winner produces Tuesday 'must pay' double carry..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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