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Old 11-22-2014, 10:32 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,304
Default 11/22: Aquduct (6th-9th); Delta Downs (4th-7th); Churchill (Cardinal)

AQUEDUCT


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: 8th NYSS-Staten Island, F&M-3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Addition of blinks should keep Vicki's Dancer ready-to-strike proximity to pace..

Most Likely: #7 Vicki's Dancer 7-2 WON ($8.60)
Next Best: #6 Sunny Desert 3-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Skye Saratoga 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Uncle Southern 5-1 3rd


6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Terrific wagering scenario as Honor Code (7-5) comes back here at less-than-ideal trip, meets solid cast of hard hitters and likely needs a start. Prices Royal Currier (12-1), Candyman E (20-1), Sam Sparkle (15-1) and Great Attack (12-1) ALL have merit when building exotic tickets. Pure Sensation (4-1) and comebacker Maleeh (8-1) are the major players, but not sure how I view Monster Mash off the big effort 10/24. This should be wildly entertaining..

Most Likely: #2 Maleeh 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Pure Sensation 4-1 7th
Best Value: #1 Royal Currier 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Honor Code 7-5 WON ($5.70)


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 America's Guest 20-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Adirondack Dancer 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Asset Inflation 5-2 4th (Via DQ from 2nd)
Super Add: #9 Idle American 10-1 WON ($15.40)


8th: 8th NYSS-Thunder Rumble, 3+, 7f (DD)

Odd side note to this is fact that none of the 10 have ever won at 7f..

Most Likely: #1 West Hills Giant 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #7 Gridley Here 12-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Readbytheline 5-1 WON ($13.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Sir Leslie 20-1 8th


9th: CLM, 3+, 1m-T

Nice that this stays on grass. Straight ol' $25k claimers making for a very good nightcap..

Best Value: #2 Mr Rosenthal 10-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Cheyenne Nation 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Majestic Raffy 15-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Shetan 3-1 6th


$80 P4 Grid:

6: 2-7 (A), 1-8 (B), 5-10 (C)
7: 3-4 (A), 8-9 (B), 2-5-10 (C)
8: 1 (A), 6-7 (B), 2 (C)
9: 2-4 (A), 1-6 (B), 5-9-10 (C)



DELTA DOWNS


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: 6th LA Jewel, 2yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Wind Chill Factor 4-1 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #7 Composed SCR
Next Best: #1 Z Smoke 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Pitcher 3-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Casual Class 5-1 2nd


5th: 10th Treasure Chest, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Yahilwa 5-2 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #9 Class Included 9-2 7th
Next Best: #2 Kiss to Remember 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Lady Hadassah 12-1 5th
Super/Hi-5: #4 Spring in the Air 7-2 4th


6th: 12th Delta Princess (G3), 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Danessa Deluxe 12-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Sharla Rae 10-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Vivian Da Bling 3-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Temper Mint Patty 8-1 5th
Hi-5 Play: #6 Take Charge Brandi 2-1 WON ($6.40)


7th: 12th Delta Jackpot (G3), 2yo, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Mr. Z 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Golden Actor 7-2 9th
Best Value: #1 Prime Engine 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Ocho Ocho Ocho 6-1 WON ($7.20)
Super Add: #7 Red Button 12-1 7th


$75 P4 Grid:

4: 5-7 (A), 1-2 (B), 6-9 (C)
5: 6 (A), 9 (B), 1-2-4 (C)
6: 1-9 (A), 3-6-7 (B), 5-10 (C)
7: 3-6 (A), 1 (B), 4-5-7-8-9-10 (C)



CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


9th: 41st Cardinal H. (G3), F&M-3+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Tremendously compelling set of 14 with course condition a great unknown going in. They'll have to catch I'm Already Sexy..

Most Likely: #1 I'm Already Sexy 3-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Pappascat 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Nellie Cashman 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #12 Strike Charmer 8-1 WON ($26.60)
Super Add: #4 Bitty Kitty 6-1 7th


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 11-22-2014 at 08:46 PM.
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  #2  
Old 11-22-2014, 12:31 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,304
Default

AQU SCR/CHG'S

CD SCR/CHG'S

CARDINAL

#3 Frivolous Scratched - Reason Unavailable 11:14 AM ET
#7 Imposing Grace Scratched - Reason Unavailable 11:14 AM ET
#13 Northern Passion Jockey changed to Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr. 12:15 PM ET

DeD SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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