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11/28: Aqueduct ($38k C/O); Churchill (8th-12th); Del Mar (5th-10th)
AQUEDUCT
PRE-SCRATCHES 1st: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD) Most Likely: #2 Gehrig 2-1 WON ($4.90) Next Best: #6 Hit It Once More 4-1 3rd Best Value: #9 Sherry's Miracle 10-1 2nd Exotics Use: #7 New York's Zip 6-1 4th $1 Exacta (2-9) Paid $18.80 $1 Trifecta (2-9-6) Paid $56.75 $1 Superfecta (2-9-6-7) Paid $323.50 2nd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #6 Loose On the Town 3-1 6th Next Best: #2 Altar Boy 7-2 5th Best Value: #5 Between the Lines 5-1 2nd Exotics Use: #3 Possilicious 5-2 4th 3rd: 94th Demoiselle (G2), 2yo-F, 9f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #2 Lewis Bay 8-5 WON ($4.10) Best Value: #5 Lost Raven 6-1 5th Next Best: #1 Flora Dora 7-2 4th Exotics Use: #3 Thrilled 4-1 2nd 4th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P3, DD) Most Likely: #6 Snag 2-1 6th Next Best: #1 Inspector Lynley 7-2 2nd Best Value: #3 Stevie Q 6-1 5th Exotics Use: #8 Clear the Mine 8-1 8th 5th: 102nd Remsen (G2), 2yo, 9f (P6, P3, DD) $37.7k C/O starts here.. Most Likely: #4 Flexibility 3-1 2nd Next Best: #3 Mohaymen 8-5 WON ($5.10) Best Value: #2 Sail Ahoy 6-1 4th Exotics Use: #6 Gift Box 4-1 3rd P5 Grid: 1: 2 (A), 6-9 (B), 5-7-8 (C) 2: 2-6 (A), 3-5 (B), 1-4 (C) 3: 2 (A), 5 (B), 1-3-4 (C) 4: 6 (A), 1 (B), 2-3-5-8 (C) 5: 3-4 (A), 2-6 (B), 1-9 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x2x4 = 192 x .50 = $96 P4 Grid: 2: 2-6 (A), 3-5 (B), 1-4 (C) 3: 2 (A), 1-5 (B), 3-4 (C) 4: 6 (A), 1-3 (B), 2-5-8 (C) 5: 3-4 (A), 2-6 (B), 1-9 (C) Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 6th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (G/S, P3, DD) Typically impossible NYB turf ALW with 7 of the 10 looking win eligible. Nightmare for P6 budgets.. Most Likely: #4 Sonnyandpally 8-1 3rd Best Value: #5 He Has Charm 20-1 9th Exotics Use: #1 Island Therapy 5-2 2nd Super Add: #7 Raffies Bay 10-1 10th 7th: 66th Comely (G3), 3yo-F, 9f (P4, P3, DD) You'll recall from ATR visits that Motion was jumping out of his skin to get Peace and War into the Distaff and her effort from the impossible 14 hole was hardly an embarrassment. Moves inside v. sophomore sisterhood and can garner laurels. The Great One sends Curlish Figure who is maturing into a good filly, is bred to suit trip and will be boxcars.. Most Likely: #1 Peace and War 4-1 5th Best Value: #2 Curlish Figure 20-1 10th Next Best: #7 Carrumba 3-1 2nd Exotics Use: #9 Forever Unbridled 4-1 WON ($11.40) 8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD) Most Likely: #6 Orino 4-1 3rd Next Best: #1 Mutin 6-1 7th Best Value: #9 Goodtolook 12-1 6th Exotics Use: #11 Dream Man 20-1 5th 9th: 27th Cigar Mile (G1), 3+, 1m (DD) Marking apparently SCR'ing.. Most Likely: #7 Private Zone 6-5 5th Exotics Use: #5 Tonalist 2-1 WON ($6.40) Best Value: #2 Mshawish 10-1 4th 10th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T Best Value: #7 Preying Mantis 10-1 5th Next Best: #4 Alabama Bound 6-1 4th Exotics Use: #10 Sophia's Choice 3-1 3rd Super Add: #8 Silver Vixen 8-1 8th P6 Grid: 5: 3-4 (A), 2-6 (B), 1-9 (C) 6: 4 (A), 1-5 (B), 7-8-9-10 (C) 7: 1 (A), 2-7 (B), 3-9-10 (C) 8: 1-6 (A), - (B), 9 (C) 9: 7 (A), - (B), 2-4-5 (C) 10: 7 (A), 4-10 (B), 5-6-8 (C) Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x2x1x3 = 144 x $2 = $288 P4 Grid: 7: 1 (A), 2-7 (B), 3-9-10 (C) 8: 1-6 (A), - (B), 7-9-10-11 (C) 9: 7 (A), 2-5 (B), 4 (C) 10: 4-7 (A), 5-6-8-10 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x6 = 96 x $0.50 = $48 CHURCHILL DOWNS PRE-SCRATCHES SHOWERY DAY ANTICIPATED 8th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD) Best Value: #2 Black Ops 12-1 WON ($19.60) Next Best: #3 Dothat Dance 4-1 4th Exotics Use: #10 Cite 6-1 7th Super Add: #13 Tapster 20-1 6th 9th: 72nd Golden Rod (G2), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Stageplay 5-2 2nd Next Best: #8 Carina Mia 2-1 WON ($6.20) Best Value: #2 Sugar Cone 12-1 5th Exotics Use: #9 Dothraki Queen 5-2 4th 10th: OC/N1X, 2yo, 1m (P3, DD) Most Likely: #2 Patton Proud 7-2 3rd Next Best: #7 Conquest Big E 2-1 WON ($3.40) Best Value: #10 Spikes Shirl 15-1 4th Exotics Use: #6 Unexplained 4-1 2nd 11th: 89th Kentucky Jockey Club (G2), 2yo, 8.5f (DD) Most Likely: #4 Gun Runner 8-1 4th Best Value: #5 Perfect Saint 30-1 7th Next Best: #9 Mor Spirit 7-2 2nd Exotics Use: #11 Annual Report 5-1 5th Super Add: #10 Mo Tom 8-1 3rd 12th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (Super Hi-5) Most Likely: #3 Gray Sky 3-1 WON ($6.80) Next Best: #12 Silvertown 7-2 6th Exotics Use: #1 Entertainer 7-2 3rd Best Value: #2 Lucky Ramsey 10-1 2nd Super Add: #11 Shorty Town 20-1 8th P5 Grid: 8: 2-3 (A), 10 (B), - (C) 9: 3-8 (A), - (B), 2-9 (C) 10: 2-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 11: 4-5 (A), 9-11 (B), 3-7-10-12 (C) 12: 3 (A), 1-12 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x4x3 = 144 x $0.50 = $72 $0.50 Pick-5 (2/8/1,4,7,9/3/3) Paid $649.60 (Full A/B/C: A-A-A-C-A) P4 Grid: 9: 3-8 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C) 10: 2-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 11: 4-5 (A), 9-10-11-12 (B), 3-7 (C) 12: 3 (A), 1-12 (B), 2-11 (C) Simple (A+B): 4x2x6x3 = 144 x $0.50 = $72 $0.50 Pick-4 (8/1,4,7,9/3/3) Paid $61.30 (Full A/B/C: A-A-C-A) DEL MAR PRE-SCRATCHES 5th: Jimmy Durante (G3), 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD) Most Likely: #13 Mirage 8-1 4th Best Value: #5 Corps de Ballet 10-1 6th Next Best: #6 Jeremy's Legacy 9-2 7th Exotics Use: #3 Riri 7-2 10th 6th: Cal-OC/N1X, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #6 Roman Tizzy 4-1 3rd Best Value: #7 Tribal Jewel 8-1 WON ($15.00) Next Best: #8 Storm Comin Thru 5-2 2nd Exotics Use: #2 Toledo Eddie 5-1 4th 7th: Hollywood Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f-T (P3, DD) Most Likely: #4 Chiropractor 8-1 WON ($30.20) Next Best: #6 Fundamental 8-1 4th Best Value: #1 Mister Brightside 12-1 9th Exotics Use: #5 Om 5-2 3rd Super Add: #13 Offering Plan 5-1 5th 8th: Native Diver (G3), 3+, 9f (DD) Most Likely: #3 Dortmund 6-2 WON ($3.20) Next Best: #4 Iron Fist 2-1 3rd Exotics Use: #7 Imperative 4-1 2nd Super Add: #5 Big Cazanova 10-1 4th 9th: OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (Super Hi-5) Best Value: #1 Somethings Unusual 8-1 ($15.60) Next Best: #6 Hunt 7-2 2nd Exotics Use: #11 Second Summer 6-1 4th Super Add: #7 What a View 9-2 5th Hi-5 Play: #5 Itsinthepost 20-1 3rd $1 Exacta (1-6) Paid $29.70 $1 Trifecta (1-6-5) Paid $808.70 $1 Superfecta (1-6-5-11) Paid $6,998.20 $1 Exact 5 (1-6-5-11-7) Paid $4,643.80 P4 Grid: 6: 6 (A), 7-8 (B), - (C) 7: 4-6 (A), 1-5-11-13 (B), 3-10 (C) 8: 3-4 (A), - (B), - (C) 9: 1-6 (A), 7-11 (B), 2-5 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x6x2x4 = 144 x $0.50 = $72 $0.50 Pick-4 (7/4/1,3,6/1) Paid $849.15 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 11-30-2015 at 10:35 AM. |
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AQU SCR/CHG'S
Grening tweeting that Marking expected to SCR from Cigar and that Pletcher taking one out of Demoiselle..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |
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Steve race 1 hit it once more is the 6 not the 4. Gl today,thanks
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Nice ride by Jose Ortiz in the 4th doing nothing late as he looks inside to see his brother go by on the longer shot.
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cost me the pick 5. the winner is a stakes hoss
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BOOM goes the Dynamite!!!
What an absolute display of handicapping today. Congrats and thanks as always! |
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Steve you should move to San Diego! Nice Job !
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We've Gone Delirious |
#8
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Thanks all.. Hope many benefited.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |
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