8/5: Saratoga ~ Day 13 (G2 Hall of Fame; $35k C/O)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Messy but well-matched turf dashers seeking diploma level. 1-4-5 the top candidates, but other 6 are all within a few lengths of them. Policy Portfolio (15-1) advanced with move to lawn and cuts back from 7f to 5f. Abolitionist (8-1) does the Triple Whammy (dropping down, cutting back, turf to dirt) for Clement..

Best Value: #7 Abolitionist 8-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Tracking Stock 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Policy Portfolio 15-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Just the Zip 12-1 6th


2nd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Lots of spotty performers lining up. Tabaddol a new gelding. I. Ortiz gets off Contessa to ride Leitrim. Papa Shot 2nd/layoff, drops and goes T2D. Toohottoevenspeak drops and puts blinkers back on for outside stalking trip that should work..

Most Likely: #9 Toohottoevenspeak 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Leitrim 12-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Papa Shot 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Tabaddol 4-1 6th


3rd: CLM, 3yo, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Almost all drop in for a tag, most for the first time. Chad Brown, Ramsey entry and other Maker are all apparent (1e-3-7), but there are plenty of price options to consider. Bibbo (10-1) rises a tick for Bond off claim from Mott and John Servis, who could have run Kingslayer (12-1) in easier spots at PRX, MTH, LRL or DEL, shows up here to attack $67k pot. Superb betting affair..

Best Value: #4 Bibbo 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #1e Ramsey entry 5-2 4th/6th
Exotics Use: #2 Kingslayer 12-1 7th
Super Add: #3 Stevie Q 2-1 WON ($6.10)


4th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 A Few Good Friends 2-1 DNF (Eased)
Next Best: #1 Literata 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Linda Mimi 5-2 WON ($4.50)


5th: MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$35k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #5 Rexy 4-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Gateway to Gold 12-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Kirby's Penny 8-1 WON ($11.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Quanique 5-2 2nd


P5 Grid:

1: 1-7 (A), - (B), 3-4-5 (C)
2: 3-7-9 (A), - (B), 4-6-8 (C)
3: 1-4 (A), 2-3-7 (B), 6 (C)
4: 1-3-4 (A), - (B), 2-5-6 (C)
5: 4-5 (A), - (B), 3-6-7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x5x3x2 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A's: 2x3x2x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36


P4 Grid:

2: 3-6-7-9 (A), - (B), 4-8 (C)
3: 1-4 (A), 2-3 (B), 6-7-8 (C)
4: 1-3-4 (A), - (B), 2-5-6 (C)
5: 4-5 (A), 8 (B), 3-6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 4x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


6th: MSW, 3+, 9f (G/S, P3, DD)

Fascinating MSW featuring Encrypt out of famed dam Ava Knowsthecode (Keyed Entry, Algorithms, Justin Phillip, et al) and Tale of Mist, half to Tonalist..

Best Value: #6 Tale of Mist 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Encrypt 2-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Admiral Blue 8-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Happy Match 12-1 4th


7th: O/CLM, 3+, 11f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Money Multiplier will be widespread P6 single..

Most Likely: #8 Money Multiplier 6-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #3 Gold Shield 12-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Hello Don Julio 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Animal Instinct 8-1 4th


8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Casual Cocktail 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Splendid Gold 8-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Making Havoc 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Fair Point 5-2 WON ($8.80)


9th: 32nd Hall of Fame (G2), 3yo, 8.5f-IT (DD)

Chess match of a stake. Airoforce gets back to appropriate trip. Is Isotherm going to be 4-1? Think that number floats up. Camelot Kitten obviously a major player but he never looks appealing to me and this spot no exception at certain low odds. Giant Run, Strike Midnight and Unbridled Daddy have their pluses. Tricky call for P6 tix especially..

Most Likely: #6 Airoforce 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #9 Camelot Kitten 8-5 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #5 Isotherm 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Giant Run 6-1 4th


10th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T

Best Value: #6 Thomas Hill 10-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Risetotheoccasion 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #12 El Botas 12-1 12th
Super Add: #2 Rivzinthehouse 6-1 3rd


P6 Grid:

5: 4-5 (A), - (B), 6-8 (C)
6: 4-6 (A), - (B), 1-2-7-8 (C)
7: 8 (A), - (B), 2-3-6-9 (C)
8: 3-5 (A), - (B), 1-2-4-6 (C)
9: 6-9 (A), 5 (B), 1-4-8 (C)
10: 6-11 (A), 2-12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x1x2x3x4 = 96 x $2 = $192
All A's: 2x2x1x2x2x2 = 32 x $2 = $64


P4 Grid:

7: 8 (A), - (B), 3-6-9 (C)
8: 2-3-5 (A), 1-4-6 (B), - (C)
9: 1-5-6-9 (A), - (B), 4-8 (C)
10: 6-11-12 (A), 2-3-7 (B), 1-8-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x6x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x3x4x3 = $36 ($18 for .50)


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S