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Old 07-31-2017, 07:15 AM
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Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 7/31: Saratoga ($100k Late P5 C/O; $48k P6 C/O)

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Miss Kentucky 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 First Charmer 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 True Charm 8-1 WON ($9.00)


2nd: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Mohican 10-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Peace Speaker 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Now in a Drive 5-2 4th
Super Add: #5 Oiseau de Guerre 8-1 2nd


3rd: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Smile Big & Moana are more likely, but taking a stab that Medaglia d'Oro daughter out of BC Distaff winner Pleasant Home relishes return to dirt after extended turf campaign netted diploma downstate,,

Best Value: #2 Blenheim Palace 4-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Smile Big 5-2 WON ($15.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Moana 6-5 3rd


4th: MCLM/$50k, 2yo, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$48k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #6 Joopster 3-1 WON ($6.70)
Best Value: #8 Day of Reckoning 8-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Shane's Jewel 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Tom's Music 12-1 5th


5th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

$100k NYRA Bets P5 C/O starts here..

Best Value: #7 Full Salute 10-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Shadow Rock 5-2 WON ($10.20)
Exotics Use: #8 Aktabantay 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Padilla 6-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

1: 4 (A), 5 (B), 3-5-6 (C)
2: 4-10 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)
3: 1-2 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)
4: 6-8 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)
5: 7-8-9 (A), - (B), 2-6-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x4x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 1x2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12


P4 Grid:

2: 4-10 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)
3: 1-2 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)
4: 6-8 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)
5: 7-8-9 (A), 2-6-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12


6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Tricky group. Not a whole lot of pace on..

Best Value: #5 Frosty Lady 8-1 WON ($5.30)
Next Best: #10 My Good Venezuela 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Morethanawarning 8-1 4th
Super Adds: #3 Believe Indeed 8-1 3rd


7th: NY-OC/N1X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Minsky Moment 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Winston's Chance 6-1 WON ($25.40)
Next Best: #4 Blame the Thief 5-2 4th


8th:6th Coronation Cup, 3yo-F, 5.5f-T (DD)

Best Value: #6 Epping Forest 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Morticia 2-1 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #5 India Mantuana 4-1 7th
Super Add: #2 Hidden Mystery 10-1 3rd


9th: NY-MCLM/$25k, 3+, 6f

Dab drops down, cuts back, goes turf to dirt AND adds blinkers.. And as if the karma moves quartet isn't enough, I ran into John Terranova & Matt Gatsas at dinner last night to boot..

Most Likely: #1 Dab 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #13 Saratoga Colonel 8-1 5th
Next Best: #15 Nut Nut 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #14 Lake Surprise SCR


P6 Grid:

4: 6-8 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)
5: 7-9 (A), - (B), 8-10 (C)
6: 5-10 (A), 7 (B), 3-4 (C)
7: 6 (A), - (B), 1-2-3-4 (C)
8: 6 (A), 5-8 (B), 2-4 (C)
9: 1 (A), 13 (B), 4-14-15 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x1x3x1 = 36 x $2 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x1x1x1 = 8 x $2 = $16


P5 Grid:

5: 7-8-9 (A), - (B), 2-6-10 (C)
6: 5-7-10 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)
7: 6 (A), - (B), 1-2-3-4 (C)
8: 5-6-8 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
9: 1 (A), 13 (B), 4-6-10-14-15 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x1x5x2 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 3x3x1x3x1 = 27 x .50 = $13.50


P4 Grid:

6: 5-7-10 (A), 3-4 (B), 6-11 (C)
7: 6 (A), - (B), 1-2-3-4 (C)
8: 5-6-8 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
9: 1-13 (A), 14-15 (B), 4-6-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x5x4 = 100 x .50 = $50
All A's: 3x1x3x2 = $18 ($9 for .50)


Good luck!
Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 07-31-2017 at 08:25 PM.
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Old 07-31-2017, 10:36 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
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SAR SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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