8/4: Saratoga (G2 Hall of Fame; $160k DBL C/O)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Corey Q 5-2 4th
Best Value: #3 Burkey's Babe 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Sand City 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Lightworker 8-1 5th


2nd: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6,5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Little Miss Amy 5-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Luna Rising 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #4 North Eighth Street 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Bahnahno 8-1 3rd


3rd: MSW, 3+, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Switzerland 6-5 4th
Next Best: #2 Sethary 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Uncle Pancho 7-2 6th


4th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 My Roxy Girl 7-2 5th
Next Best: #4 Pauseforthecause 2-1 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Starlite Mission 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #6 Cartwheel 5-2 4th


5th: OC/N3X, 3+, 1M-IT (P6, P3, DD)

$160K DBL P6 C/O starts here..

Top pair stand out to me, but tricky call to make on Diversify (7-2) who seems iffy as a turf proposition on pedigree, yet handled lawn OK in drill..

Most Likely: #5 Forge 3-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Catapult 9-2 WON ($8.10)
Best Value: #11 Team Colors 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #12 Dancetrack 8-1 7th


P5 Grid:

1: 3-4-7 (A), 5-6 (B), 1 (C)
2: 2-7 (A), - (B), 1-4 (C)
3: 1 (A), - (B), 2-3-4-6-7 (C)
4: 1-4-5 (A), 6-7 (B), 2-3 (C)
5: 5-8 (A), 11 (B), 6-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x1x5x2 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

2: 1-2-4-7 (A), - (B), 3-5 (C)
3: 1 (A), 2 (B), 3-4-6-7 (C)
4: 1-4-5 (A), 6-7 (B), 2-3 (C)
5: 5-8 (A), 11 (B), 6-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x5x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 4x1x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.50 Pick-4 (2,6/7/4/8) Paid $125.75 (A-C-A-A)


6th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Tizzelle 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Eloweasel 6-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Style Drift 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1e Paradise Farms entry 5-1 5th/7th


7th: CLM, 3yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Barn switches, surface switches, turnbacks, class drops. Treacherous spot..

Most Likely: #5 Italian Syndicate 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #6 Star Empire 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Conquest Sure Shot 12-1 WON ($12.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Curtis 4-1 7th


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Divine Interventio 4-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Portfolio Manager 7-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Cavil 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Petrov 3-1 WON ($7.60)


9th: 33rd Hall of Fame (G2), 3yo, 8.5f-T (DD)

Top three from downstate Manila lead this cast with addition of several well-accredited sophs enhancing intrigue. Note many significant rider changes..

Best Value: #5 Snap Decision 5-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Bricks and Mortar 5-2 WON ($10.20)
Exotics Use: #2 Big Handsome 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Arklow 10-1 7th


10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Most Likely: #3 There He Goes 6-1 5th
Best Value: #14 Thenameescapesme 12-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Calculated Risker 5-2 WON ($)
Exotics Use: #7 You Like That 20-1 -


P6 Grid:

5: 5-8 (A), - (B), 4-11 (C)
6: 5 (A), - (B), 1-6-7 (C)
7: 5-6 (A), 1-3-8 (B), - (C)
8: 10 (A), - (B), 2-4-9 (C)
9: 1-5 (A), 2-4-10 (B), 6-9 (C)
10: 3 (A), 14 (B), 2-6-7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x5x1x5x2 = 100 x $2 = $200
All A's: 2x1x2x1x2x1 = 8 x $2 = $16


P5 Grid:

6: 5 (A), - (B), 1-6-7 (C)
7: 5-6 (A), 1-3-8 (B), - (C)
8: 10 (A), - (B), 2-4-9 (C)
9: 1-2-5 (A), 4-10 (B), 6-9 (C)
10: 3-14 (A), - (B), 2-6-7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x5x1x5x3 = 75 x .50 = $36.50
All A's: 1x2x1x3x3 = 18 x .50 = $9


P4 Grid:

7: 5-6 (A), 1-3-8 (B), - (C)
8: 9-10 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
9: 1-2-5 (A), 4-10 (B), 6-9 (C)
10: 3-14 (A), - (B), 2-6-7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x5x2 = 200 x .50 = $100
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S