9/23: Belmont Park (6th-10th); Philadelphia Park (8th-11th)

[Kasept]

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f-IT (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Rate for Me 5-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Runaway Posse 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Spectrolite 3-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Rappel 12-1 8th


7th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Up the Ante 4-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Congruity 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 E J's Revenge 20-1 12th
Exotics Use: #2 War Chest 5-1 WON ($8.30)


8th: OC/N1X, 3+, 10f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Gauguin 5-2 5th
Next Best: #8 Rapt 5-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Focus Group 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Aquaphobia 7-2 WON ($8.10)


9th: 37th Kelso H. (G2), 3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Sharp Azteca 4-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #6 Bird Song 12-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Diving Rod 2-1 2nd


10th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f-T

Most Likely: #9 Brockmoninoff 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Lutheran Rags 4-1 5th
Next Best: #12 Zigmund 7-2 WON ($7.30)
Exotics Use: #5 Sim Card 20-1 7th


P5 Grid:

6: 3-7-9 (A), 5-12 (B), - (C)
7: 1-11 (A), - (B), 2-7-8-12 (C)
8: 3-8 (A), 2-10 (B), 4-9 (C)
9: 5 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)
10: 9-10-12 (A), - (B), 2-5-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x4x1x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

7: 1-7-11 (A), - (B), 2-8-12 (C)
8: 3-8 (A), 2-10 (B), 4-9 (C)
9: 5 (A), 4-6 (B), 1-2-3 (C)
10: 5-9-10-12 (A), - (B), 2-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x1x4 = $24 ($12 for .50)



PHILADELPHIA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: PA Derby Champion Connect, 3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Not an easy read with 5 players within length or two of each other on paper. Adding Just Call Kenny to the quartet below to try and assure clean break to sequence..

Best Value: #2 Donegal Moon 4-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Matt King Coal 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Mr. Jordan 4-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Page McKenney 6-1 WON ($15.20)


9th: 30th Gallant Bob, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Front end players invariably stay on in this race and California speed of American Pastime could be difficult to reel in at what could be a liberal price..

Best Value: #5 American Pastime 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Excitations 5-2 9th
Exotics Use: #1e Goofy Ownership entry 2-1 WON/3rd ($3.60)
Super Add: #4 Running Mate 15-1 5th


10th: 41st Cotillion (G1), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

As with his colt in the Derby, Baffert has opportunity to secure 3yo Championship laurels with Abel Tasman in this edition of the Cotillion. While price unappealing, reality is that she has shown versatility and tenaciousness throughout her campaign and wins with her 'A' race..

Most Likely: #9 Abel Tasman 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #10 Salty 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 It Tiz Well 4-1 WON ($12.60)
Super Add: #3 Actress 5-1 7th


11th: 41st Pennsylvania Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

West Coast, Irap and Irish War Cry have opportunity to forge division leadership with win, but feels like West Coast is the right profile horse for this event given its' leanings towards late developers. Owns tactical style which will help cause given slightly uncertain pace scenario. Rooting for Irish War Cry to get breakthrough G1 win and hints from form cycle and solo drill say he fires today. Oversize Irap arrived early to Bensalem to prepare for this, a positive given surface not every horse takes to. Talk Logistics poised to move forward and can put a charge into your exotics..

Most Likely: #4 West Coast 8-5 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #8 Irish War Cry 9-2 8th
Next Best: #5 Irap 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Talk Logistics 20-1 5th


P4 Grid:

8: 2-4-6 (A), 8-9 (B), 1-3-7 (C)
9: 5-7 (A), 1-2-4 (B), (C)
10: 9-10 (A), - (B), 2-3-4-5-6 (C)
11: 4-5-8 (A), - (B), 1-5-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x5x2x3 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 3x2x2x3 = $36 ($18 for .50)


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

PRX SCR/CHG'S

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