6/8 (BEL): 151st Belmont Stakes Day ~ 8 G1's

[Kasept]

BELMONT STAKES

1. Joevia (Sacco/Lezcano) 30-1
2. Everfast (Romans/Saez) 12-1
3. Master Fencer (Tsunoda/Leparoux) 8-1
4. Tax (Gargan/I. Ortiz) 15-1
5. Bourbon War (Hennig/Smith) 12-1
6. Spinoff (Pletcher/Castellano) 15-1
7. Sir Winston (Casse/Rosario) 12-1
8. Intrepid Heart (Pletcher/Velazquez) 10-1
9. War of Will (Casse/Gaffalione) 2-1
10. Tacitus (Mott/J. Ortiz) 9-5

OVERNIGHT: http://www.equibase.com/premium/eqbH...-BEL-20190608D

[Kasept]

[Kasept]

[Dahoss]

You’d be hard pressed to give two worse rides in a row than Mike Smith just did. Scary bad.

[cakes44]

Mike Smith could have definitely got him out.

[Dahoss]

Another Smith gem

[blackthroatedwind]

How is a track being "lightning fast" inexcusable? How does that affect the results?

Asking for a friend.

[Rupert Pupkin]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

How is a track being "lightning fast" inexcusable? How does that affect the results?

Asking for a friend.

It is inexcusable for them to intentionally mess with the track to make it faster. People play Belmont every day and know how the track plays. Sure it can change a little bit from day to day. There isn't much they can do about that. Horse players accept that.

But why would management go out of their way to intentionally make the track lightening fast (which causes a speed bias)? Nobody wants them to do that. It makes the track play totally differently from the way it normally plays. How could they not know that their customers don't want them to do that? Do they think people want to have to totally change the way they handicap?

[Alabama Stakes]

It must have affected the results a little. There was one guy who did not have a single winner on top on Friday or Saturday. Pretty amazing feat on the 2 big days of the meet with all those races.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes

It must have affected the results a little. There was one guy who did not have a single winner on top on Friday or Saturday. Pretty amazing feat on the 2 big days of the meet with all those races.

Sad stuff from a pathetic guy.

[Alabama Stakes]

Don’t be such a baby

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes

It must have affected the results a little. There was one guy who did not have a single winner on top on Friday or Saturday. Pretty amazing feat on the 2 big days of the meet with all those races.

Even someone as clueless as you should know that picking races well in advance on tracks that end up with extreme biases is a very dicey proposition. However, it's even more disgraceful when, given everyone here knows you look at every pick I make, I have been literally crushing it over the past month ( and frankly been strong for even longer than that ). But, two days where, and you know this too, I repeatedly said I was putting very likely and logical horses second to try to find pricier alternatives, none of my "top selections" won erases all else. Good for you. You got me. You are also the worst kind of person....someone who was actually a friend of mine outside of cyberspace, who became so jealous of my relatively microscopic supposed success, that you decided to lash out on the internet ( ..and, yeah, there were those infamous Phish tickets too ). Honestly, it doesn't get any lower than you.

[Alabama Stakes]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

Even someone as clueless as you should know that picking races well in advance on tracks that end up with extreme biases is a very dicey proposition. However, it's even more disgraceful when, given everyone here knows you look at every pick I make, I have been literally crushing it over the past month ( and frankly been strong for even longer than that ). But, two days where, and you know this too, I repeatedly said I was putting very likely and logical horses second to try to find pricier alternatives, none of my "top selections" won erases all else. Good for you. You got me. You are also the worst kind of person....someone who was actually a friend of mine outside of cyberspace, who became so jealous of my relatively microscopic supposed success, that you decided to lash out on the internet ( ..and, yeah, there were those infamous Phish tickets too ). Honestly, it doesn't get any lower than you.

You are delusional.
Coming from you, it’s a compliment. And I am not jealous of you or anyone. I don’t root against or wish bad things on you or anyone else. Try admitting when you’re wrong, and you might feel better about yourself.

The past is not the lowest form of conversation. It’s awesome. The condescending way that you talk to people is really the lowest.

[freddymo]

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin

It is inexcusable for them to intentionally mess with the track to make it faster. People play Belmont every day and know how the track plays. Sure it can change a little bit from day to day. There isn't much they can do about that. Horse players accept that.

But why would management go out of their way to intentionally make the track lightening fast (which causes a speed bias)? Nobody wants them to do that. It makes the track play totally differently from the way it normally plays. How could they not know that their customers don't want them to do that? Do they think people want to have to totally change the way they handicap?

Who cares if it's slow or fast? You care there is a significant bias, for two reasons, the first is being it's hard to toss logical horses into plays if their style doesn't fit the bias, and the second is its more work because now you have to weight their effort the next time they run which is tricky.

[PeteMugg]

I’d say I’m more upset Tacitus ran about two miles in a 1 1/2 mile race. Sir Winston ran the route exactly as I hoped the ten would. Four wide all the way around isn’t much of a ride.

[Rupert Pupkin]

Originally Posted by freddymo

Who cares if it's slow or fast? You care there is a significant bias, for two reasons, the first is being it's hard to toss logical horses into plays if their style doesn't fit the bias, and the second is its more work because now you have to weight their effort the next time they run which is tricky.

When they make the track so fast at Belmont, there is almost always a big speed bias. That is my main point.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin

When they make the track so fast at Belmont, there is almost always a big speed bias. That is my main point.

Two different situations. It's OK to admit it.

[freddymo]

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin

When they make the track so fast at Belmont, there is almost always a big speed bias. That is my main point.

Everyone wants a fair surface. If you think the superintendent, who is considered by many to be outstanding, wants a bias surface you couldn't be more wrong. There is no way in the world he wakes up and says to himself, let's make a golden rail today.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin

It is inexcusable for them to intentionally mess with the track to make it faster. People play Belmont every day and know how the track plays. Sure it can change a little bit from day to day. There isn't much they can do about that. Horse players accept that.

But why would management go out of their way to intentionally make the track lightening fast (which causes a speed bias)? Nobody wants them to do that. It makes the track play totally differently from the way it normally plays. How could they not know that their customers don't want them to do that? Do they think people want to have to totally change the way they handicap?

The track has played quickly at quite a few times during the meet. We'll have to agree to disagree that this has any relevance, in isolation, whatsoever. Now, an inside bias, something that has also happened with at least some frequency during the meet ( feel free to look at my Track Trends which are posted under the "racing" subhead on nyra.com ) does have an affect on races.

[Rupert Pupkin]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

The track has played quickly at quite a few times during the meet. We'll have to agree to disagree that this has any relevance, in isolation, whatsoever. Now, an inside bias, something that has also happened with at least some frequency during the meet ( feel free to look at my Track Trends which are posted under the "racing" subhead on nyra.com ) does have an affect on races.

This is not the first time this has happened. And Belmont is not the only track who speeds up the track on big days. But the point is that when they do speed the track up on big days, it usually creates a big speed bias. I don't think that customers like that. I don't like it. Do you like it? I think most people would prefer that they leave the track alone and let it play the way it usually plays.