9/28: Belmont (R5-11); Churchill (P6 Force; P5 C/O)

Kasept · #1 09-28-2019, 06:10 AM

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Princessa Caroline (AmPharoah) a half to Lady Eli (Divine Park) & Bizzy Caroline (Afleet Alex); Laughable a full to Quip (DistHumor)..

Most Likely: #1 Laughable 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Our Little Jewel 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Princesa Caroline 9-2 WON ($11.00)
Super Add: #4 Boxer Rebellion 3-1 4th

6th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (Empire 6, P3, DD)

Two more American Pharoah-topped pedigrees on display here with Mandatory a half to I'm a Chatterbox (Munnings) and Juulstone coming out of terrific Donk NY-bred stakes machine Hessionite (Freud). Juddmonte/Brown firster Toledo will take money, but being out of a sister of Seismic Wave, you wonder if he may end up being a turfer..

Most Likely: #9 Mandatory 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Flatter Me 8-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Toledo 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Americanus 8-1 WON ($16.20)

7th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P5, P3, DD)

A winner of 2 in a row 2nd/3rd of the break, Theaterintheround looks to be at her best right now and should get a pleasant trip behind the speed(s). 12-1 and you get Rosario..

Best Value: #2 Theaterintheround 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Saratoga Treasure 7-2 WON ($15.80)
Exotics Use: #1 First Appeal 5-2 6th
Super Add: #6 High Jingo 3-1 8th

8th: 79th Beldame (G2), F&M-3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

SCR #5 Vexacious

Most Likely: #1 Midnight Bisou 2-5 WON ($2.30)
Next Best: #6 Wow Cat 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Another Broad 20-1 4th

9th: 20th Pilgrim (G3), 2yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Good set of juvy turfers with an interpretation of runners out of the messy With Anticipation (Tuggle, Andesite, Our Country) necessary given group of MDN breakers (No Word, Maxwell Esquire, Structor & dirt/turf mover Famished) that may all supersede those..

Best Value: #5 Maxwell Esquire 8-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Structor 5-2 WON ($7.00)
Exotics Use: #2 No Word 5-2 5th
Super Add: #8 Famished 6-1 4th

10th: 101st Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1), 3+, 10f (DD)

3yo Code of Honor & Tacitus face off against elder Vino Rosso & Preservationist with $75k Loooch/Hess claim Olympic Village (Congrats o/o Empire Maker mare) looking to interlope with services of Castellano. Preservationist could get same vanguard trip he enjoyed in the Suburban here, with Olympic Village stalking outside. Vino Rosso should set up shop behind those with Tacitus potentially closer than usual from the inside. That leaves Johnny V & Code of Honor a catbird seat view of the action and all the options towards his move. Fascinating edition of this historic standard with the 4 principals looking to head to Breeder's Cup the right way..

Best Value: #3 Vino Rosso 7-2 2nd-DQ'd from WIN
Next Best: #2 Code of Honor 8-5 WON-Up from 2nd ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Preservationist 9-5 4th

11th: MSW, 3+, 1m-T

Shadwell's Motataabeq (15-1) is completely obscured in this group having debuted in an off/turf event on closing weekend upstate. By City Zip out of a Dynaformer mare, this half to Partisan Politics was well-anticipated for that first career start and could ace this follow up at a price you won't see again..

Best Value: #4 Motataabeq 15-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Border Town 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Chantry Flats 7-2 WON ($18.80)
Super Add: #6 Perceived 4-1 4th

P5 Grid:

7: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C)
8: 1 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-5-7 (A), 1-6-8 (B), - (C)
10: 2-3 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
11: 4-8 (A), - (B), 6-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x6x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
C Backups: 2x1x3x2x2 (24) + 3x1x3x2x2 (36) = 60 x .50 = $30

$0.50 Pick-5 (3/1,5/7/2/10) Paid $366.25 ~ (A-A-A-A-C)

P4 Grid:

8: 1 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
9: 2-5-7 (A), 1-6-8 (B), - (C)
10: 1-2-3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 4-8 (A), 6-10 (B), 2-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x6x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 1x3x4x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)
C Backups: 1x3x4x2 (24) + 1x3x4x2 (24) = 48 x .50 = $24

$0.50 Pick-4 (1,5/7/2/10) Paid $56.25

CHURCHILL 'DOWNS AFTER DARK' ~ FIRST POST 6p

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (Single 6, P3, DD)

$71,694 Must Pay .20 P6 starts here..

Best Value: #5 Cleopatra's Charm 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Impeccable Style 4-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Weekend Fun 2-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Delphiki 8-1 4th

5th: OC/N2L, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Kodikova 5-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Wexx 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Takeitback 4-1 7th
Super Add: #10 Battleofwinterfell 3-1 3rd

6th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Ekati's Verve 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Road Game 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Not Very Gentle 10-1 WON ($26.20)
Super Add: #5 Pintxos 7-2 5th

7th: Ack Ack (G3), 3+, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

$74,372 P5 Carryover Starts Here..

Best Value: #3 C Z Rocket 8-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Mr. Jagermeister 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Timeline 3-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Mr Darcy 10-1 3rd

8th: Jefferson Cup (G3), 3yo, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Rijeka 10-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Tracksmith 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Scars Are Cool 5-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Clint Maroon 8-1 4th

9th: Lukas Classic (G3), 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Mocito Rojo 5-1 WON ($19.60)
Next Best: #7 Pioneer Spirit 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Tenfold 6-1 8th
Super Add: #4 Quip 5-2 6th

Single 6 Grid:

4: 1-3-5-6
5: 6
6: 1-2-5-7-9
7: 3-5-6-8
8: 6-7
9: 7-10

.20 Play: 4x1x4x4x2x2 = 256 x .20 = $51.20

P5 Grid:

5: 6 (A), - (B), 4-9 (C)
6: 1-2-5-7-9 (A), - (B), 4 (C)
7: 3-6 (A), 5-8 (B), 2-4-7 (C)
8: 6-7 (A), 1-8 (B), 5 (C)
9: 7-10 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x5x4x4x2 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 1x5x2x2x2 = 40 x .50 = $20

P4 Grid:

6: 1-2-5-7-9 (A), - (B), 4 (C)
7: 3-6 (A), 5-8 (B), 2-4-7 (C)
8: 6-7 (A), 1-8 (B), 5 (C)
9: 7-10 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x4x2 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 5x2x2x2 = 40 x .50 = $20

10th: OC/S-ALW, F&M-3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Indian Paint 4-1 WON ($6.00)
Next Best: #1 Loran Holiday 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Kimberly Dream 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #8 Darlin Rosie 5-1 4th

11th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #12 Admiral Brown 4-1 4th
Next Best: #6 All Around 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Lontani 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Square the Circle 12-1 2nd
Hi-5 Play: #5 Jimmy Joe 5-1 WON ($11.00)

P5 Grid:

7: 3-6 (A), 5-8 (B), 2-4-7 (C)
8: 6-7 (A), 1-8 (B), 3-5 (C)
9: 7-10 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)
10: 1-3 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
11: 6-9-12 (A), - (B), 4-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x2x3 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

8: 1-6-7-8 (A), - (B), 3-5 (C)
9: 7-10 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)
10: 1-3 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
11: 6-9-12 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 4x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24

Good luck!
Steve