Santa Anita Opening Day

[Scav]

Couple of horses that might be playable. Scuds, I look for Flores to all of a sudden turn the light on and should ride lights out early on, probably just needed the break.

Race 2: #3 Unrequited - He has a sneaky turf sire in Not for Love, by Mr. Prospector. Bottom side has a little turf in him also. Valvadia is wonderful on the lawn and could be playable at decent odds

Race 5: #11 Into Reality - I think you might be able to squeeze decent odds out of this filly by Untuttable because of the 1 horse Coca Belle, who I consider a money burner. Into Reality is EXTREMELY playable in this spot.

Race 7: #12 Zann - Not a fan being so darn wide but this is the type of race that Flores wins for fun. Pretty wide open and if breaks a second slow he could get a decent trip

Favorites that I think will win tomorrow

Race 3: #2 Tenfold - Baffert Tiznow colt working extremely well and what should be short odds

Race 8: #2 Arson Squad - Headley has been waiting for Santa Anita and Solis jumps from Brother Derek, who EVERYONE is saying is going to have a huge year this coming year, to ride Arson Squad. When watching Arson Squad, you can see he is a horse that wants to win, very determined, I will but a horse like that 8 times out of 10

[Scav]

I didn't know that Arson Squad is 9/2 ML. He is an auto play if he goes off anywhere near that. He will probably be 5/2

[SCUDSBROTHER]

Originally Posted by Scav

I didn't know that Arson Squad is 9/2 ML. He is an auto play if he goes off anywhere near that. He will probably be 5/2

Morning line is pretty far off for this OPENING DAY's card.

[cal828]

Almost went with Arson too. His last two works were killers. Both he and Midnite look like they might enjoy the pace of this one. I think the 6 horse is gonna be the pace setter for as far as he can go which hopefully will be something short of 7 furlongs. It looks like it's gonna be a wicked fast pace.

[Gander]

I think Arson Squad will have to run the race of his life to win. These horses he will have to beat today are better than Point Determined, Cause to Believe and AP Warrior. His last race was a gem from a number standpoint but he didnt beat all that much and who knows if the track was playing honest that day.

Latent Heat, Midnight Lute, Da Stoops and Brother Derek all look consistently faster than Arson Squad.

Thing that bothers me most is Arson Squad will be the biggest underlay in this field based on his great record at Santa Anita and off his last win.

Sure he can win, but this race came up way too tough for me to want a horse who shows just 1 race in his life that is fast enough to win this.

I dont doubt he will get a great trip just off the speed, but I doubt that will be enough. No thanks.

I'd probably use Latent Heat and Sailors Sunset in here but nothing totalling too much money. Sailors Sunset to me is the obvious value play. He is in career form and once again finds himself in a spot where he should be able to dictate the pace. Catch him to cash.

More guys than Headley saved their big guns or horses sitting on conditions for this meet.
I'd say one angle to give strong consideration to are first timers or layoff horses with a strong, consistent worktab. By this I mean a horse who shows a long string of uninterrupted workouts who looks as if he may have been ready a while ago.
Those horses have probably been pointed for this meet and will be fit with fresh legs. In addition most trainers will do MUCH better with hores who have been aimed for a specific spot or plan, rather than those who are just being run because its the only logical to place to run in the condition book.
It ought to be a great meet, and I think it will once again be the premier place to bet this winter on a day in day out basis.
Good luck!!

Originally Posted by Gander

I think Arson Squad will have to run the race of his life to win. These horses he will have to beat today are better than Point Determined, Cause to Believe and AP Warrior. His last race was a gem from a number standpoint but he didnt beat all that much and who knows if the track was playing honest that day.

Latent Heat, Midnight Lute, Da Stoops and Brother Derek all look consistently faster than Arson Squad.

Thing that bothers me most is Arson Squad will be the biggest underlay in this field based on his great record at Santa Anita and off his last win.

Sure he can win, but this race came up way too tough for me to want a horse who shows just 1 race in his life that is fast enough to win this.

I dont doubt he will get a great trip just off the speed, but I doubt that will be enough. No thanks.

I'd probably use Latent Heat and Sailors Sunset in here but nothing totalling too much money. Sailors Sunset to me is the obvious value play. He is in career form and once again finds himself in a spot where he should be able to dictate the pace. Catch him to cash.

Good luck with Sailors Sunset. In my opinion that horse wants no business of 7 furlongs.