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#3
02-13-2007, 09:09 PM
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Sucked in
I got sucked in by Gales and I actually need to thank him. I found a couple great plays in my opinion, in both turf races.....
Will play with $250 tomorrow on these two races, plays are below. Race 3: 6.5 down the hill Race is absolutely loaded with speed and that means death to them when they go sub 40 down the hill, I look for some serious closers to win this race. You have a horse like the 4 Sweet Travel that should do well in a race like this because she will be used to the slops and will most definitely be no where near the lead. Horse to watch is the 6 Lightmyfirebaby. Very strong number first out, very positive jock switch and at anywhere near 12/1, a very strong play. Should get a great trip here. The 9 Polar Kid looks like a horse that will probably want more ground, but been working well and at 30/1ML, worth throwing into an exacta box. Finally, 11 Flying Spy comes back for Sadler/Gomez after a good race off a minor layoff. Hard to not include Gomez on a horse that will get a good trip (the only track in the AMERICA where the outside is an advantage is down the hill at SA) As far as my reasoning for not using the 7 Theverythoughtof U. I love Ellis as a trainer, think he does a great job, especially off a layoff, but when his horses run as huge as this one did, they tend to regress, and bad. Stats might not prove it but I have had some nice hits with tossing his horses after running as big as this one did first out. Will be overplayed and used on alot of tickets, the horse obviously has talent, but I am hoping he shows it next start. Race 3 $2 exacta 9/4,6,11 $6 $3 exacta 4,6,11/9 $9 $15 exacta box 4,6,11 $90 $25 Win 6 $25 $20 Place 6 $20 Total: $150 Race 7 Quick and Easy, Japaneze....8 Dynamatic has been screaming for this stretchout and finally gets it, I love the addition of bleachers. Mig stays for the stretch out on a horse that has his last two races well spaced, it is go time tomorrow. Sherriffs is a very strong first router and it is impossible not to love his last five works with show a progression towards the strechout. Gomez/Frankel horse will HOPEFULLY keep this horses odds around 6/1 and it is fire time. $100 Win 8 Total: $100 Total wagered: $250 
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#4
02-13-2007, 09:45 PM
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thanks for the detailed analysis Scavs, very nice....and I agree with you on Dynamatic but I would of liked to see her going 1 mile for her first two turn experience and then moving up to 9f, but she has the running style and breeding to love the distance. I am interested in the #1 Mabadi which is the Shulman GB import. Her race in Sept looks impressive and CNak takes the call. May need more ground but at 12-1 she is worth a play. Believe it or not, I also will use the #2 The King's Lass at 12-1 as well, as her last race at 1 mile is just too short for her and had a 3 wide/5 wide trip....and again 12-1. So I am using the 1,2,7,8. Not interested at all in White Aura and Fun Logic.
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#5
02-13-2007, 10:05 PM
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#6
02-13-2007, 10:34 PM
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already have a pk3 sequence I like by sandwiching the 5th which i think could deliver a price....
4) 1,4 5) 9,10,11,12,14,15 6) 6 $12 4) 4 5) 9,10,11,12,14,15 6) 4,6 $12 Obviously will not be able to use all the above in the 5th for the pk4 but I am still working on the ticket. The 8th looks tough as well.
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#7
02-13-2007, 11:31 PM
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What is great about this race is that Gomez HAS to ride for Frankel in this situation, my guess is that. Not knocking the horse but all the action will be focuses on that combo, and in a race this contentious, it is 'make money time'
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#8
02-13-2007, 11:37 PM
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sweet, that is the beauty of sharing on this board!!! What do the sheets have for the 6th. Looking at the #3, #4 and #5. Has the #4 improved each of its 3 starts? How does the last race (wide/wide) trip look compared to the #3? THANKS
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#9
02-14-2007, 07:11 PM
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