10/16: Keeneland (4th-8th)

[Kasept]

KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Despo's Dream 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Up On the Edge 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #4 The Big Calhouna 3-1 WON ($19.64)
Super Add: #5 Sassy Walker 12-1 7th


5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Moon Spun 4-1 WON ($4.06)
Next Best: #7 Penny's Smile 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Bella Haze 20-1 9th
Super Add: #8 Caberneigh 30-1 11th


6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Yellow Brick 4-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Lips Say Bliss 9-2 9th
Best Value: #6 Footprint 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Bright Leaf 6-1 6th


7th: ALW/N2X, 3+, 12f-T (DD)

Best Value: #10 Mendelssohn's March 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Six Minus 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Idratherbeblessed 9-2 5th
Super Add: #6 Cyber Ninja 10-1 7th


8th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 9f (Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Gotta Have Dreams 10-1 WON ($40.62)
Next Best: #12 Active Duty 5-2 -
Exotics Use: #3 Remarkable Mo 8-1 DH-5th
Super Add: #10 Rocket Night 6-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

4: 1-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 6 (A), - (B), 7 (C)
6: 6-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 5-10 (A), 6-11 (B), - (C)
8: 3-7-12 (A), 5-8-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x3x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (ACAAA): 2x1x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7 in 5th)


P4 Grid:

5: 6 (A), - (B), 7 (C)
6: 6-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 5-10 (A), 6-11 (B), - (C)
8: 3-7-12 (A), 5-8-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x4x6 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 1x3x2x3 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (ACAAA): 1x3x2x3 = 18 x .50 = $9 (7 in 5th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve

[Kasept]

Bwahahahaha...

Machado asleep at the wheel!

[fantini33]

That's fanatstic boss! The type of thing that changes your fortunes.

Like a bloop hit. Unless, of course, you had the 9.

[ScottJ]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Bwahahahaha...

Machado asleep at the wheel!

And you think that gives the sport a good look? Seriously Steve, glad you cashed, but Machado should get six months or more for that mistake. We cannot, as horse players, allow our short term gain to invalidate a clear violation of ethical behavior.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by ScottJ

And you think that gives the sport a good look? Seriously Steve, glad you cashed, but Machado should get six months or more for that mistake. We cannot, as horse players, allow our short term gain to invalidate a clear violation of ethical behavior.

He failed to persevere/misjudged which wire they were using. Have a hard time believing there was more to it than that. He thought the race was wrapped up. Not the first time and won't be the last. Shoemaker stood up before the wire in the '57 Derby.

He deserves days, but 6 months seems a little over the top.

[ScottJ]

Originally Posted by Kasept

He failed to persevere. Have a hard time believing there was more to it than that. He thought the race was wrapped up. Not the first time and won't be the last.

Before my rebuttal, please know that I follow your board and broadcast as you well know.

Punish the "failure to persevere" so hard, so unforgivingly, that there is never a jockey, trainer, or owner who ever considers defrauding the wagering public who funds the game again. Never allow the mistake to take place again.

How many times do we have to hear about the integrity of the HKJC (including on Derby Trail and your broadcasts) but when it comes to punishing those on the US circuits, we fall back on the "it was an honest mistake"?

Originally Posted by Kasept

Shoemaker stood up before the wire in the '57 Derby.

Oh for Christ's sake, who gives a good g-damn about what happened 67 years ago? Is the Shoemaker example offered to say, "yes, this is OK"?

Originally Posted by Kasept

He deserves days, but 6 months seems a little over the top.

Until you change this from being the cost of doing business to an absolute punishment, it does not change. How do you think the HKJC would handle this situation?

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by ScottJ

Punish the "failure to persevere" so hard, so unforgivingly, that there is never a jockey, trainer, or owner who ever considers defrauding the wagering public who funds the game again. Never allow the mistake to take place again.

Venues that use 2 wires are going to have this happen again no matter what the penalty.

Originally Posted by ScottJ

Oh for Christ's sake, who gives a good g-damn about what happened 67 years ago? Is the Shoemaker example offered to say, "yes, this is OK"?

The Shoemaker example is offered to show that even one of the best ever in the biggest race there is had a judgement lapse.

[Kitan]

Originally Posted by ScottJ

How do you think the HKJC would handle this situation?

They gave Vincent Ho (Golden Sixty posterboy) a 10 meeting ban for standing up a millisecond early, resulting, in their opinion, in a DH rather than an outright win. They gave Vagner Borges a one-year ban for placing one bet on his own horse. For egregiously, albeit unintentionally, standing up 100m early? One can only guess...

The ban is not simply for making a mistake but for costing the bettors (i.e., those funding the sport) what they deserve. Unfortunately, mistakes come with consequences, although it seems American culture nowadays tries their best to turn a blind eye to it as much as possible. Steve may be happy because he cashed on the 7, but let's not forget that someone missed out on a single ticket P6 score. Perspectives might be different if the roles were reversed...

Originally Posted by Kasept

Venues that use 2 wires are going to have this happen again no matter what the penalty.

If it keeps happening, then any measures in place to prevent it are not sufficient enough, if there even are any in the first place. There is a big red marker placed at the 1/16th pole during first wire finish races to indicate the finish line. Is it that complicated to put a big green marker with writing in big letters "THIS IS NOT THE FINISH" for second wire finish routes? I don't know if it's even a good idea or how it would eventuate in practice, but something has to be done. I lost out on a 25-1 shot two years ago because Deshawn Parker thought it was a second, and not first, wire finish.