Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Triple Crown Topics/Archive..
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 03-24-2021, 08:51 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,266
Default 3/26-28 (CD): Derby Future Wager ~ Pool 5

1. Big Lake SCRATCH
2. Caddo River 30-1
3. Collaborate 30-1
4. Concert Tour 9-2
5. Crowded Trade 30-1
6. Dream Shake 50-1

7. Essential Quality 3-1
8. Greatest Honour 4-1
9. Helium 30-1
10. Hidden Stash 50-1
11. Highly Motivated 30-1
12. Hot Rod Charlie 6-1

13. Hozier 30-1
14. Mandaloun 30-1
15. Medina Spirit 20-1
16. Midnight Bourbon 30-1
17. O Besos 50-1
18. Prevalence 20-1

19. Proxy 30-1
20. Risk Taking 30-1
21. Rock Your World 50-1
22. Spielberg 50-1
23. Weyburn 30-1
24. All Other 3-Year-Olds 20-1
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 03-24-2021, 10:44 AM
moses's Avatar
moses moses is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 3,622
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
1. Big Lake SCRATCH
2. Caddo River 30-1
3. Collaborate 30-1
4. Concert Tour 9-2
5. Crowded Trade 30-1
6. Dream Shake 50-1

7. Essential Quality 3-1
8. Greatest Honour 4-1
9. Helium 30-1
10. Hidden Stash 50-1
11. Highly Motivated 30-1
12. Hot Rod Charlie 6-1

13. Hozier 30-1
14. Mandaloun 30-1
15. Medina Spirit 20-1
16. Midnight Bourbon 30-1
17. O Besos 50-1
18. Prevalence 20-1

19. Proxy 30-1
20. Risk Taking 30-1
21. Rock Your World 50-1
22. Spielberg 50-1
23. Weyburn 30-1
24. All Other 3-Year-Olds 20-1
Probably sitting this one out but I’ll look at the prices.

With Big Lake being scratched out and the pool not started yet, how come they can’t just add another horse? I’m sure the horse would have little chance but I bet horses like Known Agenda, Triple Tap, Soup and Sandwich, and others would garner some interest.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 03-24-2021, 03:49 PM
FATPIANO's Avatar
FATPIANO FATPIANO is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: nys
Posts: 1,169
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by moses View Post
Probably sitting this one out but I’ll look at the prices.

With Big Lake being scratched out and the pool not started yet, how come they can’t just add another horse? I’m sure the horse would have little chance but I bet horses like Known Agenda, Triple Tap, Soup and Sandwich, and others would garner some interest.
then bet all others....
__________________
Arrogate is the best horse since The Bid, and The Bid was better than Secretariat!!!!
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 03-24-2021, 04:11 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,292
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by FATPIANO View Post
then bet all others....
Why bet anything at all?

Not trying to be rude but how are these good bets at all?
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 03-25-2021, 06:17 AM
Dunbar's Avatar
Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Why bet anything at all?

Not trying to be rude but how are these good bets at all?
The flip side is why assume there are not any good bets in there? It's parimutual and the takeout is the same as any race at Churchill. Some entries will be overbet and some will be underbet. If they're underbet enough, they're good bets.
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 03-25-2021, 09:48 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,292
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar View Post
The flip side is why assume there are not any good bets in there? It's parimutual and the takeout is the same as any race at Churchill. Some entries will be overbet and some will be underbet. If they're underbet enough, they're good bets.
I don’t see how betting a race that is 6 weeks away where there are so many variables could possibly be considered a good bet.

I’m sure all those people who bet Life Is Good thought they made a good bet.

So much can change in this game, with 3 year olds, daily. Why make it more difficult on yourself and your bankroll?

I just think it’s very difficult if not impossible to determine value this far out. Too much can happen.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 03-24-2021, 04:50 PM
moses's Avatar
moses moses is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 3,622
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by FATPIANO View Post
then bet all others....
I don’t plan on betting any of those horses. Just curious why they can’t add another betting option when one is eliminated before the pool even opens.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 08:27 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.