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CRIST: Super Hi-5 Structuring; NEW: Intro to Exotic Bets
Thanks to Steve Crist's CristBlog...
Boxes 12-horse box: $95,040 11-horse box: $55,440 10-horse box: $30,240 9-horse box: $15,120 8-horse box: $ 6,720 7-horse box: $ 2,520 6-horse box: $ 720 5-horse box: $ 120 Keys Key 1 on top of 11: $7920 Key 1 on top of 10: $5040 Key 1 on top of 9: $3024 Key 1 on top of 8: $1680 Key 1 on top of 7: $ 840 Key 1 on top of 6: $ 360 Key 1 on top of 5: $ 120 Key 1 on top of 4: $ 24 Some of Crist's further thoughts on options for Hi 5 plays (12 horse field)... 1) A key to win and a second key to run second or third. Let's say those horses are #1 and #2, and you want to use five other horses underneath. You could do this for $120 by buying the following two tickets: $1 SHF: 1 / 2 / 3,4,5,6,7 / 3,4,5,6,7 / 3,4,5,6,7 = $60 $1 SHF: 1 / 3,4,5,6,7 / 2 / 3,4,5,6,7 / 3,4,5,6,7 = $60 2) Use three keys -- one must win and the other two must both finish fourth or better. You could do this for $216, using four other horses underneath, as follows: $1 SHF: 1,2,3 / 1,2,3 / 1,2,3 / 4,5,6,7 / 4,5,6,7 = $72 $1 SHF: 1,2,3 /1,2,3/4,5,6,7 / 1,2,3 / 4,5,6,7 = $72 $1 SHF: 1,2,3 / 4,5,6,7 / 1,2,3 / 1,2,3 / 4,5,6,7 = $72 3) Desperate to hit the all-button for 5th? You could key a winner, with four others in positions 2-3-4, and then roll the dice for fifth as follows: $1 SHF 1 / 2,3,4,5 / 2,3,4,5 / 2,3,4,5 / ALL = $192
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 01-19-2015 at 09:38 AM. |
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Steve......
Thanks for posting this, great stuff as always from Mr. Christ!
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had to print this one out. Thanks
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My pleasure and I'm confident that Crist/DRF wouldn't mind this spread around as it is available in the public section of the paper.
This is the most expansive/detailed discussion/explanation Crist has had of the 5 and as always, his analysis/opinion is invaluable. The bet isn't for everyone, but it's catching on as many thought it would, and will continue to grow in popularity when carry pools like today's come forth. While Magna gets bashed endlessly for many of their follies, they have been very successful creating and implementing new wagers (Hi 5; Magna 5) and deserve credit for it...
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |
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Huge carryover in this bet at Churchill today. Unfortnuately, thanks to the ADW impasse, few can bet it anyway.
Paul |
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Quote:
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Quote:
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Good info and strategies, Steve.
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A Game of Skill A site devoted to handicapping education and horse racing promotion |
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Steve Crist's "Introduction to Exotic Bets (Hello Race Fans)
http://helloracefans.com/features/le...o-exotic-bets/
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |