4/7: 'First Saturday in April'

[Kasept]

AQUEDUCT (6th-11th)


6th: Pleasant Colony, 4+, 14f (P6, P3)

1. #1e Contessa entry 6-5: Both ends of entry eligible WON/3rd
2. #6 SCRATCH
A. #7 Monopoly Pricing 2-1: Ignore incident last; Violette says he's A-OK 2nd
B. #1 Delta Sea 6-1: Places in marathons

EX: $2.75


7th: 47th Bay Shore (Gr. III), 3yo, 7f ($400k P4, DD)

1. #1 Les Grands Trois 1-1: Bobby unloads serious Live Oak runner 3rd
2. #5 Bill Place 3-1: A. Dutrow stakes winner rested, bulleting WON
3. #4 Hobbitontherocks 6-1: Respect Preciado; is lone winner at trip 2nd

EX: $28.75
TRI: $52.50


8th: 83rd Wood Memorial (Gr. I), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

1. #1a Any Given Saturday 8-5: Courageous TB Derby runner-up should make the most of this opportunity; classy animal 3rd
2. #5 Summer Doldrums 5-1: Best Violette-Klarman Derby candidate since Read the Footnotes sitting on a plus effort 4th
A. #2 Nobiz Like Shobiz 7-5: Have maintained talented Tagg runner was problematic since Holy Bull; must prove otherwise WON
B. #6 Reptilian Smarts 15-1: Snake in the grass from Ritvo progressing like a nice horse; should love added ground


9th: 107th Carter Handicap (Gr. I), 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

1. #4 Silver Wagon 5-2: Multiple stakes winner runs well fresh; owns AQU win WON
2. #5 Diabolical 6-1: Square number on Klesaris who's good 2nd off break 2nd
A. #3 Ah Day 8-1: Leatherbury gelding sharp 6 months; hasn't missed EXA in 3 tries 7f 3rd
B. #6 Latent Heat 9-5: Frankel Gr. I winner will be overbet; likes trip 4th

EX: $16.10
TRI: $67.00


10th: 95th Excelsior BCH (Gr. III), 3+, 9f (DD)

1. #4 Magna Graduate 2-1: Return to anything near Queens Cty win earns honors WON
2. #3 Naughty New Yorker 12-1: One of our faves pointed here by Kelly; flies late 2nd
3. #1 Corinthian 8-5: 3rd/layoff for J. Jerkens; got diploma this strip but needs best yet

EX: $46.50


11th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (Superfecta)

1. #6 It's All Good 7-2: Dutrow Wheelaway red adds Talamo
2. #1 Timirene 3-1: Contessa miss bumped early, came running in debut
A. #2 Golden Manna 5-1: Barker babe keeps earning checks while falling short
B. #8 Automatic Appeal 5-2: Nicely bred Tullock gal keep CC, moves outside for 2nd start WON

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #3 Never Settle 20-1: Away since 6/06 and now with 'betting barn'

2nd
<$50 Guaranteed ($400k) P4 Play:

7: 1-5
8: 1a-2
9: 3-4-5-6
10: 1-3-4

2x2x4x3 = $48

P4 pays $88.25


<$100 P6 Play:

6: 1e-6-scr
7: 1e-5
8: 1a-2
9: 4-5
10: 1-4
11: 3-6-8

1x2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x $2 = $96 (after scratch of #6 in 6th)

P6 pays $852.00..
Consos $21.40 (x6 = $128.40)


HAWTHORNE


7th: 50th Illinois Derby (Gr. II), 3yo, 9f (.10 Super)

1. #5 Cobalt Blue 9-5: Classy O'Neill colt seeks elusive Rose Run for Griffin
2. #7 Catman Running 8-1: Openly rooting for Reed to land Derby slot 5th
A. #4 Cowtown Cat 5-2: Pletcher 3rd stringer lands here; Gotham was odd race WON
B. #1 Sacrifice Bunt 12-1: Mott Lunsford colt saves ground; improving 4th

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #3 Reporting for Duty 15-1: May be right price inclusion here; race behind Ketchikan an eyecatcher 2nd

EX: $58.60


OAKLAWN


8th: 42nd Apple Blossom (Gr. I), F&M-4+, 8.5f (.10 Super, P4)

Taking stand against Round Pond (gives weight, loses ground) in selections but probably need to cover her in multi race wagers given her love of the oval..

1. #5 Take D'Tour 9-2: Fawkes doesn't make trip if she's not ready 2nd
2. #4 Ermine 5-2: Werner Gr. II winner underlaid but likes OP/trip WON
A. #3 India 9-2: Pletcher Hennessy red on stakes roll; prepped here
B. #2 Rahy's Appeal 10-1: Price inviting on Bush mare firing bullets

EX: $20.10


10th: 61st Oaklawn Handicap (Gr. II), 4+, 9f (DD)

1. #5 Lawyer Ron 6-5: "Most likely winner"; perfect at Hot Springs; Edgar WON
2. #4 Papi Chullo 12-1: Sitting on a big effort; great value
A. #6 McCann's Mohave 4-1: On a nice run for likeable connections
B. #2 Jonesboro 6-1: Bounce back to Essex win takes them a long way


P4 Play:

8: 2-3-4-5-7
9: 5-6
10: 4-5
11: 5-6-7

5x2x2x3 = $60


SANTA ANITA


5th: 25th Portero Grande (Gr. II), 4+, 6.5f (DD, P3)

A great race spoiled by Bill Spawr's gutless scratching of Bordonero..

1. #4 Smokey Stover 1-1: Hard to go against new Gilchrist-Aleo star WON
2. #6 Sailor's Sunset 4-1: Polanco-Everest Gr. III winner capable on best
3. #3 Greg's Gold 8-5: '05 Crosby winner came back well from 18 mo. layoff 2nd

EX: $3.50


6th: 70th Santa Anity Derby (Gr. I), 3yo, 9f (DD, P3, .10 Super)

1. #5 LIQUIDITY 5-2: O'Neill bay best this strip; simply faster than any here 4th
2. #3 Bwana Bull 8-1: Hard to know what Hollendorfer has; forward moving though
A. #2 Sam P. 4-1: Blinker add curious; Ramon in to ride; has kept nice company 3rd
B. #9 Tiago 20-1: 'Team Giacomo' believes they've figured this PTap colt out WON

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #4 Boutrous 12-1: Pace scenario, Desormeaux and blinks give Dollase closer a shot: son of Forty Niner mare should love the added ground


7th: 27th: Providencia (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 1m-T (DD, P3, .10 Super)

1. #3 Super Freaky 8-1: Take all the 8-1 you can on Smart Strike miss from 'Team Thor's Echo' WON
2. #4 Princess Iris 10-1: Great tab on import whose 1st N.A. was better than appears
A. #5 Silver Swallow 7-2: Underlaid but fast and a threat in grass bow
B. #10 Valbenny 5-2: Gr. III winner closes well; not killed by post

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #8 Macadamia 20-1: 'Nuts' for this one from slick Lobo


9th: 48th Arcadia (Gr. II), 4+, 1m-T (DD, P3, .10 Super)

1. #2 El Roblar 6-1: Respect Mandella and Mig big on cards like these 2nd
2. #7 Icy Atlantic 9-2: May slip on board and can adjust to cutback WON
A. #10 Willow O Wisp 4-1: Cohen will have to use early to get to turn 3rd
B. #9 Milk It Mick 7-2: Hasn't been same since '06 Kilroe win; 2nd off long break though

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #4 Hello Sunday 8-1: Expect improvement from Frankel import in 2nd North American try

EX: $50.20
TRI: $357.80


KEENELAND LATE P4


8th: 70th Lafayette, 3yo, 7f (P3, .10 Super)

1. #3 Izzie's Halo 3-1: Draws tough 7f post; saves ground but needs trip
2. #10 Prom Shoes 10-1: Fires going well and Raphy sees fit to ride
A. #7 Call Me Clash 8-1: Rose had choice of 2 Lake runners in this
B. #8 Out of Gwedda 5-2: Typical Pletcher entrant; can't use/can't toss

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ALERT: #11 Barkley Sound 15-1: Scott very good and looks ready for big effort


9th: 70th Ashland (Gr. I), 3yo-F, 8.5f (.10 Super)

1. #2 Mistical Plan 7-2: [i]O'Neill bay rarely runs a bad one; adjusts to pace[i]
2. #5 Octave 2-1: Best of rest behind top pick last time at New Orleans
A. #9 Silver Knockers 5-1: Zito filly a threat with return to one 2 back
B. #7 SCRATCH

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #1 Elitist 20-1: McGee bay can invade gimmicks with move forward


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 4
8: 1-6-7-8-10-11
9: 1-2-5-7
10: 4-5

1x6x4x2 = $48


Good luck! Enjoy the day..
Steve

[golfer]

Steve, hope you don't mind me posting under you... tough choice but I decided to focus on Aqueduct, Gulstream is running "Calder" card today, I'll leave Tampa and Keeneland to others...

Race 1: #6 Neon Magic is intriguing, 1st time Dutrow, getting weight with Talamo, off freshening. Needs to run back to one of his good ones last year, if the price is right! #2 Forgotten Cat gets the rail, running well right now, should also be a nice price... #4 River Mountain Rd, likely favorite, fast but comes back on 2 weeks rest..#10 Lieutenant Danz, has semi 0-2-x pattern, can improve, although far outside post doesn't help.

Race 2: On the turf? off the turf? will handicap for on, (if it comes off, use the #11, #8 and #3) #5 Serpe's Hangingbyathread ran well with trouble 1st out at GP, can improve here..#4 Vim & Vigor, improving with every start, gets the rail...neither of the Pletcher entry would be a surprise.

Race 3: #3, Violette's Jimmy G, nice ML price, comes off a stretchout bounce, shortens up here with better timing...#4 Hedge Fund, very solid in 1st 2 starts, ships in.. #6 Truman's Gold, exceptionally fast, nice rest, strange pattern read, could easily run off with this.

Race 4: #10 Market Psychology, comes in off big effort, will be likely favorite, outside post, certainly can win, but might want to take a shot against...with that said, using #5 Cockney Gambler, #7 Love Abroad, and #8 Sly Diamond Jim.

Race 5: #7 Talking Treasure, has potentially Xplosive TG pattern, should run well...#10 Love Cove, #2 American Dreama, and #6 Court and Spark, all look solid.. #4 Posey Park, comes back quickly, but has competitive #'s, could hit the board.

Race 6: the 1 and 3/4 mile Pleasant Colony Stakes, unusual distance... the Contessa entry looks great, #1a Successful Affair is most proven at longer distances...don't have any idea why #7 Monopoly Pricing would be in this race, never gone this far, and coming off a pulled up/vanned off? longshot for 2nd could be the slowish, but lightly race #3 My Man Lars..

Race 7: very contentious Bay Shore, taking a shot with #4 Hobbitontherocks, comes in with fastest TG fig in last at Philly, has nice spacing since that one, could be a square price...whichever Frankel horse runs will be dangerous, as are #'s 5 and 6, Bill Place and Wollaston Bay (like Bill Place a bit more).

Race 8: The Wood Memorial.. obviously this comes down to NoBiz or not NoBiz I'm choosing NoBiz!! has run 3 TG 2.5's in a row, today should be the breakthru performance... Any Given Saturday broke through with TG zero in last, ships in from Tampa with just 3 weeks rest, may react..#5 Summer Doldrums is solid, and #3 Sightseeing ran a good one at GP last month, comes in a bit slower than the top horses, but can improve, DANGEROUS!

Race 9: the Carter, #3 Ah Day, hasn't been facing this type, but the TG #'s are excellent...#5 Diabolical, looks good although I heard Andy say he may scratch...#6 Latent Heat, favorite giving weight, taking a shot against. #4 Silver Wagon, extremely fast, but may react to his last (TG neg 2). #7 Keyed Entry, obviously dangerous, especially if this is looking like Pletcher Saturday.

Race 10: the Excelsior, #1 Corinthian, gets the rail, nice timing, should be very tough to beat...expect a good run from #3 Naughty New Yorker, despite Samyn... #4 Magna Grad, the key horse in the sense of throwing out, which is tough to do, especially if Pletcher's are running.

Race 11: MSW night cap, very evenly matched race, looks like any of top 4 can win, #1 Contessa's Timirene should improve 2nd start from the rai, #2 Golden Manna, nice circle back pattern, although comes back a bit quickly..#6 It's All Good, nice spacing off a stretchout, 1st Lasix bounce, can rebound here with Talamo...nothing wrong with Tullock's #8 Automatic Appeal. use all 4.

As always, Good Luck to all

Just looked at the Oaklawn Handicap, race 10, which is the TG Race of the Week... #4 Papi Chullo looks very enticing, especially at 12-1 ML.. favorite Lawyer Ron should run well, but is giving alot of weight, don't like McCanns Mojave at all.. will use #'s 1,2 and 3, Brother Bobby, Jonesboro, and Smokeyjonessutton underneath with Lawyer Ron.

[golfer]

according to NYRA website, as of 10:10, race 2 is ON the turf, for those interested.

[AeWingnut]

my longshot pick for the Santa Anita Derby
the race has a bunch of nothings entered in it so I will go long with 2

Court the King and
Black Seventeen

hey that rhymes

[Bogey]

Originally Posted by cmfhb411

I can't get past Latent Heat in the Carter.
Real interesting, jockey Pino is aboard Ah Day instead of Diabolical.

Talamo will be on Ah Day

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by cmfhb411

I can't get past Latent Heat in the Carter.
Real interesting, jockey Pino is aboard Ah Day instead of Diabolical.

Talamo instead of Pino now on Ah Day....

[saucon17]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Talamo instead of Pino now on Ah Day....

Pino is back aboard according to the Big A changes

[cal828]

With local hero Lawyer Ron in the Oaklawn Handicap, you guys that like Papi Chullo should get huge odds. Might be interesting to play him in a daily double over the whole field in the 11th race. It's a maiden race.

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

take de tour at 6-1 is nutz...he should be 2-1..lemons..i think not

[hockey2315]

Congrats on ANOTHER pk6 Steve!!!

[pmacdaddy]

Good work on Pick 6!

[randallscott35]

hope you played it stevie.