Early predictions for The Arc

[my miss storm cat]

Just for fun... anyone wanna make an early prediction?

I've said Vodka all along but I need to change my early pick to Peeping Fawn if she goes.....

Saddex to hit the board.

Possible.....

Authorized
Manduro
Zambezi Sun
Dylan Thomas
Soldier Of Fortune
Peeping Fawn
Mandesha
Meisho Samson (..... I believe he's sick right now but hopefully he'll be better)
Saddex
Youmzain
Scorpion

[brockguy]

Zambezi or MANDURO!!

[NoChanceToDance]

I'm still not sure. I love Manduro and i hope he wins, but he has so much speed, i'm not convinced he will stay 12 furlongs.

If it's good ground i will probably go for Dylan Thomas.

I like Soldier of Fortune in there, although Authorized looks tough but currently at 2-1 at Ladbrokes I can't take that price. Zambezi Sun sure is taking a ton of money. Interesting.

[NoChanceToDance]

Manduro being out takes quite a gloss out of this race. I know a lot can change between now and October, but the ground was very fast in Paris yesterday, and that is almost unheard of. Most of western Europe has had next to no rain in the last month (what a change from the "summer")

It's quites possible that this year's Arc could be run on good or faster ground. If it is, Dylan Thomas will take a huge amount of beating.

He would still be my pick at the moment...... but it will probably change at least once before the big day

[NoChanceToDance]

Originally Posted by Cardus

I'm no weatherman, but how do you know with some probability the condition of the Longchamp course for Arc day two weeks before the event is run? What mechanism is used in Europe to determine turf condition two weeks before an event?

Well for one, the weathermen have been predicting a very dry autumn for most of western europe, any rain we have meant to had did not arrive.

Yesterday at Longchamp they raced on what some were calling a "firm" racing surface which is almost unheard of for the Paris track.

If it's going to become very soft it will have to start raining quickly and that doesn't look likely, certainly not this week anyway.

[my miss storm cat]

Originally Posted by Hail2Reason

I like Soldier of Fortune in there

I'm starting to think he's got an awfully good shot.

Doctor Dino is now possible.....

[NoChanceToDance]

Originally Posted by my miss storm cat

I'm starting to think he's got an awfully good shot.

Doctor Dino is now possible.....

Doctor Dino would add some spice to this race and would be in with a shot.