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#1
10-20-2007, 07:58 AM
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10/20: Belmont (Empire Day)
Hope some caught on air selection of Bel Air Beauty in her annual stakes win at Keeneland yesterday in the Valley View.. Missed the Late P3 but the $18.00+ on the Frank Brothers-Bruce Lunsford miss was OK as she looked perfectly set up for a big try third off the break.
Hard to pass up the NYB Stakes card at Belmont today with weather looking to be better and big mutuels making a yearly visitation on these proceedings.. BELMONT PARK TURF: SOFT.. Note changes.. 1st: 14th Maid of the Mist-NYB, 2yo-F, 1m (DD) Best Value: #1 Meriweather Jessica 2-1 2nd Most Likely: #2 Expect the End 9-5 WON Exotics Use: #4 Anita Rosia 5-1 6th $1 Exacta (2-1) $8.00 2nd: MSW-NYB, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3) Best Value: #10 Alexandros 8-1 4th Most Likely: #2 Post Exchange 3-1 5th Exotics Use: #8 Dixieland Star 5-1 3rd Other: #11 Aforementioned 12-1 9th 3rd: 14th Sleepy Hollow-NYB, 2yo, 1m (P3) Best Value: #1 Be Bullish 10-1 4th Most Likely: #8 BIG TRUCK 1-1 3rd Exotics Use: #4 Giant Moon 3-1 WON Other: #7 Dazzling Derek 6-1 6th 4th: 29th Iroquois-NYB, F&M-3+, 7f (P3) Best Value: #6 Karakorum Starlet 12-1 WON Most Likely: #5 Light Tactic 5-2 7th Exotics Use: #8 Ice Cool Kitty 7-2 3rd Other: #7 Precise Lady 12-1 8th 5th: The Office Miss-NYB, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P6, P3, .10 Super) Best Value: #6 My Kitty 15-1 4th Most Likely: #10 Karakorum Elektra 8-1 7th Exotics Use: #9 Jesse's Justice 3-1 9th Super Add: #12 Cagey Girl 10-1 12th NOTE: Soft going moves #1 Tishmeister into the realm of possibilities.. Add to Super at the least.. 5th P4 Play: Main: $3 2: 2 3: 8 4: 5-6-8 5: 1-6-9-10 1x1x3x4 = 12 x $3 = $36 Backup: $1 2: 3-6-8-10-11 3: 8 4: 5-6 5: 1-6-10 5x1x2x3 = $30 6th: 27th Ticonderoga-NYB, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (DD, GS, P3, .10 Super) Best Value: #7 Latitude Forty 10-1 3rd Most Likely: #6 Factual Contender 3-1 2nd Exotics Use: #8 J'Ray 7-2 4th Super: #3 Rewrite 9-2 WON $1 Exacta (3-6) $12.80 $1 Trifecta (3-6-8) $86.50 $1 Superfecta (3-6-8-7) $294.50 7th: 30th Hudson-NYB, 3+, 6f (P4) Best Value: #3 FEROCIOUS FIRES 8-1 WON-on DQ Most Likely: #1 Stormin Normandy 2-1 2nd-DQ'd from 1st Exotics Use: #8 Posted 3-1 8th Other: #5 Gold and Roses 7-2 4th $1 Exacta (3-1) $16.30 8th: 29th Mohawk-NYB, 3+, 9f-IT (P3) Best Value: #7 Gimme Credit 8-1 3rd Most Likely: #1 SCR Exotics Use: #6 Bestowed 12-1 7th Other: #3 Juror 12-1 9th 9th: 32nd Empire Classic-NYB, 3+, 9f (DD) Best Value: #2 Who What Win 6-1 2nd Most Likely: #6 Naughty New Yorker 2-1 4th Exotics Use: #8 Indian Hawke 5-2 6th Other: #4 French Transition 8-1 9th 10th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (.10 Super) Best Value: #6 Slow Signal 30-1 8th Most Likely: #8 Tobruk 4-1 2nd Exotics Use: #4 Raynick's Fan 7-2 WON Super: #1 Really Rollicking 15-1 (added due to turf condition..) 11th $1 Exacta (4-8) $16.80 <$50 P4 Play: 7: 1-3 8: 1-SCR-3-6-7 9: 2-6 10: 1-4-6-8 2x3x2x4 = $48 <$100 P6 Play: 5: 6-9-10 6: 6-7 7: 3 8: 1-SCR-7 9: 2-6 10: 1-4-6-8 3x2x1x1x2x4 = 48 x $2 = $96 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 10-20-2007 at 06:23 PM. 
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#3
10-20-2007, 08:20 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
10-20-2007, 09:08 AM
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According to my Racing Form Ice Cool Kitty is # 8 and Precise Lady is # 7. Just wanted to point that out as I don't know who you wanted to include in the Pick 4. Hopefully you have a Great day as our selections are very close. Do you really think Karakorum Starlet has a shot with these? That would be awesome as I would get my picture taken in the Winners Circle as I own a small %age. GL to all playing today!
__________________
"Be who you are and say what you feel, because those that matter don't mind, and those that mind, dont matter." Theodore Seuss Geisel "Dr. Seuss"
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#5
10-20-2007, 09:33 AM
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coa parlay all day 10 bucks w/p/s...
 
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#7
10-20-2007, 09:51 AM
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__________________
“To compel a man to furnish funds for the propagation of ideas he disbelieves and abhors is sinful and tyrannical.” Thomas Jefferson
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#8
10-20-2007, 10:20 AM
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Good catch.. Thx! Thought K-Starlet ran very credibly last pair and offers value here. Don't think she's as good a win candidate as Tactic or Kitty... But good luck there today!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#9
10-20-2007, 09:29 PM
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Karakorum Starlet
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Unfortunately I agreed with you and didn't think she was "up to the task" so I didn't play her to win. I agree she has run well and loves Belmont. I'm excited that she actually showed some gameness and won today fighting back when challeneged in the stretch. Thanks to you (Including her on top) I included her in a pick three with Giant Moon & Cute Cognac which made the day. That Pick three paid as well as (actually better than) most pick 4s that I hit. Looking forward to listening to the show this week and I'll try and stop by to see you on Friday some time.
__________________
"Be who you are and say what you feel, because those that matter don't mind, and those that mind, dont matter." Theodore Seuss Geisel "Dr. Seuss"
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#10
10-20-2007, 02:47 PM
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Congrats to Hacker who clearly has a piece of Karakorum Startlet and also to Jeff Odinitz who works hard and gets a lot out of stock.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#11
10-20-2007, 02:55 PM
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#15
10-20-2007, 03:23 PM
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Congrats to HH. Sorry HHH.
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#16
10-20-2007, 03:26 PM
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That's HH, not me....didn't even come close! 
__________________
"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction" http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/
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#19
10-20-2007, 10:32 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#20
10-20-2007, 11:06 AM
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Last edited by pmacdaddy : 10-20-2007 at 11:27 AM.
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