Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 11-03-2007, 06:40 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 11/3: CD P4; SA-Cal Cup

Was still smarting from missing AQU P4 Thursday and took Friday off to decompress. Thought highly enough of Classic Marilyn to include as exotics fodder but left her off a $54 play that was sent in and missed a $1,200+ hit. Ouch.. Cal Cup at Santa Anita Saturday, and pair of quality stakes at the Downs as part of a tricky Late P4..


CHURCHILL DOWNS


8th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (DD, P3, P4, Super)

Best Value: #1 Over Under 6-1 4th
Most Likely: #12 Whitefish 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 South Atlantic 3-1 6th
Super Add: #11 Somethingintheway 30-1 2nd


9th: The Ack Ack H. (Gr. III), 3+, 1m (DD, P3, Super)

Best Value: #3 Simon Pure 5-1 7th
Most Likely: #8 Sun King 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Istan 5-2 WON
Super Add: #4 Casino Evil 10-1 DNF


10th: The Chilukki (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 1m (DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 High Heels 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #1 Rolling Sea 3-1 WON
Exotics Use: #7 Windy 7-2 5th
Super Add: #4 Change Up 6-1 4th


11th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f (Super)

Best Value: #9 Warrior Girl 8-1 5th
Most Likely: #7 Sans Reward 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 April Frost 7-2 WON
Super Add: #2 Transmit 8-1 4th


@$50 P4 Play:

8: 1-9-12
9: 3-5-8
10: 1-3
11: 3-7-9 (P3 $47)

3x3x2x3 = $54



SANTA ANITA


3rd: Cal Cup Juv. Fillies, 2yo-F, 8.5f (DD, P3, Super)

Best Value: #4 Ice Lady 8-1 4th
Most Likely: #3 Runforthemoneybaby 9-5 WON
Exotics Use: #1 Cantina's Rose 3-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Love Ya Bye 5-1 7th


4th: Cal Cup Distance H., F&M-3+, 10f-T (DD, P3, Super)

Best Value: #3 Fortunate Event 8-1 8th
Most Likely: #2 IMAGINE 7-5 WON
Exotics Use: #9 Memorette 2-1 9th
Super Add: #8 Special Heather 5-1 7th


5th: Cal Cup Matron H., F&M-3+, 8.5f (DD, P3, Super)

Best Value: #5 Fun Logic 8-1 8th
Most Likely: #2 Somethinaboutlaura 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Bai and Bai 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Film Editor 15-1 6th


6th: Cal Cup Distaff H., F&M-3+, 6.5f-DHT (DD, P3, P6, Super)

Best Value: #6 Kalookan Dancer 10-1 10th
Most Likely: #8 Dancing Edie 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Excessiveobsession 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Lady Gamer 3-1 2nd


7th: Cal Cup Juvenile, 2yo, 8.5f (DD, P3, Super)

Best Value: #8 Wise Mandate 10-1 13th
Most Likely: #5 Sierra Sunset 8-1 WON
Exotics Use: #10 Harlene 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Youarefun 15-1 9th


8th: Cal Cup Sprint H., 3+, 6f (DD, P3, P4, Super)

Best Value: #4 Areyoutalkintome 10-1 3rd
Most Likely: #3 Bilo 5-2 WON
Exotics Use: #1 Johnny Eves 7-2 7th
Super Add: #6 Bonfante 3-1 2nd


9th: Cal Cup Mile H., 3+, 1m-T (DD, P3, Super)

Best Value: #5 Jacks Wild 5-1 4th
Most Likely: #1 Epic Power 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Super Strut 6-1 9th
Super Add: #2 Now Victory 6-1 10th


10th: Cal Cup Classic H., 3+, 9f (Super)

Best Value: #5 Tiz Afire 12-1 8th
Most Likely: #10 Lava Man 7-5 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Bold Chieftan 9-2 WON
Super Add: #4 Celtic Dreamin 6-1 2nd


11th: MSW, 3+, 6.5f-DHT (Super)

Best Value: #5 Skimmetry 6-1 3rd
Most Likely: #11 Brian the Bold 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Warren's Scooter 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Sacred Mountain 15-1 6th


<$100 P6 Play:

6: 5-6-8
7: 5-8
8: 3
9: 1-5
10: 5-10
11: 5-11

3x2x1x2x2x2 = 48 x $2 = $96


<$50 P4 Play:

8: 3-4
9: 1-5
10: 5-10-11
11: 2-3-5-11

2x2x3x4 = $48


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 11-04-2007 at 05:59 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 11-03-2007, 11:58 AM
pointman's Avatar
pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 15,693
Default

Steve, you were better off taking a day away from the Big A yesterday. Played pk4's with pmac, we still can't make a case for Song Senor in the 7th. No Big A today?
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 11-03-2007, 12:26 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by pointman
Steve, you were better off taking a day away from the Big A yesterday. Played pk4's with pmac, we still can't make a case for Song Senor in the 7th. No Big A today?
No.. Heavy weather (tailend of the hurricane remnants) threatened so I looked westward...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 11-03-2007, 12:42 PM
-BT- -BT- is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: 60613
Posts: 2,622
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
No.. Heavy weather (tailend of the hurricane remnants) threatened so I looked westward...

big A cancled today due to high winds.... great, here i come delaware park


-bt-
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 11-03-2007, 12:44 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by -BT-
big A cancled today due to high winds.... great, here i come delaware park


-bt-
Thx BT.. I guess I made the right call... And DEL has a nice card today.. Pino going for 6,000... The Spooky Mulder-Bound Notebook Moscarelli Memorial (8th)... Should be OK!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 11-03-2007, 12:47 PM
pointman's Avatar
pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 15,693
Default

Good call Steve, wasted a lot of time capping Aqueduct. Have to start from scratch, going to move to your plays at Churchill and SA.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 11-03-2007, 12:56 PM
pmacdaddy's Avatar
pmacdaddy pmacdaddy is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Long Island, NY
Posts: 2,867
Default

Smart move skipping AQU...

Guess I will look to tomorrow... Maybe a little Curchill / Santa Anita to fill the void...
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:00 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.