Belmont today/ my plays and info

race 1- #8 Brantley is a strong bet here. In her debut she was grabbed a hold of early after breaking a little slow. Made a move outside and ran evenly. Pletcher is 33% in 2nd starts and this filly is bred to run the longer distance much better today. Her sheet number that day was better than ANYTHING these have ever run. Add in the second start improvement and anything better than even money is a gift.
Race 2- We are going to go against the expected favorite #1 Audacious Chloe. In her debut she set moderate fractions and was still run down at the wire going 4 1/2 in rather average time. My clocker says #5 Velvet Charm is working like a very good race horse. Debuting with Lasix and gets the good outside post. Lets make it a Cold dd.
Race 4- Great reports on #3 Pletcher's One Tough Belle and #4 Zip of Fools. Use both in pik-3's and pik-4's and play an exacta box if there is any value there. Clocker says of the rest that only Donk's horse, #5, has shown anything at all, but far behind the other two.

Race 6- We don't like the favored #12 Bianca Diva and won't be including her in the top spot in exactas or pik-4's.
#3 Lady Jove worked like a real runner before her Saratoga debut last year where she flashed speed and was then laid off. Returned in May and middle moved into a very hot pace set by a runaway huge figure running winner. Drops in for a tag today and my clocker says has worked much improved since her last start. Trainer Alexander owns the horse so the drop is not a negative. Trainers like to drop down into winning spots but are often prevented from doing so by owners. Since he owns here he is taking an edge in placing her.
#4 LC Tornado ran a nice figure in her debut while racing wide and a bit green. Drops down for a tag in her 2nd start and adds blinkers. Flashed speed in her debut and with the blinkers could be cutting the pace. Use her on top.
use #'s 5 and 12 underneath in exactas.

Race 7- Hard race to play on its own merits so we will be spreading out in the pik-4. We will be using #'s 1,3,4,5,7,11 in this very hard turf sprint for Ny bred filles and mares.

race 8- very hard race as well. Problem here is that most of teh top contenders absolutely need the lead to win and all will be gunning. One could shake loose but they could also melt each othe as well. Noone has a figure edge either so we will be spreading out here as well looking for a price.
We will be using #'s 1,3,4,5,8,9

Race 9- which brings us to todays best bet and single in the Pik-4. #5 Mister Zee made his debut for Carlos Martin two starts back in a maiden claiming grass race. He caught a heaily favored MSW dropdown of Clements' named Hanging Curve and made a huge charging wide move while failing to change leads and ran a huge figure 2nd. Last year under Biancone's tutelage he caught very tough field in MSW's and a stakes race.
He ran back after the grass race in a rained off the turf race. Closed well enough for 4th. His main competitors #'s 2 and 4 were late scratches this morning and Mister Zee's sheet numbers layed over these in the first place. Carlos loves him today.

The pik-4 play is 3,4
1,3,4,5,7,11
1,3,4,5,8,9
5
72 dollars for each buck and I suggest you play it.
Good luck!!

[Scav]

I need to quit my job so I can start playing during the day....

[jpops757]

Makes me want to forget my few chores and go to LS but if I do Ill stay late and miss the Mavs tonight. Thanks for the recap Ora.

[Cajungator26]

Originally Posted by Scav

I need to quit my job so I can start playing during the day....

Ditto on that...

[whorstman]

Man, I wish I could too, can't get outa work. I would love some insight into tomorrow's Churchill plays. Probably going for happy hour again.

[PSH]

Oracle:

Still like Faith in the 3rd, the 2 horse at Belmont?

Sounds like you have a lot of conviction today and are expecting a potential big day.... I will be right with you.


Best of Luck,

PSH

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

Originally Posted by oracle80

race 1- #8 Brantley is a strong bet here. In her debut she was grabbed a hold of early after breaking a little slow. Made a move outside and ran evenly. Pletcher is 33% in 2nd starts and this filly is bred to run the longer distance much better today. Her sheet number that day was better than ANYTHING these have ever run. Add in the second start improvement and anything better than even money is a gift.
Race 2- We are going to go against the expected favorite #1 Audacious Chloe. In her debut she set moderate fractions and was still run down at the wire going 4 1/2 in rather average time. My clocker says #5 Velvet Charm is working like a very good race horse. Debuting with Lasix and gets the good outside post. Lets make it a Cold dd.
Race 4- Great reports on #3 Pletcher's One Tough Belle and #4 Zip of Fools. Use both in pik-3's and pik-4's and play an exacta box if there is any value there. Clocker says of the rest that only Donk's horse, #5, has shown anything at all, but far behind the other two.

Race 6- We don't like the favored #12 Bianca Diva and won't be including her in the top spot in exactas or pik-4's.
#3 Lady Jove worked like a real runner before her Saratoga debut last year where she flashed speed and was then laid off. Returned in May and middle moved into a very hot pace set by a runaway huge figure running winner. Drops in for a tag today and my clocker says has worked much improved since her last start. Trainer Alexander owns the horse so the drop is not a negative. Trainers like to drop down into winning spots but are often prevented from doing so by owners. Since he owns here he is taking an edge in placing her.
#4 LC Tornado ran a nice figure in her debut while racing wide and a bit green. Drops down for a tag in her 2nd start and adds blinkers. Flashed speed in her debut and with the blinkers could be cutting the pace. Use her on top.
use #'s 5 and 12 underneath in exactas.

Race 7- Hard race to play on its own merits so we will be spreading out in the pik-4. We will be using #'s 1,3,4,5,7,11 in this very hard turf sprint for Ny bred filles and mares.

race 8- very hard race as well. Problem here is that most of teh top contenders absolutely need the lead to win and all will be gunning. One could shake loose but they could also melt each othe as well. Noone has a figure edge either so we will be spreading out here as well looking for a price.
We will be using #'s 1,3,4,5,8,9

Race 9- which brings us to todays best bet and single in the Pik-4. #5 Mister Zee made his debut for Carlos Martin two starts back in a maiden claiming grass race. He caught a heaily favored MSW dropdown of Clements' named Hanging Curve and made a huge charging wide move while failing to change leads and ran a huge figure 2nd. Last year under Biancone's tutelage he caught very tough field in MSW's and a stakes race.
He ran back after the grass race in a rained off the turf race. Closed well enough for 4th. His main competitors #'s 2 and 4 were late scratches this morning and Mister Zee's sheet numbers layed over these in the first place. Carlos loves him today.

The pik-4 play is 3,4
1,3,4,5,7,11
1,3,4,5,8,9
5
72 dollars for each buck and I suggest you play it.
Good luck!!

its gonna be HOT AND MUGGY...first lasix may sweat some up...

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

after what mike said about the first at belmont ..i can safely toss penna horse cuz corny aint up,mott should be in the money...

I like that $460,000 Montbrook in the second too.

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

you can keep that gift gogo strikes again.....lol

[PSH]

Looks Like Brandon ran out of gas - had every chance...
Did back him up with the exacta which pretty much saved me...

Originally Posted by PSH

Looks Like Brandon ran out of gas - had every chance...
Did back him up with the exacta which pretty much saved me...

Every chance? PSH you need to go back to race watching school and check again. That 2nd quarter move was absolutely teh stupidest thing I have ever witnessed. Do you ever nreak down fractional times? Read the other thread.

Originally Posted by oracle80

race 1- #8 Brantley is a strong bet here. In her debut she was grabbed a hold of early after breaking a little slow. Made a move outside and ran evenly. Pletcher is 33% in 2nd starts and this filly is bred to run the longer distance much better today. Her sheet number that day was better than ANYTHING these have ever run. Add in the second start improvement and anything better than even money is a gift.
Race 2- We are going to go against the expected favorite #1 Audacious Chloe. In her debut she set moderate fractions and was still run down at the wire going 4 1/2 in rather average time. My clocker says #5 Velvet Charm is working like a very good race horse. Debuting with Lasix and gets the good outside post. Lets make it a Cold dd.
Race 4- Great reports on #3 Pletcher's One Tough Belle and #4 Zip of Fools. Use both in pik-3's and pik-4's and play an exacta box if there is any value there. Clocker says of the rest that only Donk's horse, #5, has shown anything at all, but far behind the other two.

Race 6- We don't like the favored #12 Bianca Diva and won't be including her in the top spot in exactas or pik-4's.
#3 Lady Jove worked like a real runner before her Saratoga debut last year where she flashed speed and was then laid off. Returned in May and middle moved into a very hot pace set by a runaway huge figure running winner. Drops in for a tag today and my clocker says has worked much improved since her last start. Trainer Alexander owns the horse so the drop is not a negative. Trainers like to drop down into winning spots but are often prevented from doing so by owners. Since he owns here he is taking an edge in placing her.
#4 LC Tornado ran a nice figure in her debut while racing wide and a bit green. Drops down for a tag in her 2nd start and adds blinkers. Flashed speed in her debut and with the blinkers could be cutting the pace. Use her on top.
use #'s 5 and 12 underneath in exactas.

Race 7- Hard race to play on its own merits so we will be spreading out in the pik-4. We will be using #'s 1,3,4,5,7,11 in this very hard turf sprint for Ny bred filles and mares.

race 8- very hard race as well. Problem here is that most of teh top contenders absolutely need the lead to win and all will be gunning. One could shake loose but they could also melt each othe as well. Noone has a figure edge either so we will be spreading out here as well looking for a price.
We will be using #'s 1,3,4,5,8,9

Race 9- which brings us to todays best bet and single in the Pik-4. #5 Mister Zee made his debut for Carlos Martin two starts back in a maiden claiming grass race. He caught a heaily favored MSW dropdown of Clements' named Hanging Curve and made a huge charging wide move while failing to change leads and ran a huge figure 2nd. Last year under Biancone's tutelage he caught very tough field in MSW's and a stakes race.
He ran back after the grass race in a rained off the turf race. Closed well enough for 4th. His main competitors #'s 2 and 4 were late scratches this morning and Mister Zee's sheet numbers layed over these in the first place. Carlos loves him today.

The pik-4 play is 3,4
1,3,4,5,7,11
1,3,4,5,8,9
5
72 dollars for each buck and I suggest you play it.
Good luck!!

YESSIR!!!! Exacta crushed, trifecta nailed, and live to the pik-4 in a spread ticket while the favorite I didnt like finished well off the board. Straight cold exacta as given out.

[Skip away]

cool, pat yourself on your back. Poch loved that horse as well, but he tends to shy away from horses under 8/1.

Originally Posted by Skip away

cool, pat yourself on your back. Poch loved that horse as well, but he tends to shy away from horses under 8/1.

Skip Away, I was excited about a nice hit. Hope some others had it. I don't know exactly where Poch fits in this thread but I know him and hes a good guy. I guess if he had him you should have posted it before it went off. I hope he crushed it good.

[Skip away]

He doesnt "crush horses" very often oracle. He tends to stick to his job for making the money he needs. Hes smart enough to know that people dont make money in the long haul gambling. He does have the occasional score but it wont be on a weekday, typically he bets more at Saratoga and on the Big days.

Glad you hit this, we thought $7 was rather generous as well

Originally Posted by Skip away

He doesnt "crush horses" very often oracle. He tends to stick to his job for making the money he needs. Hes smart enough to know that people dont make money in the long haul gambling. He does have the occasional score but it wont be on a weekday, typically he bets more at Saratoga and on the Big days.

Glad you hit this, we thought $7 was rather generous as well

Well I had the exacta cold and thought that 31 bucks and change was even better!!! Now rolling in the pik-4's, ask Brian what he likes in the last three at Belmont.

[PSH]

Nice Hit Oracle.
Had win and place on the winner and a small exacto box.
Also played your pick 4 ticket....

It looks like it will come down to Carlos and the 9th.

Back on track and keeping our fingers crossed.

Good Luck

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by Skip away

He tends to stick to his job for making the money he needs. Hes smart enough to know that people dont make money in the long haul gambling.

Tell that to Jim Bentner who made millions betting Hong Kong races.

Check out the posters MathBoy, bigplayer, and DD' on bj21.com. These guys are full-time pros who average over 100K/year from gambling. (not from racing, however)

To generalize that "people don't make money in the long haul gambling" is an error.

--Dunbar

[Skip away]

I went with #7 .