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  #1  
Old 11-18-2007, 07:41 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 11/18: Aqueduct ($113k C/O)

Failed to include a single winner anywhere in the Aqueduct selections Saturday, a beating the likes of which I cannot recall. Card was as tough as predicted producing a double carry for the "6", but I didn't expect to take a 'golden sombrero' either.. Righted the ship somewhat at Churchill, but missed the P4 taking a single shot with Argentina over Criminologist.. P6 at Big A the focus below.


AQUEDUCT


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3)

Best Value: #5 Lion's Maddy 5-1: 3rd career a Ritvo plus.. 3rd
Most Likely: #7 Forest Trail 7-2: Shug enjoying big w/e; Can rebound.. 6th
Exotics Must: #1 Possessive 3-1: First was solid; Half to Old Forester.. 4th
Other Add: #3 Malka 5-1: Chief's DepMin debuted in major SAR heat.. 5th


5th: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, G/S)

Best Value: #5 My Dear Annie 8-1: Donk Smart Strike value; Improved draw.. 5th
Most Likely: #2e Tagg entry 3-1: Double tough if 'Golden Ways' draws in.. 2nd/6th
Exotics Must: #4 Inter Galactic 7-2: Returns to Empire company.. WON
Other Add: #7 My Nina Rose 6-1: Super G sending 'house' ahead of benching.. 9th


6th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5 (P4, DD)

Best Value: #9 Dance Gal Dance 8-1: Full sib was a fast juvenile.. WON
Most Likely: #1a (POE) C. T. PHONE HOME 7-2: Bulleted for Rice.. 3rd
Exotics Must: #2 Sorority Sister 6-1: A. Dutrow unviels with Garcia.. 8th
Other Add: #11 City Broad 9-2: Post no help for City Zip debutter.. 2nd


7th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P3, Super)

Very difficult event with in/out bunch of veteran claimers..

Best Value: #11 SCR (Sub: #9 Tsuris 9-2) 4th
Most Likely: #3 Bailero 7-2: Dutrow tough on short rest; 8yo a trouper.. WON
Exotics Must: #8 Wood Winner 20-1: 4yo from DTer Dr. Giacopelli won last this level.. 7th
Super Add: #5 River Mountain Rd 8-1: Garcia sticks; 7yo gets pace setup.. 10th


8th: The Gaily Gaily, F&M-3+, 1m-T (DD)

Best Value: #4 Them There Eyes 10-1: Feron picks spots; Can score on turnaround.. 5th
Most Likely: #8 Rasta Farian 7-2: Matz 4yo consistant all year.. 9th
Exotics Must: #5 Trouble Maker 9-2: Scorching Albertrani stretches out bay.. 2nd
Other Add: #6 Rewrite 5-2: Clement Amherst red has feasted on these stakes.. WON


9th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f (Super)

Best Value: #3 Smokin Warrior 8-1: Drop slop form and he's overlaid.. 5th
Most Likely: #9 Mockingbird Lane 4-1: Falldorf.. Fred Falldorf.. 3rd
Exotics Must: #2 Fahrenheit Wild 15-1: Terranova sharp off layoffs.. WON
Super Add: #10 Estimator 3-1: Insticts says play against.. 4th


P6 Play:

Core ticket: BOLD (3x1x1x2x2x2 = 24 x $2 = $48)

4: 1-2-5-7
5: 2e
6: 1a-9
7: 3-5-8
8: 4-8
9: 3-9

4x1x2x3x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1e-9
7: 3-5-8
8: 4-5-6-8
9: 3-9

2x3x4x2 = $48


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 11-18-2007 at 08:06 PM.
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  #2  
Old 11-18-2007, 11:12 AM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 7,440
Default Early Scratches

P6 races:

R4) 4 Tembisa
6 Fiery Inferno

R5) 1A Cagey Girl
10 One Tough Belle
11 Classic Marilyn
12 Brassy Boots
13 Whateverwillbwillb
14 Strong Presence

R7) 1A Warwick Wonder
4 Fit Faze
10 Raceland
11 Thundering Success
13 Pay the Preacher
15 Sonvida Red

R8) 3 Dancingupastorm
11 Sunshine for Life
12 Homerette
13 Gipsy Limits
14 Scatkey
15 Cindy's Mom

R9) 11 Body Blows
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  #3  
Old 11-18-2007, 12:34 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,935
Default

What don't you like about the favorite, Carolyn's Cat, in the fourth race?
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  #4  
Old 11-18-2007, 12:43 PM
dylbert dylbert is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 1,208
Default P6 & P4 plays!

Very quiet here today... no one has opinion?

"Skinny" $72 P6: 1,5, // 2,6,9 // 1 // 3,12 // 6 // 5,9,10

"Robust" $50 Late P4: 1,2,3,7,10 // 3,12 // 6 // 1,3,5,9,10

Good Luck to All Today from wet, overcast Louisiana...
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  #5  
Old 11-18-2007, 12:54 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 7,440
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dylbert
Very quiet here today... no one has opinion?

"Skinny" $72 P6: 1,5, // 2,6,9 // 1 // 3,12 // 6 // 5,9,10

"Robust" $50 Late P4: 1,2,3,7,10 // 3,12 // 6 // 1,3,5,9,10

Good Luck to All Today from wet, overcast Louisiana...
LOVE the 12 drawing in in the 7th, as well as the 14 - wide open day, weather doesn't make it any easier which makes a realistic ticket too rich for me, but IF I had 600 bucks to throw at it:



1,5 //2,4 //1,6,7 //3,12 //1 //9 $16
2 //2,4 //1,6,7 //3,12 //1 //9 $8
1,5 //6 //1,6,7 //3,12 //1 //9 $8
1,5 //2,4 //6,7 //3,12 //1 //9 $32
1,5 //2,4 //1,6,7 //14 //1 //9 $8
1,5 //2,4 //1,6,7 //3,12 //4,5 //9 $32
1,5 //2,4 //1,6,7 //3,12 //1 //3,5 $32
1,5 //7,9 //1,6,7 //3,12 //1 //9 $16
1,5 //2,4 // 2,10//3,12 //1 //9 $32
1,5 //2,4 //1,6,7 //2,8 //1 //9 $16
1,5 //2,4 //1,6,7 //3,12 //8,6 //9 $32
1,5 //2,4 //1,6,7 //3,12 //1 //7 $16
2 //6 //1,6,7 //3,12 //1 //9 $4
2 //2,4 //6,7 //3,12 //1 //9 $16
2 //2,4 //1,6,7 //14 //1 //9 $4
2 //2,4 //1,6,7 //3,12 //4,5 //9 $16
2 //2,4 //1,6,7 //3,12 //1 //3,5 $16
1,5 //6 //6,7 //3,12 //1 //9 $16
1,5 //6 //1,6,7 //14 //1 //9 $4
1,5 //6 //1,6,7 //3,12 //4,5 //9 $16
1,5 //6 //1,6,7 //3,12 //1 //3,5 $16
1,5 //2,4 //6,7 //14 //1 //9 $16
1,5 //2,4 //6,7 //3,12 //4,5 //9 $64
1,5 //2,4 //6,7 //3,12 //1 //3,5 $64
1,5 //2,4 //1,6,7 //14 //4,5 //9 $16
1,5 //2,4 //1,6,7 //14 //1 //3,5 $16
1,5 //2,4 //1,6,7 //3,12 //4,5 //3,5 $64

596.00 play

Foolish play on my part to relegate the logical fav in the first leg to a "B" started this ticket well behind the 8 ball - a wide open 3rd leg brings the morning line 5th choice to victory, no doubt reducing a fair amount of the live ticktets to hold on for the consol, which was squashed by the 22-1 l/s in the last. Don't know what the final pool totals were, guessing 3-4 tickets had it right as the P6 pays 92k

Last edited by Rudeboyelvis : 11-18-2007 at 04:10 PM.
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  #6  
Old 11-18-2007, 12:48 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
What don't you like about the favorite, Carolyn's Cat, in the fourth race?
Playing against in-race and covering in multi...
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #7  
Old 11-18-2007, 01:41 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,935
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Playing against in-race and covering in multi...

Because you don't like that she's probably lone speed, exiting a better race, and probably the best horse in the race?

I fooled around with Malka but expect Carolyn's Cat to most likely lead these on a merry chase.
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  #8  
Old 11-18-2007, 01:49 PM
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hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
"The Kentucky Killing Machine"
 
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Location: florida
Posts: 16,277
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Because you don't like that she's probably lone speed, exiting a better race, and probably the best horse in the race?

I fooled around with Malka but expect Carolyn's Cat to most likely lead these on a merry chase.
thanks andy..nuff said
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