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  #1  
Old 03-21-2008, 09:42 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default 3/21: Aqueduct ($41k C/O)

Intense 2 days with the oversize carries at AQU and SA resulting in $30k and $700k paydays for ticket hitters. Santa Anita's sextet Thursday ended up being relatively formful with but one truly tough horse to embrace, Rasgado in the 6th. Couldn't adjust selections yesterday, and effort came up a 'non-play' when second leg single Abby Cat scratched. But had 5 winners as no worse than third choice with other single Lethal Heat coming through in the feature. Was a fun card to attack. Hope you did well. Another C/O at AQU today!


AQUEDUCT


4th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3)

Most Likely: #1e Contessa entry 6-5 WON (SCR #1a Handsome Reward)
Best Value: #4 Honour Above Self 10-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Langley 5-1 6th
Exotics Add: #8 Here I Go Again 15-1 2nd


5th: CLM/N3L, 4+, 1m-70y (G/S, P3)

Standing against #3 Zip's Affair (5-2)..

Most Likely: #5 Road Not Traveled 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Wooden 9-2 4th
Next Best: #6 Wonforthegoodguys 3-1 7th
Exotics Add: #1 Love Lyndsey 15-1 5th


6th: NYB-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (P4, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Tiz the Moon 7-2 8th
Next Best: #4 Jule City 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Senora Roberta 5-1 WON
Exotics Add: #5 Fiddlers Fever 4-1 3rd


7th: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 6f (P3)

Most Likely: #7 Two Turn Halo 5-1 WON
Best Value: #5 One Tough Belle 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Alyssa the Dancer 5-2 4th
Exotics Add: #6 Aegean Breeze 3-1 5th


8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #6 Sir Winston 9-2 3rd
Most Likely: #1e Contessa entry 7-2 4th/6th
Next Best: #5 Elusive Value 8-5 2nd


9th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-70y (Super)

Most Likely: #9 Mr Park Avenue 2-1 WON
Next Best: #1 Noosa Cat 7-2 7th
Best Value: #3 Bumble 10-1 8th
Exotics Add: #2 Say Karakorum Sandy 6-1 6th


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 1-4
5: 5
6: 2-4
7: 1-5-6-7
8: 1-5-6
9: 1-9

2x1x2x4x3x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-4
7: 1-7
8: 1-5-6
9: 1-2-3-9

2x2x3x4 = $48


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 03-21-2008 at 05:51 PM.
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  #2  
Old 03-21-2008, 10:09 AM
Coach Pants
 
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I like the aggressive move in the 5th excluding the 3...

what has me a little confused is you're excluding the 2 and 4 who should be on or near the lead around the first turn.

Hard Iron was just a little over a length behind your top choice last out and it was his first route race in over a year. He seems to have his best races around two turns. Plus the jockey switch and drop in weight is an added bonus.

I've gotta play this horse at 8/1 or better.
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  #3  
Old 03-21-2008, 02:52 PM
Coach Pants
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Coach Pants
I like the aggressive move in the 5th excluding the 3...

what has me a little confused is you're excluding the 2 and 4 who should be on or near the lead around the first turn.

Hard Iron was just a little over a length behind your top choice last out and it was his first route race in over a year. He seems to have his best races around two turns. Plus the jockey switch and drop in weight is an added bonus.

I've gotta play this horse at 8/1 or better.
Still playing at 5/1
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  #4  
Old 03-21-2008, 03:05 PM
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fpsoxfan fpsoxfan is offline
Oaklawn
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Coach Pants
Still playing at 5/1
Looked good for a bit, but tough to beat the chalk today.
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  #5  
Old 03-21-2008, 03:07 PM
Coach Pants
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fpsoxfan
Looked good for a bit, but tough to beat the chalk today.
Looks like it's a little windy today.

Oh well the place money was solid.
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  #6  
Old 03-21-2008, 03:25 PM
Coach Pants
 
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Race 6

Small Across The Board Wager On Dynamic Kip
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  #7  
Old 03-21-2008, 10:42 AM
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Gate Dancer Gate Dancer is offline
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Smile Thanks!

Appreciate the info on Lethal Heat...........unreal down the stretch........looks to have a future going two turns............helped getting some spending money for the Saturday Turfway card!!
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  #8  
Old 03-21-2008, 11:08 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/AQU-changes.asp
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #9  
Old 03-21-2008, 11:09 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gate Dancer
Appreciate the info on Lethal Heat...........unreal down the stretch........looks to have a future going two turns............helped getting some spending money for the Saturday Turfway card!!
G/D,

You're quite welcome. Had the look of a standout to me. Couldn't play yesterday myself, so I'm glad someone took advantage! G/L this weekend..

SB
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #10  
Old 03-21-2008, 12:01 PM
docicu3 docicu3 is offline
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<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-4
7: 1-7...5
8: 1-5-6
9: 1-2-3-9

2x3x3x4 = 64

Steve

Your begging for The #5 One Tough Belle in the 7th to break a very nice P4 play as Arroyo got a monster efforts out of her earlier in the meet at higher levels.

Who cares if you bump the cost of the ticket by 16 bucks if it adds a 14-16 dollar winner to the sequence. Your right she is the best value here today.
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  #11  
Old 03-21-2008, 12:53 PM
Coach Pants
 
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Race 1
Double 1,6/4,6
WP 6
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  #12  
Old 03-21-2008, 12:55 PM
dylbert dylbert is offline
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<$200 P6 Play:

4: 1-8
5: 3-5
6: 4
7: 1-3-6-7
8: 1-2-5
9: 1-9

$192 total
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  #13  
Old 03-21-2008, 05:03 PM
dylbert dylbert is offline
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Default Mr. Five of Six Strikes Again!

Quote:
Originally Posted by dylbert
<$200 P6 Play:

4: 1-8
5: 3-5
6: 4 (ran second, pfft!)
7: 1-3-6-7
8: 1-2-5
9: 1-9

$192 total
Well, Mr. Five of Six strikes again! Consolation time... $270.00. Pick 3 returned tidy $668.00.
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  #14  
Old 03-21-2008, 01:09 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by docicu3
<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-4
7: 1-7...5
8: 1-5-6
9: 1-2-3-9

2x3x3x4 = 64

Steve

Your begging for The #5 One Tough Belle in the 7th to break a very nice P4 play as Arroyo got a monster efforts out of her earlier in the meet at higher levels.

Who cares if you bump the cost of the ticket by 16 bucks if it adds a 14-16 dollar winner to the sequence. Your right she is the best value here today.
DD,

As always, the $50 budget is a guideline. The 5 would absolutely be a good addition to the play.. I really like Two Turn Halo though and am protecting with Kiaran's runner. Trying to be narrow there in favor of wide in that tough feature and quirky nightcap...

Good luck!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #15  
Old 03-21-2008, 01:25 PM
Coach Pants
 
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Race 2
WP 6
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  #16  
Old 03-21-2008, 03:02 PM
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Bigsmc Bigsmc is offline
Goodwood
 
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by docicu3
<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-4
7: 1-7...5
8: 1-5-6
9: 1-2-3-9

2x3x3x4 = 64
That's $72 Doc.

Glad you're a Doc and not a Math Professor.....
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  #17  
Old 03-21-2008, 03:06 PM
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pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
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late pk 4:

6- 2,8
7- 1,5,6
8- 1,2,5
9- 2,9

Good luck!
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  #18  
Old 04-01-2008, 01:41 AM
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ninetoone ninetoone is offline
Oaklawn
 
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Steve,

Lethal Heat looked awesome again yesterday at SA on a different surface...believe that's her 3rd start in under a month & looked to do it pretty easily...and at 7-1 no less! BOOM!

One to watch...



Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
G/D,

You're quite welcome. Had the look of a standout to me. Couldn't play yesterday myself, so I'm glad someone took advantage! G/L this weekend..

SB
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