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Will Any Pletcher Horses Have Enough Graded Earnings?
Right now, I think the leading graded earning Pletcher horse is Atoned with $130,000 (after his 4th in today's Illinois Derby) -- $130,000 probably would not make the field. Of course, Monba and Cowboy Cal still have one more prep to run and one of his deep pocket owners could make a purchase between now and May 3.
It is interesting to note that El Gato Malo only has $130,000, Denis of Cork only has $165,000, Yankee Bravo only has $105,000. Denis of Cork might have a shot to get in. |
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I think Denis Of Cork will run in the Derby - I actually think he had the ultimate no shot trip today and his performance - while not exactly impressive - was significantly better than people will rate it...and really about as good as all of his other performances.
He went from a little underrated after the FG win, to clearly overrated after the Southwest win, and back to underrated after his laughably horrific result today. You see stuff like that almost never. |
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However, watching the few prior races on that card - both the rail and speed seemed to be very powerful. That coupled with the wide trip while rating off a slow pace make for authentic excuses for DoC. If you remember last years ILL Derby - they ran 10 races - the leader after the first call won 7 of them and finished 2nd in each of the 3 others. Some horses were nice prices. Cowtown Cat parlayed his tremendously bias aided ILL Derby win that year into a 20th place KY Derby finish and a 4th place finish in the Ohio Derby at even money one start after that. Not saying the bias was as powerful as last year - but from watching a few races prior - it certainly appeared the rail was tremendous and speed was carrying. |
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Denis of Cork should get a much faster pace to run at in the Derby than he got at Hawthorne today. Also, his maiden win was at Churchill in closing fashion. I imagine his connections will try to get Albarado or Borel (who won the Derby last year on a closer) back on the horse for the Derby. |
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I normally pay very little attention to riders - but yeah - someone a little stronger would help the horse a little.
Borel would be a great fit for that horse. He might get him stopped cold in that big field - but he would be more likely than anyone to pull a rabbit out of his ass. |
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i hated dennis going in to today, but if borel rides, he will be one of my top choices for the derby, because of the reasson in another thread, insane amount of speed, crazy closer coming from well out of it |
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CC is going in the Bluegrass. . . PLEASE PLEASE stay away from Denis. . . I have a future on him and I'd like for there to be at least some chance of it coming in. . .
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bluegrass is coming up deep, dam.
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Cowboy Cal hasn't worked since March 22nd....
While nothing has been reported about him that I have seen in the press - I wouldn't exactly count on him running in the Blue Grass until I've heard conclusive word of it. |
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