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Old 05-26-2008, 09:34 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,304
Default 5/26: Belmont (Met Mile; $239k C/O)

Was a good day Sunday with some exotic scores and P3 hits widely available and giving the Belmont one-day carryover a real go (4 of 6). The unfortunate part of the $240 play was that pushing the all button in the Vagrancy caught Lansdon Robbins' Looky Yonder ($21.60), which was the horse that tripped Monday's double carryover.

Sixth race single Heather's Angel was 4th and never challenged, and in the meantime, 'Best Value' 2nd choice Lost Without You was ridden brilliantly by Channing Hill to score at nearly $30. 8th race single Can't Refuse was second to my 'Next Best' third choice Russian Sage, but combined with 'Exotics Add' Posted, keyed a $520 trifecta ($1) that covered all of the day's plays and then some. The nightcap superfecta hit with the easy top three and 37-1 'Exotics Add' Dance Lesson returned $386.50.

NOTE: Met Mile Day double carryover P6 looks impossible... as I found this sextet very hard to read with few serious opinions fulminating as I handicapped. Hope that scratches help, or I may stick to P3's and the late P4...


Remember those that served...




BELMONT PARK


6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Pretty Dinner 6-1 10th
Best Value: #9 Devi 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 I'llthinkofsumthin 5-1 2nd
Exotics Add: #10 Divorce Court 9-2 WON

$1 Exacta (10-4) Paid $28.75
$1 Trifecta (10-4-9) Paid $111.00



7th: NYB-ALW/N11X, 3+, 6f-T (G/S, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Beneath the Crown 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Victorious Affair 8-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Karakorum Tornado 15-1 3rd
Exotics Add: #11 SCR


8th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3)

Most Likely: #1 Marl 4-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Royal Lord 8-1
Next Best: #2 Les Antiques 5-2 2nd
Exotics Add: #5 Colonial Kid 3-1 WON


9th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 9f-T (P3)

Most Likely: #3 Admiral Bird 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Tsunamic 12-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Solid Strike 7-2 8th
Exotics Add: #8 Continental Reins 6-1 4th


10th: 115th Metropolitan H. (Gr. I), 3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Commentator 6-5 2nd
Next Best: #4 Divine Park 5-2 WON
Best Value: #1a (POE) Premium Wine 8-1
Exotics Add: #5 First Defense 5-1


NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #3 Wicked Queen 2-1
Best Value: #10 Scarlettsobsession 15-1
Next Best: #9 Outtawesthills 9-2
Exotics Add: #5 Tame the Dice 8-1


<$400 P6 Play:

6: 1-4-9-10
7: 1-5-7
8: 1-2-5-7
9: 1-3
10: 4-8
11: 3

4x3x4x2x2x1 = 192 x $2 = $386


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 05-26-2008 at 05:58 PM.
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  #2  
Old 05-26-2008, 11:58 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,304
Default Scratches/changes

http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #3  
Old 05-26-2008, 12:37 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 5,403
Default

Did anyone else find this card borderline impossible? Too many state-breds for me. . . But at least there are a lot of turf races. . .

R4 - using 3,4,6,8
R6 - can't get past the 4 with that trainer angle - hope he doesn't get pounded because of it
R7 - #6
R8 - may just play the Shug horse because of the dam
R9 - #6 is an angle play for me
Met Mile - go Commentator
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Old 05-26-2008, 01:13 PM
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the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 4,676
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With all the crowding on the BEL turf recently, as if the inside were golden and the place to be, nice to see a horse win one the previously TYPICAL way on the BEL turf: ON THE OUTSIDE with a clear run.

Last edited by the_fat_man : 05-26-2008 at 01:24 PM.
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Old 05-26-2008, 01:32 PM
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IrishofNDMan IrishofNDMan is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Michigan
Posts: 2,981
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Race 2

7-2-9-1
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  #6  
Old 05-26-2008, 05:11 PM
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declansharbor declansharbor is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Exit 30
Posts: 6,357
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Race 9

$3 P3- 1,3,4 / 4,8 / 3,9
$1 P3- 1-8, / 4,8 / 3,5

WP on Tsunamic. Why not? Price is there to be had.

Best of luck everyone!!
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