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  #1  
Old 10-18-2008, 06:57 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default 10/17: BEL (Showcase/$121 C/O); KEE (Stakes, P4)

Missed first 2 legs of Keeneland carryover Friday before running the table with rather mundane winners for a $115.00 quad and 4 exactas worth less than $100.00 total. Better than losing... The "6" was hit for $237,000 by a single play, which needed to include the hard to figure $125.00 Argentinian winner of the 6th from Raja Malek and $14.00 Holthus firster in the 5th. Hope you did well...

Last weekend of action before Breeders' includes New York bred Showcase Day at Belmont with added bonus of $121,000 double carryover. This is always a fun betting day at Elmont. Two nice graded stakes, including Phil the Power in the Sycamore, anchor a juicy looking P4 at Keeneland today, and the Calder card is really superb featuring more than $1,100,000 in stakes and many juveniles worth keeping an eye on...

Leave for Los Angeles late this afternoon for a weeks worth of "At the Races" which should bring you the best of the action and info from Santa Anita...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: 15th Sleepy Hollow, 2yo, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Legal Consent 8-1
Most Likely: #6 Trinity Magic 8-5
Next Best: #8 Fiddlers Afleet 5-1
Exotics Use: #7 Head Hoof Heart 15-1


5th: 15th Maid of the Mist, 2yo-F, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e R. Dutrow entry 4-1
Best Value: #2 Got Clearance 6-1
Next Best: #4 Sneakin Up 3-1
Exotics Use: #10 Seek On 5-1


6th: 31st Hudson H., 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Like the Breeder's Cup Sprint... with New York Breds!

SCR #7 Premium Wine 7-2

Most Likely: #4 Ferocious Fires 9-2
Next Best: #8 Rollers 3-1
Best Value: #12 Irish Blast 15-1
Super Adds: #11 Mr. Windjammer 50-1


7th: 28th Ticonderoga H., F&M-3+, 9f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Chestoria 8-1
Most Likely: #1 You Go West Girl 3-1
Next Best: #7 Nehantic Cat 6-1
Super Add: #5 Love Cove 5-1


8th: 30th Iroquois H., F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Talking Treasure 7-2
Next Best: #9 By the Light 5-2
Best Value: #11 Under Serviced 5-1
Exotics Use: #6 Street Sass 12-1

.10 Super Play: Key 5 1st/2nd with 3-6-9-10-11 (1x5x4x3 = 60 x 2 = 120 x .10 = $12.00)


9th: 30th Mohawk H., 3+, 9f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Banrock 2-1
Best Value: #11 Logic Way 12-1
Next Best: #10 Al Basha 7-2
Exotics Use: #1a (POE) Get Serious; #8 Self Made Man 20-1


10th: 33rd Empire Clasic, 3+, 9f (Super)

SCR #1 R Clear Victory

Most Likely: #8 Tommasi 7-2
Best Value: #11 Dr. D.F.C. 8-1
Next Best: #4 Spanky Fischbein 6-1


<$200 P6 Play:

5: 1-2-4
6: 4-8
7: 1-3-5-7
8: 5-9
9: 5-11
10: 8

3x2x4x2x2x1 = 96 x $2 = $192


@$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-3-5-7
8: 5-9
9: 1-5-8-10-11
10: 8-11

4x2x5x2 = $80



KEENELAND


PRE-SCRATCHES


7th: 14th Sycamore (Gr. III), 3+, 12f-T (P4, P3, Super)

Best Value: #8 Phil the Power 12-1
Most Likely: #4 Transduction Gold 7-2
Next Best: #2 Telling 12-1


9th: 10th Raven Run (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 7f

Most Likely: #3 Informed Decision 3-1
Best Value: #4 Ride Em Cowgirl 12-1
Next Best: #10 Secret Gypsy 9-2
Super Add: #2 Spring Awakening 12-1


<$100 P4 Play:

7: 2-4-8
8: 1-3-4-5
9: 3-4
10: 1-4-9-11

3x4x2x4 = $96


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 10-18-2008 at 12:49 PM.
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  #2  
Old 10-18-2008, 07:20 AM
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TheSpyder TheSpyder is offline
Del Mar
 
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Location: Nothing could be finer
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Hey Steve,

What's you plans for ATR next week? Anything special from a time/coverage angle?

Thanks,

Spyder
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  #3  
Old 10-18-2008, 07:32 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheSpyder
Hey Steve,

What's you plans for ATR next week? Anything special from a time/coverage angle?

Thanks,

Spyder
Regular programming.. 4-7pm EST daily (M-F).. Just expecting a parade of great guests. Trainers, owners, clockers, riders, writers, broadcasters, track and BC management, celebrities, the Governator.. You know, the usual.

Was thinking about pitching an early Saturday morning show to Sirius for before Finley and Johnson, but it would have to be 5-8am or 6-8am Pacific Coast Time (!) and I'm not sure it's practical...

Maybe an Internet Special for 7-9 PCT (10-12 EST)? That's a possibility. Kind of a final handicapping notes deal...

Should be a fun week.. Feel free to suggest things you want to hear!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #4  
Old 10-18-2008, 07:37 AM
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TheSpyder TheSpyder is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Nothing could be finer
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Thanks,

For me, I'd like to hear a handicapping session with some of the top cappers going over the races. Something like a three way discussion with people like Andy, John White, and Seth going over their picks and pace senerio. With horses coming from all over the world, discussion on pace would be very interesting as that's the hardest thing to figure out on BC days. Advance notice would be great to make plans to listen.

Spyder
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Regular programming.. 4-7pm EST daily (M-F).. Just expecting a parade of great guests. Trainers, owners, clockers, riders, writers, broadcasters, track and BC management, celebrities, the Governator.. You know, the usual.

Was thinking about pitching an early Saturday morning show to Sirius for before Finley and Johnson, but it would have to be 5-8am or 6-8am Pacific Coast Time (!) and I'm not sure it's practical...

Maybe an Internet Special for 7-9 PCT (10-12 EST)? That's a possibility. Kind of a final handicapping notes deal...

Should be a fun week.. Feel free to suggest things you want to hear!
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  #5  
Old 10-18-2008, 08:58 AM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
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For what it's worth, I think Premium Wine is scratching.
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  #6  
Old 10-18-2008, 09:28 AM
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Handicappy Handicappy is offline
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Location: Larchmont, New York
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
For what it's worth, I think Premium Wine is scratching.
yep he is in the sale I think
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  #7  
Old 10-18-2008, 04:39 PM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheSpyder
Thanks,

For me, I'd like to hear a handicapping session with some of the top cappers going over the races. Something like a three way discussion with people like Andy, John White, and Seth going over their picks and pace senerio. With horses coming from all over the world, discussion on pace would be very interesting as that's the hardest thing to figure out on BC days. Advance notice would be great to make plans to listen.

Spyder
Really?
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  #8  
Old 10-18-2008, 04:50 PM
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the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
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Posts: 4,676
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Needed Invisible Lee last time and didn't exactly get the best trip. Trainer/jockey change, blinkers off, and he's getting more money than I expected.
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