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  #1  
Old 12-01-2008, 02:33 PM
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King Glorious King Glorious is offline
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Default BCS

1. Alabama
2. Oklahoma
3. Texas
4. Florida
5. USC
6. Utah

My prediction in bold.

Scenario #1: Alabama and Oklahoma both win their conference championships and then play for the national title.

Scenario #2: Alabama loses and Oklahoma wins. Oklahoma would play Florida in the title game because Florida would jump over Texas and into the #2 spot.

Scenario #3: Alabama wins and Oklahoma loses. Alabama would play Texas for the title.

Scenario #4: Alabama and Oklahoma both lose. Texas and Florida would play for the title.

Scenario #5: Alabama loses and Oklahoma wins but Texas stays ahead of Florida (very unlikely should Florida beat Alabama) and then Oklahoma and Texas play for the title.

Under no circumstances will USC or Utah be in the title game.

Another question is who will be the three at-large teams for the BCS? The six conference winners are in and so is Utah. So that's seven. That leaves three open spots. Texas is 99.999 assured of getting one of them. So that leaves two. I believe that the loser of the Alabama/Florida game will get a spot. That leaves one spot. Texas Tech can't go because a conference can't have more than two teams unless those they have the #1 and #2 teams. So that would basically take it down to Ohio St. or Boise St. for the final spot. I'd say if the Fiesta Bowl has the choice, they would go with Boise St. but any other bowl would chose Ohio St.
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  #2  
Old 12-01-2008, 03:22 PM
horseofcourse horseofcourse is offline
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The biggest travesty in this whole thing is of course TExas Tech not playing in the Big 12 championship game. Oklahoma of course insisted on Texas Tech playing in this game by explaining that head to head means absolutely nothing as they beat Texas Tech and Texas didn't. Their circularity of course meant that Oklahoma and Stoops felt T Tech was the deserving big 12 south champion. Texas Tech beat Texas and Oklahoma didn't...plus Texas Tech beat Oklahoma State prettier than Oklahoma did. Therefore, according to the Oklahoma publicity machine the Texas Tech/Oklahoma matchup really meant nothing. Oklahoma tosses Texas game in favor of the Texas Tech game, therefore Texas Tech can toss the Oklahoma game in favor of the Texas game putting them ahead of Oklahoma obviously according to the Oklahoma argument. Their own logic and argument placed them below Texas Tech.

And of course Texas was also arguing for Texas Tech as they claimed they beat Oklahoma straight up...meaning their straight up loss to Texas Tech was the decider. Their own logic and argument placed them below Texas Tech.

And of course MIke Leach brought up the graduation rates as well. So all 3 big 12 South schools argued for Texas Tech as the champion of the conference to no success. The pollsters have it all wrong.

Texas Tech...the true Big 12 south champion.
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  #3  
Old 12-01-2008, 06:53 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by horseofcourse
The biggest travesty in this whole thing is of course TExas Tech not playing in the Big 12 championship game. Oklahoma of course insisted on Texas Tech playing in this game by explaining that head to head means absolutely nothing as they beat Texas Tech and Texas didn't. Their circularity of course meant that Oklahoma and Stoops felt T Tech was the deserving big 12 south champion. Texas Tech beat Texas and Oklahoma didn't...plus Texas Tech beat Oklahoma State prettier than Oklahoma did. Therefore, according to the Oklahoma publicity machine the Texas Tech/Oklahoma matchup really meant nothing. Oklahoma tosses Texas game in favor of the Texas Tech game, therefore Texas Tech can toss the Oklahoma game in favor of the Texas game putting them ahead of Oklahoma obviously according to the Oklahoma argument. Their own logic and argument placed them below Texas Tech.

And of course Texas was also arguing for Texas Tech as they claimed they beat Oklahoma straight up...meaning their straight up loss to Texas Tech was the decider. Their own logic and argument placed them below Texas Tech.

And of course MIke Leach brought up the graduation rates as well. So all 3 big 12 South schools argued for Texas Tech as the champion of the conference to no success. The pollsters have it all wrong.

Texas Tech...the true Big 12 south champion.
Texas logic is that they lost to Tech on Tech's home field on the last play.
(after a freshman dropped a lollypop interception to seal the game) and beat Oklahoma cleanly on a neutral field. Tech barely sneaking by Baylor sealed their coffin. Any team that gets beat as bad as Tech did... They are just not that good. They got Texas on a very bad game and barely won.

Unlike most Texas fans, it does not bother me that Oklahoma went over us. You play your best and live with the results. We know the system has its drawbacks. No use to continually beating your head against a wall.

The one thing I can make sense of is that out of those 3 Big 12 teams, Tech is cearly the NOT the best. Good teams dont get 65 or whatever points put up on them. Tech away from Lubbock can lose to any decent team.

I think the King's scenario seems correct. Except I think Ohio St. has a good chance to replace Boise. Ohio St. has a huge following. And it does matter.
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Old 12-01-2008, 07:03 PM
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Mortimer Mortimer is offline
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Hey..I'm not a bcs fan because it's so phony.



But Ohio State or any other team like them.....check the schedules for whoever that team could be ...and then look at Boise.
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  #5  
Old 12-02-2008, 09:13 AM
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philcski philcski is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mortimer
Hey..I'm not a bcs fan because it's so phony.



But Ohio State or any other team like them.....check the schedules for whoever that team could be ...and then look at Boise.
While I very much agree with you on point #1, note that Ohio State beat exactly one good team this year (@ Michigan State) and lost to the two other legitimate teams they played. Normally I'd give credit for a good win @ Camp Randall, but not this year.

Boise's win at Oregon is just as good, if not better, than Ohio State's at Michigan State- and they absolutely manhandled everybody else on their schedule except a decent Nevada team. They deserve to go over a two-loss Ohio State team.

We know they won't, since money matters of course as Phil stated.
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  #6  
Old 12-02-2008, 09:25 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
While I very much agree with you on point #1, note that Ohio State beat exactly one good team this year (@ Michigan State) and lost to the two other legitimate teams they played. Normally I'd give credit for a good win @ Camp Randall, but not this year.

Boise's win at Oregon is just as good, if not better, than Ohio State's at Michigan State- and they absolutely manhandled everybody else on their schedule except a decent Nevada team. They deserve to go over a two-loss Ohio State team.

We know they won't, since money matters of course as Phil stated.
Honest..wasn't a plug for us.


Wish someone else was battling them. I just think strength of sched should matter. Look at their whole sched.....it sucks.They wouldn't finish in the top 5 or 6 in the BT..in my noodle.



Think of BYU being the only undefeated team in the country several years ago. They won the polls nc.........didn't deserve it. I do think 2 and 3 loss teams can be better than unbeaten teams.
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  #7  
Old 12-01-2008, 07:12 PM
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Humanitarian Bowl wants Boise and Ball St. Ball wants no parts of Boise on the blue rug. Ball has no objections to Boise as long as it's a neutral site.
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  #8  
Old 12-01-2008, 08:12 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pgardn
Texas logic is that they lost to Tech on Tech's home field on the last play.
(after a freshman dropped a lollypop interception to seal the game) and beat Oklahoma cleanly on a neutral field. Tech barely sneaking by Baylor sealed their coffin. Any team that gets beat as bad as Tech did... They are just not that good. They got Texas on a very bad game and barely won.

Unlike most Texas fans, it does not bother me that Oklahoma went over us. You play your best and live with the results. We know the system has its drawbacks. No use to continually beating your head against a wall.

The one thing I can make sense of is that out of those 3 Big 12 teams, Tech is cearly the NOT the best. Good teams dont get 65 or whatever points put up on them. Tech away from Lubbock can lose to any decent team.

I think the King's scenario seems correct. Except I think Ohio St. has a good chance to replace Boise. Ohio St. has a huge following. And it does matter.
I think any bowl besides the Fiesta would chose Ohio St. The Fiesta might too but they would probably consider Boise for two reasons:

1) Idaho's close proximity to Arizona. I think in this economy, the fact that they are so close and travel expenses would be a lot lower for not only the team but the fans, that could play a role.

2) Boise's very successful visit the last time they played in the game, against Oklahoma.
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  #9  
Old 12-01-2008, 08:16 PM
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8 teams
Jan 1

Outback or Capital One 1-8
Cotton 2-7
Rose 3-6
Sugar 4-5

Jan 8
Orange 1-4
Fiesta 2-3

Jan 15
BCS Bowl 1-2

or 4 teams

Jan 1 (Rotating the 4 BCS bowls every year)
Orange 1-4
Fiesta 2-3

Jan 8
BCS Bowl 1-2
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  #10  
Old 12-02-2008, 05:58 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 31lengths
8 teams
Jan 1
Outback or Capital One 1-8
Cotton 2-7
Rose 3-6
Sugar 4-5

Jan 8
Orange 1-4
Fiesta 2-3

Jan 15
BCS Bowl 1-2

or 4 teams

Jan 1 (Rotating the 4 BCS bowls every year)
Orange 1-4
Fiesta 2-3

Jan 8
BCS Bowl 1-2
pretty good idea just bump back your dates: 8 teams, start the second weekedend in Dec and finish the first weekend in Jan.
4 teams play third weekend in Dec. and the first weekend in Jan. that would be a week off between conference championships and a week off before the NCG.
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  #11  
Old 12-01-2008, 08:37 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by King Glorious
I think any bowl besides the Fiesta would chose Ohio St. The Fiesta might too but they would probably consider Boise for two reasons:

1) Idaho's close proximity to Arizona. I think in this economy, the fact that they are so close and travel expenses would be a lot lower for not only the team but the fans, that could play a role.

2) Boise's very successful visit the last time they played in the game, against Oklahoma.
I think it also depends on who is the other representative. If Texas gets the Fiesta, you are going to get many more requests for tickets from Texas fans if Ohio St. is the pick. It may not be fair... but this is how I see it. Texas and Ohio St. fans will travel in very large numbers. You are talking about the two top schools in the nation for revenue from sports. Huge Alumni numbers.

Should be interesting.
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  #12  
Old 12-01-2008, 08:59 PM
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Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by King Glorious
I think any bowl besides the Fiesta would chose Ohio St. The Fiesta might too but they would probably consider Boise for two reasons:

1) Idaho's close proximity to Arizona. I think in this economy, the fact that they are so close and travel expenses would be a lot lower for not only the team but the fans, that could play a role.

2) Boise's very successful visit the last time they played in the game, against Oklahoma.
Idaho isnt real close to AZ
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Old 12-01-2008, 09:09 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Idaho isnt real close to AZ
Boise to Phoenix is under 1000 miles and it's half the distance of Columbus to Phoenix.
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  #14  
Old 12-02-2008, 08:24 AM
horseofcourse horseofcourse is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Idaho isnt real close to AZ
speaking from experience, Idaho is close to absolutely nothing. A 500 mile drive out here is considered pretty much nothing. I think KGs point is pretty valid and the Fiesta has had great success with both Utah and Boise State in recent history. And considering the amount of driving required in the Rocky Mountain States to get somewhere, Phoenix is a pretty easy destination from both Salt Lake and Boise.
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  #15  
Old 12-02-2008, 07:46 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by King Glorious
I think any bowl besides the Fiesta would chose Ohio St.
My old high school football team is rumored to be playing Ohio State in the "I'm the most overrated football team in the country" bowl ...













































































Dr. Phillips is the 6 point favorite.
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Old 12-02-2008, 08:38 AM
horseofcourse horseofcourse is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pgardn
Texas logic is that they lost to Tech on Tech's home field on the last play.
(after a freshman dropped a lollypop interception to seal the game) and beat Oklahoma cleanly on a neutral field. Tech barely sneaking by Baylor sealed their coffin. Any team that gets beat as bad as Tech did... They are just not that good. They got Texas on a very bad game and barely won.

Unlike most Texas fans, it does not bother me that Oklahoma went over us. You play your best and live with the results. We know the system has its drawbacks. No use to continually beating your head against a wall.

The one thing I can make sense of is that out of those 3 Big 12 teams, Tech is cearly the NOT the best. Good teams dont get 65 or whatever points put up on them. Tech away from Lubbock can lose to any decent team.

I think the King's scenario seems correct. Except I think Ohio St. has a good chance to replace Boise. Ohio St. has a huge following. And it does matter.
my quaint attempts at humor again for naught!

with regard to your bolded portion...at what limit do you draw the points allowed to be a good team limit?? Obviously good teams can give up 45 in your opinion...or 41...but not 65?? What is the magic value where a team becomes not good?? 47?? or can you give up 90 as long as you win??

I was attempting to be funny as I clearly don't think Texas Tech is the best team in the big 12 south...but I found great humor in the Texas and Oklahoma people's attempt at justification. In the end they were clearly making circular arguments is all I was saying. When 3 teams all beat each other, that makes any attempt at justification to clearly make one of those teams the best...circular in nature. Just as anyone can make the claim for Texas and Oklahoma, I thought I'd do the same for Tech as noone else did.

In my opinion, of all the one loss teams, Florida is the least deserving of a spot in the title game. They are the only one who lost at home. All the others lost on the road or at neutral fields. I hope they lose to Alabama.
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Old 12-02-2008, 08:51 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by horseofcourse
my quaint attempts at humor again for naught!

with regard to your bolded portion...at what limit do you draw the points allowed to be a good team limit?? Obviously good teams can give up 45 in your opinion...or 41...but not 65?? What is the magic value where a team becomes not good?? 47?? or can you give up 90 as long as you win??

I was attempting to be funny as I clearly don't think Texas Tech is the best team in the big 12 south...but I found great humor in the Texas and Oklahoma people's attempt at justification. In the end they were clearly making circular arguments is all I was saying. When 3 teams all beat each other, that makes any attempt at justification to clearly make one of those teams the best...circular in nature. Just as anyone can make the claim for Texas and Oklahoma, I thought I'd do the same for Tech as noone else did.

In my opinion, of all the one loss teams, Florida is the least deserving of a spot in the title game. They are the only one who lost at home. All the others lost on the road or at neutral fields. I hope they lose to Alabama.



!!!!OOOOOOOOOO!!!!
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  #18  
Old 12-02-2008, 09:27 AM
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King Glorious King Glorious is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by horseofcourse
my quaint attempts at humor again for naught!

with regard to your bolded portion...at what limit do you draw the points allowed to be a good team limit?? Obviously good teams can give up 45 in your opinion...or 41...but not 65?? What is the magic value where a team becomes not good?? 47?? or can you give up 90 as long as you win??

I was attempting to be funny as I clearly don't think Texas Tech is the best team in the big 12 south...but I found great humor in the Texas and Oklahoma people's attempt at justification. In the end they were clearly making circular arguments is all I was saying. When 3 teams all beat each other, that makes any attempt at justification to clearly make one of those teams the best...circular in nature. Just as anyone can make the claim for Texas and Oklahoma, I thought I'd do the same for Tech as noone else did.

In my opinion, of all the one loss teams, Florida is the least deserving of a spot in the title game. They are the only one who lost at home. All the others lost on the road or at neutral fields. I hope they lose to Alabama.
I agree with the talk about Texas Tech. No, I don't think they are as good as Oklahoma and yes, it did take a near miracle for them to beat Texas......but they DID beat Texas. Even if that guy would have intercepted that pass a couple of plays before or if the db could have deflected that last td pass and Texas would have held on, the fact that Tech would have still been in the game until the final plays shows they weren't outclassed on the day. Since those things DIDN'T happen and Tech DID win the game, they deserve to be in the conversation. The Texas coaches have the weakest argument of all when continuously trying to bring up the head-to-head since using that tiebreaker, they lose out to Tech. It would have been hilarious if Oklahoma had lost to Ok St and the tiebreaker had come down to h-2-h because then Tech would be in the conference title game and all the Texas talk about how they deserve it over Oklahoma would have been moot.
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Old 12-02-2008, 09:29 AM
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Philski..I might add I do hate Nosiy because of the blue field and blue home uniforms.



Like it's a coincidence.
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  #20  
Old 12-04-2008, 08:16 PM
pgardn
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by horseofcourse
with regard to your bolded portion...at what limit do you draw the points allowed to be a good team limit?? Obviously good teams can give up 45 in your opinion...or 41...but not 65?? What is the magic value where a team becomes not good?? 47?? or can you give up 90 as long as you win??

Florida is the least deserving of a spot in the title game. They are the only one who lost at home. All the others lost on the road or at neutral fields. I hope they lose to Alabama.
OK.
I will make it easier.
When a team allows another team to score at will, every time they get the ball, they are not a good team. Texas Tech is awful away from home.

Last point is a very good one that has not been brought up often enough.
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