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#1
12-05-2008, 10:00 AM
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12/5: Delta Downs (Stakes P4)
Took until late in the 4th quarter for me to find the end zone, but the Hollywood nightcap closed out the day wonderfully. "Best Value" Swiss Blonde anchored the $715 P4 score and all the available exotics ($57 EXA; $228 TRI; $623 SPR; $2,140 Hi-5). It was a welcome conclusion to whjat was becoming a frustrating afternoon after multiple near misses at Aqueduct and Fair Grounds. Hope you did well! Delta Downs offers a fun night of stakes action on the 'sabine sand' later today...
DELTA DOWNS PRE-SCRATCHES 5th: Sam's Town, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, Super) Most Likely: #4 Tend 2-1 WON Next Best: #3 No Advantage 4-1 5th Best Value: #8 Coach Ryan 5-1 2nd Exotics Use: #9 Proud Kentuckian 9-2 4th $1 Exacta (4-8) Paid $6.80 6th: Delta Princess (Gr. III), 2yo-F, 1m (P3, Super) Most Likely: #1 JUST JENDA 5-1 5th Best Value: #2 Four Gifts 8-1 WON Next Best: #6 C. S. Silk 2-1 2nd Exotics Use: #8 Loveyou Everybody 10-1 4th $1 Exacta (2-6) Paid $22.30 7th: Orleans, 3yo-F, 7f (P3, Super) Most Likely: #3 Adsilver 4-1 3rd Best Value: #5 Dubit 5-1 2nd Next Best: #10 SCR Exotics Use: #9 My Heavenly Sign 7-2 WON $1 Exacta (9-5) Paid $11.40 $1 Trifecta (9-5-3) Paid $28.60 8th: Delta Jackpot (Gr. III), 2yo, This is a wild betting race. Best Value: #3 Trinity Magic 8-1 9th Most Likely: #7 Big Drama 5-1 WON Next Best: #6 West Side Bernie 3-1 2nd Exotics Use: #4 Three Part Harmony 20-1 10th $1 Exacta (7-6) Paid $23.70 <$50/<$100 P4 Play: 5: 3-4-8-9 6: 1 7: 3-5-9-10 8: 2-3-4-6-7-9 4x1x3x6 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 12-06-2008 at 02:35 PM. 
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#2
12-05-2008, 10:31 AM
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Steve - on the Jackpot. I agree with TM, WSB, and even TPH at a nice price with Albarado on his back. Just not sure about Big Drama with Coa. I think BD is his first mount of the night and that is a quirky track. I'd be more inclined to go with Terrain and Jaime Theriot. Plus he's coming out of 2 straight G1's.
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#3
12-05-2008, 11:01 AM
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I think that after Trinity Magic, there's about 4 of them.. I sided with Big Drama over Terrain, (whom I've defended as nice since the Chicago clusterphuck), on price and on Fawkes. He is not a guy who ships to obscure spots, and if Big Drama and Three Part Harmony get over the Calder surface, they'll get over the unusual footing at Delta. I'm more concerned that I don't have the pace scenario correct here. If it collapses, Terrain, Bernie and the Casse colts move up, and if they don't go too, too fast early it stays in the hands of Trinty, Drama and Harmony. Bernie is the swing horse to me in either pace scenario based on the early ship-in and the way he got over the track. I'm not a Kelly Breen fan, but this is a very nice horse. G/L tonight.. Fun series..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
12-05-2008, 11:08 AM
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I agree that Trinity Magic looks like a big standout. . . Not sure there's any chance for 8-1, though. . .
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#6
12-05-2008, 11:38 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#7
12-05-2008, 07:20 PM
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#8
12-06-2008, 11:02 AM
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Thought she received a tentative ride by Saez who then translated what he learned there into a much better voyage on My Heavenly Sign in the next stake. I'm kicking myself for not builsing a better P4 play last night...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#9
12-06-2008, 01:39 PM
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__________________
Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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