Tampa Pick 4/Sat. 13th

[GPK]

Gotta post this early. Strange hours at work today and tomorrow, so this is the only chance I have to post my picks.

Races 8-11 (Pre-scratches)

Big Ticket $144

2,6,7/1,4,7/5,6,8,10/5,9,10,12

Small Ticket $45

1,2,3,6,7/7/5,6,8/5,9,12

[TheSpyder]

Race 7: #9 Galaxy Tax - Looks a top pick and a good price...Coming back to favorite track where the horse excelled last year, tuned back up and ready to go in a race where pace pressure will be string leaving him ready to take charge in late stretch.

Thoughts?

Spyder

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by TheSpyder

Race 7: #9 Galaxy Tax - Looks a top pick and a good price...Coming back to favorite track where the horse excelled last year, tuned back up and ready to go in a race where pace pressure will be string leaving him ready to take charge in late stretch.

Thoughts?

Spyder

Another really good race - haven't looked at the morning line ( a well documented joke here at Tampa) but I'm partial to Bernie Rhone's horses on the turf and Onotheregostokyo was a key part of an extra juicy P4 for me back in March. He loves the Tampa turf and gets my boy Dean Butler back this year. 2 sharp works since arriving at the friendly confines of Oldsmar...


Ness' horse could be trouble, but I doubt he draws in - a little rain on and off over the past few days as that front passed through, but we should certainly be fast and firm by post time. We typically don't get many turf scratches this early - you basically lose your date and won't get another start for a while so something would have to be pretty wrong to scratch.

[Rudeboyelvis]

Should be Sunny and 70's by post time....

PRE SCRATCHES


Race 1 Clm 5000N2Y 7F 3yo & ^
The Ole’ dated nickel… A TBD standard and what better way to open the season

Most Likely: 2 King Glacken 7-2
Next Best: 4 Leonard G 6-1
Best Value: 12 Fierce Advocate 15-1
Exotics Use: 8 Playful Pal 5-1

Race 2 Clm 8000 N3L 6F F&M 3yo & ^

Most Likely: 6 Close the Deal 9-5
Next Best: 5 Inquisitive House 12-1
Best Value: 9 Capture the Beauty 16-1
Exotics Use: 2 Tis Premixed 8-1

Race 3 Alw 20200 N1X 6F 2yo

Most Likely: 5 Edopapas Ekepapa 5-2 Cannot wait to here Grunder pronounce this!
Best Value: 6 Call Nine One One 8-1
Next Best: 2 Scottish Mystery 2-1
Exotics Use: Promise Me Merlot 3-1

Race 4 Msw 20000 1 Mile Turf 2yo Fillies

Most Likely: 10 State Treasure 7-2
Best Value: 2 Don’t Get Married 12-1
Next Best: 6 Westling 5-1
Exotics Use: Islandia 9-2

Race 5 Clm 16000 N2L 6.5F 3yo & ^

Most Likely: 5 Heartaches 9-2
Next Best: 7 Golden Citizen E K 5-2
Best Value: 10 Flashy Wonder 15-1
Exotics Use: 3 Taxicab 15-1

Race 6 Msw 20000 6F F&M 3yo & ^

Most Likely: 2 PALACE CAT 2-1
Best Value: 9 Serata 8-1
Next Best: 7 Gallant Bid 4-1
Exotics Use: 6 Magna Heat 7-2

Race 7 OC 32000/N2X 1 & 1/16th Miles Turf 3yo & ^

Most Likely: 5 Onotheregostokoyo 5-2
Best Value: 10 Mr. Easy E 10-1
Next Best: 9 Galaxy Tax 6-1 (Note Sub AE12 Dawn Raider 4-1 if draws in)
Exotics Use: 1 Greycliff Exchange 9-2

Race 8 Clm 8000 6.5F 3yo & ^

Most Likely: 7 Kenny Run 2-1
Best Value: 1 Islandprospectrbob 8-1
Next Best: 2 Rahoo 7-2
Exotics Use: 3 Mandu Genius 4-1

Race 9 Alw 23500NC 6F F&M 3yo & ^
Very interesting conditioned allowance with the presence of multiple GSW Dream Rush. Will be beat to the ground at the windows and depending on form could well be vulnerable. Most will single here, I think there is value in spreading a bit as the pace scenario can change and offer a “Big Truck” like payoff in the multi race plays.

Most Likely: 7 Dream Rush 4-5
Best Value: 2 Fotografica 20-1
Next Best: 3 Mayomast 10-1
Exotics Use: 4 Lil’s Lassie 6-1

Race 10 The 5th Running of the Lightning City 65000 5F Turf F&M 3yo & ^

Most Likely: 8 Charlie Papa 5-1
Next Best: 6 Jazzy 3-1
Exotics Use A: 5 Taletobetold 7-2
Exotics Use B: 10 Bucky’s Prayer 9-2

Race 11 Mdn 25000 6F Fillies 2yo

Most Likely: 5 Free Light 7-2
Next Best: 12 This Gal is Mine 5-2
Best Value: 9 Jean the Queen 5-1
Exotics Use: 1 Song of Alydar 8-1


P4 Big Ticket:

1,2,7//2,3,4,7//2,5,6,8,10//5,9,12

180.00

Small:

2,7//2,3,7//5,6,8,10//5,12

48.00


Good Luck All

[GPK]

Dan...your big ticky is a buck eighty.

[Bigsmc]

Originally Posted by GPK

Dan...your big ticky is a buck eighty.

He's might be a little short today. He may need one. Look for him to get a lot out of today and be ready to fire next out.

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by GPK

Dan...your big ticky is a buck eighty.

Fat fingered...Gracias

[TheSpyder]

Thanks Bogey, Nailed the win and exacta. Just got back from tennis to play this. One for one at Tampa!

Originally Posted by TheSpyder

Race 7: #9 Galaxy Tax - Looks a top pick and a good price...Coming back to favorite track where the horse excelled last year, tuned back up and ready to go in a race where pace pressure will be string leaving him ready to take charge in late stretch.

Thoughts?

Spyder

[-BT-]

Big ticket PK4
1237
457
45679 10
5 12 = $144

Real ticket
237
57
45679 10
5 12 = $72

gl all

-bt-

[TheSpyder]

pick 4

3,7//7//1569//all $96

[-BT-]

Originally Posted by -BT-

Big ticket PK4
1237
457
45679 10
5 12 = $144

Real ticket
237
57
45679 10
5 12 = $72
gl all

-bt-

2009 can not get here fast enough

-bt-

[AeWingnut]

Originally Posted by -BT-

2009 can not get here fast enough

-bt-

I would have made a back up bet with the 1,3,9 on top if I had any money left in my account
sure I could have deposited more but then it what would be the excuse next time.

saved money

what did it pay $3k+ ?

[Bogey]

Originally Posted by TheSpyder

Thanks Bogey, Nailed the win and exacta. Just got back from tennis to play this. One for one at Tampa!

Spyder, nice work. You were right on the money with Galaxy Tax rolling late.

[AeWingnut]

Dream Rush won running easy but it didn't happen the way I thought
and it wasn't that easy

paid workout

for some reason I like 12



$1 Pick-3
1,5,7,WT,12,WT,5,12
5,7,WT,2,4,5,12,WT,5,12

automatic toss

[TheSpyder]

5,6,9 / 6,9,12 double

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by AeWingnut

Dream Rush won running easy but it didn't happen the way I thought
and it wasn't that easy

paid workout

for some reason I like 12



$1 Pick-3
1,5,7,WT,12,WT,5,12
5,7,WT,2,4,5,12,WT,5,12

automatic toss

Bigs had the final PP's that showed the ownership change of Dream Rush from West Point to Minor Stables...Thought that to be pretty significant and clearly while she got it done in classy fashion, not the DR we are used to seeing. Would have loved to have seen the 6 nose up there, but the feature was out of reach on any reasonable spread P4 ticket - all in all great to get racing back home and while we came up a bit short today, had some tickets to cash along the way (rolling DD's party!!!) The BEST meet under the Florida sunshine to get us through the winter is always a lot of fun and we'll get em Wednesday!

[AeWingnut]

6 Furlongs. Alw 23500nc Purse $23,500 (includes $3,000 FOA - Florida
Owners Awards) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year
Olds, 120 lbs., Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of $11,250 Twice Since September 13 Allowed 2
lbs. $10,800 Since August 13 Allowed 4 lbs. (Maiden, Claiming, And Starter Races Not
Considered) .


Fly high - fall far

I know she didn't do anything but seems like a huge drop from running the BC Filly Mare Sprint to running in a low level allowance race at Tampa Bay.

Probably a paid workout but at 4/5, I will play against.

I like the #1 coming from Hawthorne

but will go with Rosemary on #5 D Day (better odds - maybe)

[Bigsmc]

Pick 4

Race 8

1 - Islandprospectrbob - Ran super in his first Tampa race last year. Inconsistant type shows a nice bullet for this.
7 - Kenny Run - Let's see, Ness, Centeno, speed, huge drop in class....welcome to Tampa.

Race 9

7 - Dream Rush - Not sold on her, but I am not a fool.
4 - Lil's Lassie - Loves this place. Horse for course is huge early in the Tampa meet. Needs some help on the front end to not let Dream Rush get away.
6 - Orinoquia - Will be flying late if the speed comes back.

Race 10 - *Edit* Fanlight Fanny drawing in, adds to the pace up front. Race seems even more wide open now...

5 - Taletobetold - Catch her if you can.
7 - What She Said - My gut says stay away, but she is going so good right now. Lake usually flops at Tampa, so beware.
9 - Ahvee's Destiny - Loves the trip. Rosemary will be stalking....
10 - Bucky's Prayer - Versitile sort likes the Tampa grass.
6 - Jazzy - Not sold on her at all. Will include on class alone.
2 - Creative Design - Montalvo will have to work out a trip from the inside.

Race 11

12 - This Gal is Mine - Looks awful tough here.
3 - Sticky Wicket - Firster looks to have some speed.
5 - Free Light - Possible include on fatter tickets, been working well for Griffith/Kinsman. May want more distance.

1,7/4,6,7/2,5,6,7,9,10/3,12 = $72

Fast and firm today.
GL

[Bigsmc]

Tampa Bay Downs Scratches

12/13/2008

Race # Horse # Name
4 11 Mi Helena
4 12 My Pill Box
4 13 A June Affair
4 14 Pop Pop's Carr
7 11 Special Tiger
7 12 Dawn Raider
7 13 Silver Mountain
7 14 Noble Austin
10 1 Jaunty Gale
10 11 Silversider
10 13 Elena's Princess
10 14 Suzee Sunrise

[Rudeboyelvis]

The Graham Motion horse draws into the feature...Just to confuse things a bit more....