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#1
01-10-2009, 08:03 AM
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1/10: Fair Grounds (R4-11); Santa Anita (P6); Gulfstream (DD)
The three venue carryovers on Friday at New York, Florida and California, produced enough outrageous winners that none of the respective sextets were successfully negotiated. As a result, Aqueduct's 6 starts at $91,373, Gulfstream's at $46,307, and Santa Anita's at a whopping $1,210,707. For budget purposes Saturday, the Arcadia pool, likely to reach $4,000,000, is the only one to chase...
I had a largely poor afternoon approaching the day's 18 races, though a few isolated trifectas kept the day from being totally wallet-draining. In Ozone Park, Mr. Again (4th; $40.20) and Awesome Ashley (8th; $24.20) were the culprits that stopped multi-race anglers, while at Gulfstream, $28 Tadisha (7th) and several 3rd or 4th choice types derailed dreamers. Santa Anita was even more inscrutable, as $30+ Shantika's Dream (4th) and Bonjour (7th) combined with 3 other $12-$17 winners to ensure a third straight unhit skien. In addition to the Cali carryover, a very interesting late double at Gulfstream and the great stakes card at Fair Grounds are my focus.. Hope you did OK Friday and that we can get a few things cooking today! FAIR GROUNDS POST-SCRATCHES 4th: 24th Gaudin, 4+, 6f (P6, P3, Super) Most Likely: #3 DEVEREUX 5-2: Simply faster, more consistent.. 4th Best Value: #6 Mutadda 4-1: Amoss notorious 2nd/break.. WON Next Best: #4 Roi Maudit 2-1: Solid Mott 5yo chased choice last time.. 5th 5th: 23rd Col. Bradley (Gr. II), 4+, 8.5f-T (.50 P5, P3, Super) Terrific edition of this event.. Most Likely: #2 Classic Campaign 9-2: $11.00 generous on Mott stalwart.. 4th Best Value: #5 Prom Shoes 10-1: Alternating efforts for Fires; Cross-entered (6th).. 5th Next Best: #4 Wise River 3-1: Bested Campaign, Beret last two.. 3rd Super Add: #1 (POE) French Beret 4-1: Loves this lawn; Entrymate a bonus.. WON 6th: 63rd Louisiana H., 4+, 8.5f (.50 P4, P3, Super) Most Likely: #8 Honest Man 5-2: Initiated his '08 assault this oval.. 3rd Best Value: #4 Tend 6-1: Eligible to score should he go here.. 4th Next Best: #7 Secret Getaway 3-1: Huge effort last time; Fear a regression.. 2nd Super Add: #3 Real Dandy 20-1: Chance to juice exotics 2nd/break.. 8th 7th: 22nd Leggio Memorial, F&M-4+, 5.5f-T (P3, Super) Most Likely: #9 Classify 5-1: Steady tab for return; Won here this trip '07.. WON Best Value: #7 She's Indy Money 6-1: Pierce-Live Oak miss should be tighter.. 5th Next Best: #3 Game N Laughin' 6-1: Autry takes over tactical mare.. 6th Super Add: #10 Lady Chace 10-1: Margolis rolling at FG; From close up.. 2nd $1 Exacta (9-10) Paid $40.80 8th: 17th Tiffany Lass, 3yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #4 Just Jenda 5-2: 'Bounces back' toward stake effort 2 back.. WON Next Best: #1 Selva 9-5: Carroll not sure she wants 2nd turn; ML underlay.. 2nd Exotics Use: #3 Four Gifts 6-5: Modestly bred but pricey buy black typed last.. 3rd $1 Exacta (4-1) Paid $9.00 $1 Trifecta (4-1-3) Paid $15.50 9th: 65th Lecomte, 3yo, 1m (P3, Super) Most Likely: #9 Indygo Mountain 3-1: Had minor setback; Best if set.. 6th Best Value: #1 Friesan Fire 5-1: Jones won this '07; Square price.. WON Next Best: #2 Au Moon 8-1: Carroll won this '04; Could be any kind.. 3rd Super Add: #5 Big Push 8-1: Scherer colt stretches; May forget to stop.. 5th All Stakes P6/P5/P4 Plays: 4: 3 (P6) 5: 1-2-4-5 (P5) 6: 4-8 (P4) 7: 1-3-7-9-10 8: 4 9: 1-9 <$200 P6: 1x4x2x5x1x2 = 80 x $2 = $160 <$100 P5: 4x2x5x1x2 = $80 <$50 P4: 2x5x1x2 = 20 x $2 = $40 10th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 5.5f-T (DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Cool Hero 7-2 WON Best Value: #6 House of Words 10-1 2nd Next Best: #4 Knock Out Cat 6-1 4th Super Add: #3 Mythical Pegasus 3-1 3rd $1 Exacta (1-6) Paid $35.30 $1 Trifecta (1-6-3) Paid $201.30 $1 Superfecta (1-6-3-4) Paid $701.40 11th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (Super) Most Likely: #1 Peacepipe High 9-2 5th Best Value: #8 Peace Rumor 15-1 4th Next Best: #5 Piso Mojado 5-2 WON Super Add: #2 Brent Murphy 5-1 3rd <$50 P4 Play: 8: 4 9: 1-9 10: 1-3-4-6 11: 1-2-5-8-9 1x2x4x5 = $40 $1 P4 Paid $222.10 ($20 for .50) Paid $111.05 GULFSTREAM POST-SCRATCHES 9th: Ft. Lauderdale, 4+, 8.5f-T (DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Buffalo Man 5-1 8th Best Value: #5 Pick Six 12-1 9th Next Best: #3 Mambo Meister 6-1 6th Super Add: #8 Kiss the Kid 8-1 WON 10th: ALW/N$Y, 3yo, 7f (Super) Most Likely: #4 Quality Road 5-2 2nd Best Value: #12 Jet Set Vinny 8-1 5th Next Best: #5 Obligingly 3-1 3rd Super Add: #9 Monk's Creek 8-1 4th SANTA ANITA PRE-SCRATCHES 4th: CLM, 4+, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #8 Satellite 7-2 4th Next Best: #7 Monarcho Polo 4-1 3rd Exotics Use: #4 Flip the Penny 3-1 WON Super Add: #1 Storms of Life 5-1 7th 5th: WAIV/MDN CLM, 4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #9 Thornmark 2-1 4th Next Best: #10 Go Cory Go 4-1 7th Best Value: #5 LATE SCR Super Add: #3 All About Larry 6-1 6th 6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Chimera Star 3-1 5th Best Value: #8 Winky 6-1 6th Next Best: #5 Rare Nugget 4-1 WON Super Add: #7 Miss Lydia 8-1 3rd 7th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super) Terrific betting race.. Most Likely: #11 Mark S the Cooler 4-1 WON Best Value: #9 Remus 12-1 7th Next Best: #6 Herr Mozart 5-2 2nd Exotics Use: #7 Fiery Rebel 6-1 6th Super Add: #12 Oscar Bound 7-2 5th 8th: 72nd San Pasqual (Ger. II), 4+, 8.5f (DD, Super) Most Likely: #6 Past the Point 5-1 7th Best Value: #2 Marchfield 8-1 8th Next Best: #7 Well Armed 3-1 4th Super Add: #1 Mostacolli Mort 8-1 5th 9th: Cal-bred MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (Super High 5) Best Value: #5 LASER POINT 6-1 2nd Most Likely: #13 Leavethegateopen 9-5 WON Next Best: #9 Bruin Bench 8-1 4th Exotics Use: #10 Tom Quinn 4-1 9th Hi-5 Play: #12 Olympic Magic 15-1 7th <$300 P6 Play: 4: 4-7-8 5: 9-10 6: 3-5-8 7: 9-11 8: 1-2-6-7 9: 5 3x2x3x2x4x1 = 144 x 2 = $288 <$75 P4 Play: 6: 3-5-8 7: 5-6-9-11-12 8: 1-2-6-7 9: 5 3x5x4x1 = $60 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 01-11-2009 at 06:12 AM. 
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#2
01-10-2009, 12:26 PM
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FAIR GROUNDS SCR'S:
Race 1 #5 Miss Dylan, #13 Monday Mornin Rail, #14 Blaze Venture Race 3 #2 Personal Velocity Race 5 #8 Tend Race 6 #2 Stonehouse, #6 Prom Shoes Race 7 #4 Cocktail Attire Race 9 #7 Professor Z
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#3
01-10-2009, 12:35 PM
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Fairgrounds
1. 9,8,1,5,4 2. 3,1,5,4,6 3. 7,10,8,5,9 4. 3,4,6,5,1 5. 9,5,1,2,4 6. 4,8,5,10,9 7. 6,7,9,10,1 8. 1,3,5,4,2 9. 8,9,2,1,5 10. 8,5,7,4,3 11. 9,8,4,1,5 Best bets.... Race 2 Sweeten with Gold Race 6 Tend Longshot #8 in the finale.... ej and mouton... dangerous with this one gotta beat assmussen though tri plays $1 boxes race 6 4,5,8,10 race 7 6,7,9,10 Race 9 1,2,8,9 race 11 4,5,8,9 good luck to all
__________________
I feel sorry for people who don't drink. They wake up in the morning and that's the best they are going to feel all day. Frank Sinatra
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#4
01-10-2009, 12:42 PM
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GULFSTREAM SCR'S:
Race 1 #13 Classy Orientation, #1A Rex's Dream Race 2 #3 L M Alwuhush Ruby Race 3 #12 Fiji Boy, #14 Satorius, #15 Evolutionist, #16 Dubai Rambler Race 5 #1 Include Us Race 6 #3 Value Driver Race 7 #5 First Pitch, #13 Webcast, #14 Ducduc, #15 Batchelor Flight Race 9 #7 Silver Tree, #13 Phil the Power
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#5
01-10-2009, 12:54 PM
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Quote:
Thrilled to see you like Peace Rumor in the 11th. I couldn't resist him either. G/L today!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#6
01-10-2009, 01:40 PM
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Steve,
At Fairgrounds in the 4th & 6th I think you need to check your numbers. Each time you list a #3 horse twice. 4th Roi Maudit = # 4 6th Tend = #4 Not sure how that may affect your picks. I'm thinking you really did not want the #3 in the 6th.
__________________
In the Picnic area at Monmouth Park. Haskell 2008
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#8
01-10-2009, 02:48 PM
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Saturday Plays
Santa Anita Budget Pk 6
4) 1-4-5-8 5) 2-5-9-10-13 6) 3-5 7) 6 8) 7 9) 13 $60 Gulfstream Late Pick 4 7) 1-4-7-9-12 8) 4-5 9) 1-5-6-10 10) 4 $40 for $1 Fairgrounds PK 4 6) 4-8-11 7) 3-6-7-9 8) 1-3 9) 9 $24 for $1 Good luck everyone!
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#9
01-10-2009, 02:55 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#10
01-10-2009, 03:26 PM
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FG 5
$50 win Classic Campaign
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#11
01-10-2009, 03:32 PM
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Everything I bet is a loser.
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Hybrid Mode
