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#1
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![]() TFM ("the fat man") brought up a point the other day when I cited BTW's (blackthroatedwind) belief that the long-successful turnback angle is blunted when tried in grass sprints.
As 5f-7f turf sprints have proliferated in NY and Florida, (horseman like them as they seem to take little out of the horses), no one seems to really have a grasp on how to 'handicap' them with any consistent certainty. Joe Orseno, (I think), told me the other day that fast breaking horses drawn inside are the only angle he finds in one turn grass races. So, as fat man suggested, we need to discuss this more...
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#2
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For a very recent example of this, though not on the turf, check out today's 7th at PHA. The 1 horse is cutting back from 8F to 6.5F. She's a lock if ridden properly; i.e. not used too early. So, Elliott, in a nice stalking position with her early, GUNS her to the lead on the turn, draws off, and gets run down by a horse that has only sprinted, 2 5.5F races, and 1 6.5F race, and got run down in the 6.5F race. This is like a 100 yard dash runner running down a quarter miler in track and field. It's a ****in' joke and only happens in racing with bozo jocks. If you've ever been 'run off your feet' early, be it running, cycling, blading, or whatever, this is common sense. If you're on a horse, which is essentially doing all the work, you could give a ****. |
#3
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#4
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![]() you're covering lots of ground when you talk about 5-7 furlong turf sprints.
i have found ways to play the shorter end of the range (5-5.5F) with very good success, but 6-7F is a different animal and plays a little differently if you ask me. i could see where a cutback angle would not work so well on the shorter sprints, but might be more relevant on the longer sprints especially the kind in NY. |
#5
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I also think turf sprints factor in the jockey a bit more than your run of the mill 6 or 7f dirt race. Most turf sprints sport a full field and a jock has got to know his horse's running style and put his horse in the proper position to win. Because it is a cavalry charge into the turn, there is all sorts of chaos going on and you have to have a good pilot to get you through it. Replay watching is a must with turf sprints. There are multiple bad trips in these races. A different post position or a jockey switch may be the key factor to put a horse over the top. |
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#7
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![]() se habla espanol?
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#9
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__________________
"Yeah I'll just bump your post every year as a reminder. The racists won't win a title under Calamari. Tubby got you to the Elite 8 multiple times with FAR less talent. He's a hack and you guys sold your soul for him. Congrats." coach pants |
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#13
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![]() what's the saying
Good jocks don't need instructions and bad ones can't follow them. When I see new tactics.. always wonder if it is trainer or jockey. if there is a switch I wonder who's idea it was and if it is 2nd time up I assume everything is as it should be and will get the ride I am supposed to. ![]()
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#14
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#15
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![]() IMO one thing that makes the turnback from a turf route to sprint difficult to handicap is how the times on the turf are so jacked up at a place like Gulfstream, or at least they have been in the past.
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#17
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![]() I think Nick Hines was a guy who gave quite detailed instructions, and the jocks had a dartboard in the jock's room with his photo on it.
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#18
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#19
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__________________
ΜΟΛΩΝ ΛΑΒΕ |
#20
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![]() A few things that are important when looking at a horse cutting back from a turf route to sprint are 1) an accurate set of pars, 2) is the horse bred to excell in sprints?, 3) if only 1-3 turf races, is it bred for the grass? 4) Does the horse have thr "right" running style for the track?
I'm sure there are others, but I think these cover the situation pretty well. |