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#1
05-09-2009, 07:16 AM
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5/9: Belmont/Hollywood (P4's)
Another rotten weather day washed Churchill's late races away entirely, and might as well have done the same at Belmont. Off the turf demolished the late quad, though improbable $30 Contessa horse in the 7th, longest number of 5 running, boosted the P4 into a more generous $170.
Back to Belmont today with good Peter Pan the highlight within the $350k guaranteed P4, and glance at Hollywood 4 as well where intriguing LeRoy is the feature. BELMONT PARK POST-SCRATCHES 7th: MSW, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #5 Cabaret Cowboy 3-1: Away since fall; 2nd in Musket Man's maidenbreaker.. WON Best Value: #1e Frankel entry 10-1: Both make real dirt debuts here.. 5th/7th Next Best: #3 Ricoriatoa 6-1: Moves to organic surface and adds hood.. 2nd Exotics Use: #9 Abu Racer 30-1: Big number gets blinks: 21% W move for Assaf.. 9th 8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 (POE) SCR Best Value: #7 Captain Backfire 6-1: Circling back to good effort.. 5th Next Best: #10 Millirock 9-2: Telegraphs intent by recalling Ramon.. 6th Exotics Use: #6 Come Soon 10-1: DiPrima wheels turf/dirt in 10 days.. 3rd 9th: 56th Peter Pan (Gr. II), 3yo, 9f (DD) Best Value: #4 Brave Victory 8-1: Toss poly run; Value if one turn 9f suits.. 3rd Most Likely: #6 Imperial Council 2-1: Underlay number on bad paddock actor.. 2nd Next Best: #3 Charitable Man 3-1: Blue Grass ill-advised; Obvious if back to 2yo form.. Exotics Use: #1 Stately Character 15-1: Seems certain to pick up pieces late.. 7th 10th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super) Best Value: #3 Longing for Malibu 5-1 8th Most Likely: #5 SCR Next Best: #10 John Wyatt 2-1 2nd Super Add: #7 Monastir 12-1 3rd <$75 P4 Play: 7: 1-3-5-9 8: 1-7-10 9: 3-4-6 10: 3-10 4x3x3x2 = $72 HOLLYWOOD PARK PRE-SCRATCHES 6th: S/ALW, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Pretty damn good starter ALW.. After the top pick, it's a grab bag... Most Likely: #12 Deluxe Cat 3-1 WON Best Value: #11 My Man Sumo 10-1 5th Next Best: #10 Turkish Victory 6-1 9th Super Add: #2 My King 8-1 7th 7th: ALW/N2X, 4+, 1m-T (P3, DD) Most Likely: #5 Wild Diplomat 5-2 4th Next Best: #6 Victory Pete 2-1 WON Best Value: #2 Indian Sun 6-1 6th 8th: 30th Mervyn Leroy H. (Gr. II), 3+, 8.5f (DD) Most Likely: #4 Rail Trip 4-5 2nd Best Value: #6 Aggie Engineer 6-1 6th Next Best: #3 Ball Four 6-1 WON 9th: MSW, 3+, 9f-T (Super, Super High 5) Most Likely: #6 Hidden Trail 3-1 6th Best Value: #8 Egypt 4-1 WON Next Best: #7 Holladay Road 7-2 4th Exotics Use: #2 Caspian 6-1 7th High 5 Play: #10 Kumiva 6-1 2nd <$75 P4 Play: 6: 10-11-12 7: 5-6 8: ALL 9: 6-8 3x2x6x2 = $72 $1 Pick 4 (12--6-3-8) Paid $811.90 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 05-10-2009 at 06:50 AM. 
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#2
05-09-2009, 08:32 AM
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Is it safe to assume that they'll be OFF THE TURF today? We had overnight rain and i assume that it also hit Belmont.
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"Be who you are and say what you feel, because those that matter don't mind, and those that mind, dont matter." Theodore Seuss Geisel "Dr. Seuss"
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#4
05-09-2009, 08:41 AM
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Quote:
Did you get any sleep last night?
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Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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#5
05-09-2009, 09:07 AM
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Quote:
steve - i asked the old guy at the beverly hills hotel about these 2 and he told me they were a bunch of crows  i told him i wasn't buying it ...they'll be on my ticket tooLast edited by Kasept : 05-09-2009 at 09:20 AM.
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#7
05-09-2009, 11:16 AM
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Congrats to Contessa for getting off the duck....Great Trainer. 
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#8
05-09-2009, 11:18 AM
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BELMONT P4 SCR'S
http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp 7 4 Big Stack Early 10 1 Pernice Early 5 Burnished Copper Early 8 Mind Boggling Early 12 Winloc's Saint Ray Early 13 Orient Song Early 14 Compliance Officer Early
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#10
05-09-2009, 01:08 PM
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Steve,
In the 7th at Belmont, you use the #9 Abu Race in your write ups and as an exotic add, but use the #8 Bimini (7-2) with Prado in the P4. Just curious if this was intentional or accident. Thanks as always for your insights and plays, and belated congrats on your great P4 score the other day! Here's to cashing again today, BOL.
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#11
05-09-2009, 01:29 PM
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Quote:
G/L today... Derby Barbie is dragging me out on Garden Center run...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#12
05-10-2009, 11:50 AM
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Quote:
__________________
"I guess it comes down to a simple choice, really. Get busy livin' or get busy dyin'."
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#14
05-09-2009, 08:14 PM
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NICE!!! 811.00 great job Steve!!!
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#15
05-09-2009, 08:16 PM
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Great Job Steve & Rude. Congrats!
Way to carry it over Rude! What is that 3 out of the last 4 pick 4's at Hollywood. Awesome capping!
__________________
Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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#16
05-09-2009, 08:20 PM
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#20
05-09-2009, 08:28 PM
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Steve & Rude, Nice going.
Steve, I really like the way you spread in the small field featured race (Ball Four). Congrats. I remember you finished the last Hollywood meeting on fire. Nice week and we still have tomorrow.
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Good jockeys don't need instructions and bad ones don't follow them Last edited by Bogey : 05-09-2009 at 10:19 PM.
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