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Old 05-23-2009, 03:35 AM
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Kasept Kasept is online now
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Default 5/23: Belmont; Arlington; Hollywood (P4's); Louisville H.

Outrageous holiday weekend of racing action kicks off the summer season Saturday with deep fields and compelling stakes across the map. Arlington has the intense slate with a stakes quad today, while Belmont, Monmouth and Hollywood all commence three day weekends highlighted by quality features. Churchill, Golden Gate, Calder, Philadelphia and Woodbine all have rich events on at least one of their holiday schedules, and Lone Star will draw their 6 stake (3 graded) Monday overnight today.

As discussed all week on "At the Races", momentum from highly-viewed and loud buzz Preakness has potential to carry over into meat of the sport's calendar, with the low cost appeal of "A Day at the Races", highly marketable to an entertainment-hungry public. Do what you can to take advantage and drag friends with you to the oval this weekend! My P4 looks at NY, Chicago and Los Angeles to get things started... Have a safe, enjoyable Memorial Day Weekend!


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Important looking Maiden affair with host of fancy price tags and heritages; Storm Flag Flying's first drop debuts here and Shug told the ATR audience he is progressing nicely though today isn't necessarily the day..

Most Likely: #6 Ishtarry 9-2: $1MM Shadwell DistHum from KMc; Firing bullets.. 9th
Best Value: #10 SCR
Next Best: #11 Intrepid 7-2 6th
Super Add: #4 Strasbourg 20-1 2nd


8th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Token Special 4-1 2nd
Most Likely: #7 Wishful Star 3-1 WON
Next Best: #6 Fiona Freud 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 Green Harbor 10-1 5th


9th: 51st Sheepshead Bay (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 11f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Mushka 4-1: $10 inviting on Mott miss that is competitive again.. 2nd
Most Likely: #3 Criticism 9-5: Albertrani mare has aced 3 of last 4 graded tries.. WON
Next Best: #1 Backseat Rhythm 7-2 5th
Super Add: #2 Venetian Causeway 15-1 6th


10th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 7f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #5 Victorious Leader 7-2 5th
Best Value: #3 Longing for Malibu 12-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Compliance Officer 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #7 Joey's Chance 15-1 WON


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-4-6-11
8: 1-7
9: 1-3-5
10: 3-5-10

4x2x3x3 = $72



CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


10th: 72nd Louisville H. (Gr. III), 3+, 12f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Gangbuster 10-1: Rested since KEE stake demolition.. 6th
Most Likely: #7 Brass Hat 4-1: Borel can't leave him with too much to do.. WON
Next Best: #8 Spice Route 8-5: That price? 12f with Bridge? No thanks.. 2nd
Super Add: #5 Always First 5-1: Can honor sire Barathea who passed this week.. 7th



ARLINGTON PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: 2 American 1000 Guineas, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Consequence 5-2 WON
Best Value: #3 Hot Cha Cha 4-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Afternoon Stroll 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Obsequious 7-2 6th


9th: 73rd Arlington Matron (Gr. III), F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Indescribable 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #10 Home's the Best 20-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Kiss With a Twist 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #7 Euphony 6-1 WON

.50 Tri Spot Play: 9-10 with 2-7-9-10 with 2-3-4-7-8-9-10 (2x3x5 = 30 x .50 = $15.00)


10th: 57th Hanshin Cup (Gr. III), 3+, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Stonehouse 3-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Vacation 5-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Cherokee Artist 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #7 Amazing Results 5-1 4th


11th: 75th Arlington Classic, 3yo, 8.5f-T (Super)

Giant Oak, if close to his best, can muscle this group. If you take that approach, load up under him with the big prices as all have a license to run well here... Fascinating wagering opportiunity.

Most Likely: #3 Giant Oak 2-1 WON
Best Value: #8 SCR
Next Best: #10 Proceed Bee 20-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Poltergeist 15-1 9th

.50 Tri Spot Play: 3 with 5-6-10 with ALL (1x3x7 = 21 x .50 = $10.50)


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 3-7-8
9: 2-7-9-10
10: 1-2-4-5-7-8
11: 3

3x4x6x1 = $72

$1 Pick 4 (5,7/7/5/3) Paid $792.80



HOLLYWOOD PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Bad Boy 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Tent 5-1 WON
Next Best: #3 Scott's Spirit 7-2 5th
Super Add: #13 Kilderry 3-1 2nd


7th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Valiant Effort 3rd
Next Best: #4 Got Free 5-2 5th
Best Value: #1 Nikki'sgoldensteed 8-1 WON


8th: 58th Milady H. (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Zenyatta 3-5 WON
Next Best: #7 Life is Sweet 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Champagne Eyes 8-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Allicansayiswow 20-1 3rd


9th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #6 Dreamalong 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 First Grade 5-1 WON
Next Best: #1 Storm the Church 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Lanai 5-1 5th
High 5 Play: #11 Starzig 8-1 4th

$2 Exact 5 (7-6-1-11-5) Paid $1,635.60


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-7
7: 1-3-4
8: 7-9
9: 1-5-6-7

3x3x2x4 = $72

$1 Pick 4 (2/1/4,6,8,9/7) Paid $265.30


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 05-24-2009 at 05:09 AM.
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  #2  
Old 05-23-2009, 08:44 AM
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Posted at 3:35 AM and edited at 5:23 AM? Are you a Terminator and never need to sleep? :-)
Thanks for the early morning reading material though. Love the show and all you do to promote racing.
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Old 05-23-2009, 08:56 AM
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hurricanefrank hurricanefrank is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rpncaine
Thanks for the early morning reading material though. Love the show and all you do to promote racing.
I'll second that! With ATR now on XM 104 my travels between 4-7 have become enjoyable. Keep up the great work Steve!
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  #4  
Old 05-23-2009, 12:14 PM
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Shadiyna & Russian Rosie scratched from the feature.
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  #5  
Old 05-23-2009, 01:58 PM
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Also, in BEL 7, the 7 & 10 are scratched relative to Steve's pk4 play.
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  #6  
Old 05-23-2009, 02:34 PM
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Steve Byk
 
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BELMONT P4 SCR'S

Race 7 #7 Wanted Alive, #10 Winged Hero

Race 8 #2 Cat Radio, #8 Gaffney's Grits, #10 Approved by Mom, #12 Faithful One

Race 9 #4 Shadiyna (IRE), #6 Russian Rosie (IRE)

Race 10 #2 Montana Music, #12 Heavenly Blaze, #13 Sergeant Karakorum

ARLINGTON P4 SCR'S

Race 9 #4 Laguna Plateada (CHI), #5 Venetian Causeway

Race 11 #8 Turfiste

HOLLYWOOD P4 SCR'S

Race 6 #12 Coastal Flare, #8 One On the House, #9 Royal Vision

Race 7 #5 Funny Me (GB)

Race 8 #4 Dawn After Dawn, #8 Hot n' Dusty

Race 9 #9 Beloved Deputy
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 05-23-2009 at 05:57 PM.
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  #7  
Old 05-23-2009, 06:02 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept

10th: 57th Hanshin Cup (Gr. III), 3+, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Stonehouse 3-1
Best Value: #5 Vacation 5-1
Next Best: #2 Cherokee Artist 7-2
Super Add: #7 Amazing Results 5-1

No love at all for Dominican, after he actually tried to go after Parading on the turn last out?
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Old 05-23-2009, 06:13 PM
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Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
No love at all for Dominican, after he actually tried to go after Parading on the turn last out?
Scared to death of him Fats.. He's kind of hovering around for a good effort. Gus (Bogey) may have it right in this race with the 'all' button...
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 05-23-2009, 07:21 PM
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Strike up the band Steve....800$ winner at Arlington
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Old 05-23-2009, 07:23 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dagolfer33
Strike up the band Steve....800$ winner at Arlington
!!! Firmar del Recibio!!!
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Old 05-23-2009, 07:26 PM
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dagolfer33 dagolfer33 is offline
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Default Great job again today Steve.....

Thanks again Steve for helping some of us multi-race challenged people. I know Belmont didnt exactly work out, but if a player would have worked with what you laid out, it was there to be had. Also in great position at Hollywood!!!!!!!!!!!
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  #12  
Old 05-23-2009, 07:21 PM
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Steve great job at AP, Giant Oak ran really well.
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Old 05-23-2009, 08:24 PM
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Steve,

The insanity continues!! Another unbelievable day, two P4's, back to back?? Thanks as always for sharing the inputs, and delivering signers yet again.

Fantastic job!!
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  #14  
Old 05-23-2009, 08:47 PM
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Great job Steve, you helped me get in the right mindset of singling Giant Oak on top and I threw in Kent's horse just because of the price underneath for a nice exacta to end the day, thanks!
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Old 05-23-2009, 09:15 PM
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Congratulations on some very nice work on that AP Pick-4.
Including Euphony in the Matron sure was a good call. I didn't see that one at all.
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Old 05-23-2009, 10:22 PM
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Great work Steve.
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  #17  
Old 05-24-2009, 04:44 AM
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Steve Byk
 
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Thanks very much all for the kind words... It was obviously a great day start to finish, but I'm obligated to acknowledge leaving $1,600 on the table in the Belmont P4 when I failed to use my 4th horse, red-hot Pat Kelly's Joey's Chance. Was glad the rest of the day didn't go in that agonizing direction.

Those that tuned in to ATR Thursday/Friday should have done very well with Marcus Hersch having sung the praises of Euphony and Giant Oak, Buff Bradley telling you why Brass Hat was ready and Shug oozing confidence in his Chicago starts (Vacation and Consequence).

Will not play as widely today with Belmont carryover the focus... Hope those that used the selections 'got some' Saturday! Thanks again.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 05-24-2009, 07:24 AM
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just incredible!


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