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#1
06-11-2009, 09:11 AM
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6/11: Churchill (6th-9th)
Belmont P6 was too tough to tame Wednesday producing a $32k Carryover, but aggressive posture in the P4 turned out to be unnecessary. Modestly-priced and logical winners paraded through the sequence with Coal Play's win in the feature, where I tried a single, the difference in the beat. Concept of the 5x3x1x5 play wasn't half bad though, as 15-1 Our Montana Dream was beaten a nostril in the skien starter by 9-2 Lucky Penney. Obviously a $32 horse in a P4 sequence is what you're always looking for. Hope you did OK..
Weather in NY is iffy, so despite the C/O, I'm sticking with the Churchill P4 which looked like fun when I printed PP's Monday. CHURCHILL DOWNS POST-SCRATCHES 6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Wildandfabulous 3-1 Best Value: #6 Future Story 5-1 Next Best: #10 Hitch Your Wagon 6-1 Super Add: #8 Seismic Shift 8-1 7th: MSW, 2yo, 5f (P3, DD, Super) Fascinating group... #2 Thiskyhasnolimit is a half to 3yo Ricoriatoa (Smarty Jones) who is 0 for 4 but has been on the board in 3 of those starts... #4 Red Rally is by first crop Reformer Rally (Dynaformer) and a half brother to Premium Tap (!)... #7 Backtalk is a $250k Smarty Jones red out of Apasionata Sonata making him a half to Bsharpsonata... #8 Dublin is the 5th Afleet Alex (0 for 4 so far) to hit the track, and note that Lukas is 12/2-3-2 with firsters since the beginning of the year... #10 Horst is the 6th Bwana Charlie (2 for 5 so far) to hit the track... Most Likely: #7 Backtalk 6-1 Best Value: #10 Horst 12-1 Next Best: #2 Thiskyhasnolimit 5-1 Super Add: #8 Dublin 15-1 8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (DD, Super) Most Likely: #4 Inkado 7-2 Best Value: #2 A. U. Miner 5-1 Next Best: #7 Au Moon 5-2 Super Add: #5 Squander 8-1 9th: CLM, 3+, 6f (Super, Super High 5) Most Likely: #10 Stormin Yank 4-1 Next Best: #12 Malibu Martini 5-1 Exotics Use: #4 Snuck By 6-1 Best Value: #9 Seneca Summer 6-1 High 5 Play: #11 Montalvo 30-1 <$75 P4 Play: 6: 3-6 7: 2-5-6-7-8-10 8: 2-4 9: 1-4-9-10-11-12 2x6x3x6 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 06-11-2009 at 01:21 PM. 
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#2
06-11-2009, 09:52 AM
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Steve,
did you look at Hollywood at all today? The final leg of the late pk 4 is a 40K md claimer for 2-year olds that includes a Mullins filly dropping from MSW, and Gomez climbs aboard. 6-1 ML. I remember you talking a few months back about what an incredible win percentage Mullins has in claiming races when he tabs Gomez to ride.
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#3
06-11-2009, 10:21 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
06-11-2009, 01:15 PM
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top selection is out in the 7th....that change anything?
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#5
06-11-2009, 01:17 PM
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CHURCHILL Program Changes for Thursday, June 11, 2009 (Day 30 of 45) Last updated: 11:45 a.m. (EDT) Main Track: Muddy Turf: OFF TURF Post time: 12:45 p.m. EDT RACE 6 - LATE PICK 4 BEGINS (50-CENT MINIMUM WAGER) Jockey Overweight #2 Jenifee - +2 Jockey Overweight #4 Janou - +2 SCRATCH #5 Snicky Jockey Overweight #6 Future Story - +2 RACE 7 SCRATCH #3 Mississippi Hippie SCRATCH #12 Proud Moment JOCKEY CHANGE - #11 Harley's Heat - Aldo Canchano Late Workout #11 Harley's Heat - May 22, River Downs, 4 Furlongs in :50 2/5 breezing RACE 8 Jockey Overweight #3 Empty Handed - +5 Jockey Overweight #4 Inkado - +1 RACE 9 - Z-5 SUPER HI-5 SCRATCH #6 Likely Candidate SCRATCH #7 Arabian Cheetah SCRATCH #8 Greeley's Angel Jockey Change #9 Seneca Summer - Julien Leparoux
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#6
06-11-2009, 03:04 PM
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06/11/2009 14:55.01 PK4 MONMOUTH PARK 6 1/1,2,3,6/1,2,6/1,2,7
06/11/2009 14:57.43 PK4 CHURCHILL DOWNS 6 3,10/2,5,7/4/4,9,10,12 06/11/2009 15:00.18 PK4 CHURCHILL DOWNS 6 3,4,6/2,4,5,6,7,8,9,10/4,7/10 GL all!!!
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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#7
06-11-2009, 08:18 PM
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#8
06-18-2009, 12:14 PM
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#9
06-11-2009, 02:51 PM
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Neat race.
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