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#1
07-04-2009, 08:07 AM
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7/4: Belmont (P4); MTH Stakes
Got clobbered at Monmouth Friday before getting untracked at Churchill. Entire Monmouth P4 pool was taken down by one ticket to the tune of $40k after a challenging three races and $100-ish winner in the anchor. At CD, got rolling early with overlay winner of the 8th to start the late action. Hope you did OK in advance of the big holiday weekend of action. With 2 Dee Tee Stables runners in at Arlington today, I'm a bit distracted, but the 3 Belmont stakes as part of the P4 is the main wagering focus along with the intriguing stakes at MTH.
Have a wonderful, safe 4th! BELMONT PARK PRE-SCRATCHES 8th: 92nd Dwyer (Gr. II), 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Warrior's Reward 9-5 3rd Best Value: #4 Masala 12-1 5th Next Best: #3 Kensei 6-1 WON Super Add: #6 Just Ben 2-1 6th 9th: 62nd Prioress (Gr. I), 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #1e Evans entry 3-1 WON/2nd Best Value: #2 Luster 12-1 5th Next Best: #3 Heart Ashley 4-1 6th Super Add: #8 On the Menu 6-1 7th 10th: 123rd Suburban H. (Gr. II), 3+, 10f (DD, Super) Very fun edition of this legendary event. Seems to have surprising plus pace scenario so include rallying types and prices. There are no bad plays in this wide open affair.. Most Likely: #4 Asiatic Boy 5-2 2nd Best Value: #7 Real Merchant 15-1 9th Next Best: #2 Dry Martini 6-1 WON Super Add: #10 Samhoon 20-1 10th 10th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super) Brutally tough way to end tricky sequence! 6-7, maybe 8 different runners eligible here.. Most Likely: #7 Tawaared 5-1 2nd Best Value: #5 Chapin Beach 12-1 5th Next Best: #1e Clement entry 7-5 6th/8th Super Add: #4 Evolutionist 4-1 WON <$75 P4 Play: 8: 1-3-4 9: 1-2 10: 2-4-7 11: 1-4-5-7 3x2x3x4 = $72 $2 Pick 4 (3-1-2-4) Paid $1,103.00 MONMOUTH PARK PRE-SCRATCHES 9th: 62nd Salvator Mile (Gr. III), 3+, 1m Best Value: #7 Keep Laughing 10-1 8th Most Likely: #2 Smooth Air 5-2 2nd Next Best: #5 Coal Play 4-1 WON Super Add: #4 Kiss the Kid 15-1 5th 10th: 56th United Nations (Gr. I), 3+, 11f-T Most Likely: #7 Presious Passion 9-2 WON Best Value: #2 Strike a Deal 8-1 7th Next Best: #4 Spice Route 4-1 4th Super Add: #8 Wesley 10-1 8th Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 07-04-2009 at 10:31 PM. 
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#2
07-04-2009, 10:03 AM
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The 2nd race is off the turf at Belmont and the nightcap's been moved to the inner.
Until further notice there will be at least one turf race moved to the main track each day. There's also a bird urination on the Widener scheduled for 4:00 PM EDT so the status of the 11th is still in question. NT
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#3
07-04-2009, 11:18 AM
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Quote:
 
__________________
“Once there was only dark. If you ask me, light’s winning.”–Rust Cohle – True Detective
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#4
07-04-2009, 02:31 PM
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Quote:
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#5
07-04-2009, 03:39 PM
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Belmont 6
Personal Shopper $15 wp
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#6
07-04-2009, 06:24 PM
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Nice Belmont Pk 4 Steve!
__________________
"Let the whiners and lazy cry about how impossible "they've" made it to win at this game." - Steve Byk
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#8
07-04-2009, 02:28 PM
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BELMONT P4 SCR'S:
Race 11 #2B Pynaformer #9 Memorized #1A Grassy MTH STAKES SCR'S: Race 10 -- United Nations #9 Better Talk Now
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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