|
|
 |
|
|
|
#1
08-19-2009, 04:55 AM
|
||||
|
||||
8/19: Saratoga (Day 19; Adirondack; C/O)
Spa session commences its' second half Wednesday with $42k+ carryover and excellent Gr. II filly stake featured. Wrapped Week 3 in pretty much the same fashion as majority of the previous 17 days, with enough Best Value/Most Likely winners producing modest plus results. First half of meet ended with bankroll in profitable position (+$1,100), though the overall feeling is one of missed opportunities for big scores. The $2,500+ in 2 first half P4 hits pretty well covered the 18 days of Quad play, so the profits have been accrued elsewhere. Come away from the meet's opening half feeling like I'm grinding out any success, with 6-7 tabs on isolated big price winners, assorted trifecta key hits and $1,000+ in rolling P3's Sunday 8/16 the difference between being up or down. May not be a flashy way of winning, but it beats the alternative.
Carryover looks very tricky Wednesday, but what a great way it would be to start the run to Labor Day... Hope you've been doing well and are enjoying "At the Races" and Derby Trail.com coverage of Saratoga. Good luck the rest of the way! SARATOGA RACE COURSE POST-SCRATCHES 1st: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD) Most Likely: #2X Dressmaker 5-1 4th Best Value: #6 Afleet Alexandra 12-1 WON Next Best: #9 R Vicarious Girl 3-1 3rd Exotics Use: #10 Sneaky Girl 5-2 2nd $1 Trifecta (6-10-9) Paid $235.00 $1 Exacta (6-10) Paid $49.50 2nd: CLM/N1Y, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #2 Chippewa Court 6-1 WON-DQ'd to 2nd Most Likely: #6 Speechifying 5-2 2nd-Placed 1ST Next Best: #1 Fashion Queen 4-1 4th Super Add: #4 Victory for M'lady 7-2 3rd $1 Exacta (6-2) Paid $14.30 $1 Trifecta (6-2-4) Paid $47.75 $1 Daily Double (6-6) Paid $32.00 $1 Superfecta (6-2-4-1) Paid $130.00 3rd: S/ALW, 3+, 7f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Rodman 3-1 WON Next Best: #1e Levine entry 2-1 2nd Best Value: #7 Banking Holiday 5-1 4th $1 Exacta (3-1) Paid $6.60 $1 Pick 3 (6-6-3) 3 Correct Paid $124.00 4th: OC/C, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD) Best Value: #1 Miss Diane 3-1 2nd Most Likely: #4 Union Waters 2-1 5th Next Best: #3 Vivid Colors 5-2 3rd 5th: From New York to Old York, 3yo-F, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #4 More to the Story 7-2 7th Best Value: #9 Starfish Bay 8-1 WON Next Best: #1 Gemswick Park 3-1 3rd Super Add: #7 Huge 12-1 9th <$75 P4 Play: 2: 1-2-6 3: 1-3 4: 1-3-4 5: 1-4-7-9 3x2x3x4 = $72 6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD) Overnight thunderstorm may have finally soaked the turf course well enough to give it.. well.. some give, after 10 days of hard/fast, speed-favoring lawn conditions.. Tricky and deep set here that could be make/break race in P6-C/O sequence.. Best Value: #1 Redreamit 15-1 2nd Most Likely: #5 Why West 7-2 4th Next Best: #10 Bum Bum 6-1 3rd Exotics Use: #9 Sobee 12-1 7th 7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #4 Pretty B 5-2 8th Next Best: #1e Pletcher entry 3-1 4th/5th Best Value: #9 Beautiful Song 10-1 2nd Exotics Use: #8 House of Grace 12-1 WON $1 Exacta (8-9) Paid $258.00 8th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Aunt Mabel 3-1 WON Best Value: #2 Akonite 6-1 7th Next Best: #9 First to Come Home 7-2 5th Exotics Use: #1 Skip Away Belle 8-1 2nd 9th: 93rd Adirondack (Gr. II), 2yo-F, 6.5f (DD, Super) Beautician a SCR due to a colic episode Sunday night.. Most Likely: #1 Dashing Debby 7-2 5th Best Value: #9 Sassy Image 8-1 2nd Next Best: #6 Camille's Appeal 5-1 7th Super Add: #4 Decelerator 9-2 9th .10 SUPER SPOT PLAY: 1-9 with 1-4-6-9 with 1-4-6-9 with ALL (2x3x2x6 = 72 x .10 = $7.20) 10th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 1m-IT (Super0 Fascinating state-bred turf route may not be what it seems it all. Several in here 'have a look' at prices including lighter-raced runners from winless barns (#5 Regal Refrain-DiPrima @ 10-1; #10 Ryan and Jack-P. Kelly @12-1) out of same race that produced NYB stake placer Livin Large. #7 Bullstar (2-1) and #4 Wiseacre (7-2) were 2nd/3rd in that event of course, and are likeliest types, but both have had their chances (8th and 7th starts respectively) and failed.. Recalling that these nightcaps have produced some oddball results, note grass bullet from 50-1 #6 Nugget of Wisdom.. Best Value: #1 Monastir 5-1 3rd Most Likely: #7 Bullstar 2-1 4th Next Best: #4 Wiseacre 7-2 6th Super Add: #2 Mr. Hooker 4-1 WON $200 P6 Play: 5: 4-9 6: 1-5-10 7: 1-4 8: 3 9: 1-9 10: 1-7 2x3x2x2x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$75 P4 Play: 7: 1-4 8: 2-3-9 9: 1-6-9 10: 1-5-7-10 2x3x3x4 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 08-20-2009 at 04:58 AM. 
|
|
#4
08-19-2009, 10:02 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
First OFF THE TURF... Rest on. Track muddy early but likely fast by race time or soon thereafter.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
|
|
#5
08-19-2009, 11:38 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
SCR'S:
1: off the turf.. 1-2-2B-4-5-7 2: 7 3: 5 6: 1A-11-12-13 7: 10-11-12-14-15 (13 is MTO and will SCR) 8: 1A-6-7 9: 7 10: Expect SCR's top be announced later...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
|
|
#6
08-19-2009, 12:10 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Post-SCR changes made to selections!
Good luck all... Dale Romans, Steve Hobby and more tonight on 'ATR' SB
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
|
|
#7
08-19-2009, 01:26 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
There's a quality way to start to the day.. Winner was a big overlay especially given that there is still some moisture in the track. Hope some adjusted to post-SCR opinion and scored.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
|
|
#9
08-19-2009, 05:00 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
i played some rolling 3's on this card today....was counting cash until i blew up in the 4th....had 3 of the 5 and horses and was a loser!!!!! rear ended handed to me again race 6
|
Hybrid Mode
