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#1
08-21-2009, 05:53 AM
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8/21: Saratoga (Day 21; Lake Placid)
Straightforward day at the Spa Thursday and saw things pretty clearly with multiple on top winners, exotic hits, rolling P3's, Late P4 and 5/6 conso in the P6. Was rather chalky but the cashers added up nicely. Hope you did well.
PLEASE NOTE: I'll be unavoidably absent from the Spa and 'At the Races' for upwards of a week. Equidaily.com and Capital OTB-TV's Seth Merrow will guest host as much 'ATR' as he can starting today.. SARATOGA RACE COURSE POST-SCRATCHES 1st: Biogio's Rose, NYB 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD) Best Value: #3 Sapphire Sky 6-1 WON Most Likely: #2 Karakorum Fugitive 3-1 2nd Next Best: #6 What a Pair 5-1 4th 2nd: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #7 SCR Most Likely: #2 Sal Paradise 4-1 5th Next Best: #1 Option 3-1 WON Super Add: #6 The Mayor 7-2 2nd 3rd: OC/N1X, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD) Thoroughly bizarre baby allowance.. Most Likely: #3 (POE) Red Rally 3-1 WON Best Value: #1a (POE) Honor in Peace 8-1 4th Next Best: #4 Soundman 5-2 2nd 4th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #1 Book 6-1 10th Most Likely: #8 Cappella Reale 2-1 WON Exotics Use: #3 Mr. Devil May Care 15-1 8th Super Add: #5 Malibu Gardens 12-1 2nd .10 SUPER SPOT PLAY: 1-3-8 with 1-3-8 with 1-3-5-7-8 with All (3x2x3x7 = 126 x .10 = $12.60) 5th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Came off the turf after start of raceday... Best Value: #6 SCR Most Likely: #9 SCR Next Best: #8 SCR Super Add: #10 SCR <$75 P4 Play: 2: 1-2-6-7 3: 1-3-4 4: 1-3-8 5: (6-9 SCRATCHED) 4x3x3x2 = $72 6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD) Interesting juvy set with sibs #2 Mind Over Matter (Choctaw Nation) and #1a Manaahil (Shakis) to consider (SCR). But fave #10 Awesome Maria has had time since just miss debut, and 8-1 Klesaris product #5 Sing My Song chased Adirondack show pony Magic Appeal in bow. Tom A. sends #4 Couture Cat (5-1), first daughter of the nice Petionville sprinter Runway Model, and Jolley-Roberts returnee Awesome Vow bulleted after even debut and should appreciate the added quarter mile.. Most Likely: #10 Awesome Maria 9-5 WON Best Value: #5 Sing My Song 8-1 3rd Next Best: #4 Couture Cat 4-1 2nd Exotics Use: #3 Awesome Vow 12-1 6th 7th: ALW/N2L, 3+, 9f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Luv Gov 6-1 3rd Best Value: #6 Brother Nick 12-1 WON Next Best: #1e Zito entry 8-1 4th Exotics Use: #7 Blue Whistler 6-1 5th 8th: 26th Lake Placid (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 9f-T (DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Keertana 4-1 2nd Best Value: #7 My Magic Moment 12-1 5th Next Best: #3 Consequence 4-1 6th Super Add: #4 Shared Account 7-2 WON 9th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 1m-IT (Super) Came off the turf after start of raceday... Most Likely: #1 SCR Best Value: #3 One Diamond 15-1 6th Next Best: #9 Handled Affair 10-1 2nd Super Add: #4 SCR <$75 P4 Play: 6: 10 7: 1-3-4-6-7-9 8: 3-5-7 9: (1-4/SCR) 3-9 1x6x3x4 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 08-22-2009 at 04:39 AM. 
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#2
08-21-2009, 06:59 AM
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Steve,
Congrats again yesterday on the great day! Here's to keeping it rolling. Couple of quick notes: In the early P4, you have #7 Telemachus as the BV pick, but use the #1 and #2 in the P4, which are your next two picks, not sure if that was intentional or not. Also, please check race 8, I think My Magic Moment is the #7, not #6. Thanks as always for the insights and tireless work. Good racing luck today. Hope all is well.
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#3
08-21-2009, 07:54 AM
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Steve I think you have a cold exacta in the 7th race
# 6 Brother Nick #1 Zito Entry Cant get a better name angle then this one. 
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Ole' Timer says to another leaving Keystone Race Track (Philly ) ...""Its a good thing I broke even today, I really needed the money """!!!! Gotta Love Horse Racing !!
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#4
08-21-2009, 11:05 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#5
08-21-2009, 11:52 AM
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Steadily pouring for the past 45 minutes, and more thunderstorms on the way - would expect at least the first few turf races will be off and the track at least muddy
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#9
08-21-2009, 02:29 PM
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Late Pick 4
3,5 1,9 3,4,8 2,8,13 meh. Roll to the late pick 3 Last edited by Coach Pants : 08-21-2009 at 02:40 PM.
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#12
08-21-2009, 03:06 PM
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Hey I was only 2 deep and it looked like the 9 wanted to f.uck him instead of pass him.
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