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#1
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9/12 (BEL): Ruffian H., Garden City S. (G1's)
4TH (2:35) Ruffian H. (G1)
1 1/16 Miles | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $300,000 1 Swift Temper Garcia Alan 118 L 2 Be Fair Gomez G K 112 L 3 Exotic Indy Velazquez J R 114 L 4 Seventh Street Maragh R 122 L 5 Luna Vega Bridgmohan S X 116 L 6 Skylighter Leparoux J R 116 L 8TH (4:43) Garden City S. (G1) 1 1/8 Miles (Inner turf) | Fillies | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $300,000 1 Gozzip Girl Desormeaux K J 122 L 2 Katara Castellano J J 116 L 3 Don't Forget Gil Leparoux J R 118 L 4 Miss World Gomez G K 116 L 5 Many Kisses Luzzi M J 116 L 6 Shared Account Dominguez R A 120 L 7 Pull Dancer Garcia Alan 116 L 8 Maram Lezcano J 118 L 9 Keertana Coa E M 118 L Last edited by Kasept : 09-09-2009 at 04:20 PM. |
#2
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Over/under on how many poles Seventh Street wins by?
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#3
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The Garden City is a nice race. So many of these are coming off very good performances in their last. Take a long look at Pull Dancer. She's really improving...perfect trip or not, she exploded last time. She may sneak away at a nice price with Gozzip Girl and Maram taking money for sure.
Nice way to begin what should be a fantastic meeting. |
#4
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If Gozzip Girl falls down, Pull Dancer is the one I'd look to also.
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#5
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__________________
Still trying to outsmart me, aren't you, mule-skinner? You want me to think that you don't want me to go down there, but the subtle truth is you really don't want me to go down there! |
#6
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1.6? |
#7
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#8
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Even with the added weight of PG'85 .... Maragh will have a tougher time making it to Erie by 8 PM than winning that race.
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#9
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I think it's 2 horse race, Swift Temper is decent. |
#10
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Handicapping the 6-8 pick 3 now. I know this might sound crazy, but Im not sure the Gozzip Girl is much better then the 6,7 especially on a soft turf. Maram has some foot issues right now and might scratch, I need to hope she runs, because IMO she's simply not as good as the top 3 and will be the second choice. I might just end all my pick 3's with 6,7 and hope my read is correct.
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#11
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She is so incredibly much better than any of the horses in here I think she might be one of the easiest winners of the meet. NT |
#12
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#13
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If you take her American Oaks out, shes slightly better then these and anyone can improve and beat her. Matz filly was BEST in the American Oaks, if she wins then what? Im not sold on her, Im either right or wrong. Im going to trust my gut, and use the 6,7.... As long as Maram runs, I am assured value. |
#14
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Miss World also might be ok. I might even use her instead of Shared Account.
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#16
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I'm not sure I could take a super short price on Gozzip Girl. Even though she is the most likely winner it's not like the American Oaks is turning out to be a super key race (same could be said for the Sands Point).
I also think the pace situation is interesting as Ramon could easily send Shared Account and suddenly Gozzip Girl is stuck having to close/rate off a slow pace on a very wet surface. Plus, Miss World and Pull Dancer are improving and if someone stubs a toe Keertana always runs her race. |
#17
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#18
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Edit: I really an editor. Last edited by the_fat_man : 09-11-2009 at 10:57 PM. |
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For all of the Desormeaux bashing that goes on (and I'm definitely one of the bashers) the guy is tremendous when it comes to assessing a situation and riding his horse like they're the best in the race. Case in point was the Sands Point when he capitalized on the paceless setup and took the race to them. He's very, very good when it comes to that stuff.
I can't imagine how anyone who has watched replays of races could like Miss World, Pull Dancer, or Shared Account, all of whom had incredibly perfect trips in their last races. They might have upside but upside, to me, comes into play when you have a vulnerable favorite. Gozzip Girl is not vulnerable at all. NT |
#20
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If Kent takes her to the front and backs down the pace she'll probably win for fun. My thought was the way to play against her is to think he pulls back and tries to emulate that American Oaks kick in the stretch.
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