some future prices

Dunbar · #1 11-04-2009, 09:34 PM

TheGreek.com has odds up for all the Friday BC races. Here are the odds for the Distaff:

601 Careless Jewel +225
602 Life Is Sweet +805
603 Mushka +1415
604 Lethal Heat +2050
605 Proviso +725
606 Cocoa Beach +805
607 Music Note +265
608 Rainbow View +685

--Dunbar

Dunbar · #2 11-05-2009, 09:20 PM

Future prices for the Classic (at TheGreek.com)

1401 Mine That Bird +2250
1402 Colonel John +2250
1403 Summer Bird +725
1404 Zenyatta +285
1405 Twice Over +1615
1406 Richards Kid +2050
1407 Gio Ponti +1615
1408 Einstein +2050
1409 Girolamo +3250
1410 Rip Van Winkle +200
1411 Regal Ransom +2050
1412 Quality Road +1225
1413 Awesome Gem +5250

These odds have a takeout of 15.4%. If, like me, you think Zenyatta should be closer to 10-1 or 15-1 than 2.85-1, several of the other horses look very attractive.

--Dunbar

johnny pinwheel · #3 11-06-2009, 07:53 AM

dunbar, i agree. the classic is a good betting event. anyone that handicaps knows that zenyattas going to be overbet. thats the great thing about the BC. the pools are huge and bloated with money of people that bet with their heart. sure , i'd like to see it, but, i would not bet her as a fave in a race like this. shes had "walk overs" all season now she going to beat horses like these, not holding my breath on that one. its like she has to win to vindicate her schedule, good luck!

Dunbar · #4 11-06-2009, 10:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by johnny pinwheel

dunbar, i agree. the classic is a good betting event. anyone that handicaps knows that zenyattas going to be overbet. thats the great thing about the BC. the pools are huge and bloated with money of people that bet with their heart. sure , i'd like to see it, but, i would not bet her as a fave in a race like this. shes had "walk overs" all season now she going to beat horses like these, not holding my breath on that one. its like she has to win to vindicate her schedule, good luck!

Exactly. She may be competetive with these horses, but she does not deserve to be favored over them. Rip Van Winkle should be favored, and after that it would be hard (for me) to distinguish among Col John, Summer Bird, Einstein, Richard's Kid, Quality Road, Twice Over, and Zenyatta.

I think it's a very good bet-against opportunity.

--Dunbar