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Old 11-21-2009, 07:43 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 11/21: Aqueduct (6th-9th); Churchill (7th-10th)

Weekday money tree continued to bear fruit Friday as I was able to negotiate the late Churchill quad for $388. Winners paid $10, $12, $15 and $7, but 'felt' chalky. Added some exotic flavor with Most Likely 2nd choice Cielo Classic in the 8th keying a $100 tri and $275 super. It's been a very solid week of play with $276 in P4 investments returning $1,567. Hope you've been playing along and doing well.

The huge Thanksgiving Weekend of racing looms ahead, but Aqueduct and Churchill look like good targets today. Good luck to Twin Spires Contest players today. Thanks again to all for the warm birthday wishes Friday. It was a really nice day for me...


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Very tricky group with little to grab hold of. Note the <6f distance here which favors inside speed. May need to use at least 6 to get through opening leg of quad, and suggest watching board for any glaring clues, if possible, before sending in ticket..

Most Likely: #1 Make History 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Citizen's Arrest 8-1 WON
Next Best: #6 Forward Hatch 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Monsignor 8-1 7th


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 My Man Lars 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Thou Swell 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 National Kid 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Picou 8-1 4th


8th: 65th Discovery H. (G3),

Most Likely: #5 Gone Astray 1-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Birdrun 5-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Haynesfield 5-2 WON


9th: MSW, 3+, 1m-T (Super)

Most Likely: #2 Academy Run 1-1 WON
Best Value: #3 Avenging 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Fearless 6-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Straight to It 8-1 5th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-6-7-8-9
7: 2-4-6-8-9-10
8: 5
9: 2

6x6x1x1 = 36 x $2 = $72



CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Jackpot Joanie 2-1 WON
Best Value: #3 Heaven's Grace 8-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Toll 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Rendition 8-1 4th


8th: Bet On Sunshine, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Custom for Carlos 2-1 WON
Best Value: #3 Celtic Innis 8-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Grand Traverse 6-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Accredit 3-1 2nd


9th: 34th Cardinal (G3), F&M-3+, 9f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 You Go West Girl 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #3 Acoma 5-2 WON
Next Best: #5 Long Approach 12-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Social Queen 15-1 6th


10th: ALW/N2X, 3+, 6f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #2 Warrior's Reward 4-5 2nd
Best Value: #4 Inkado 10-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Escrow 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 B Z Warrior 5-1 9th
High 5 Play: #8 Posse Cat 12-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-[7]
8: 2-3-[7]
9: 1-2-3-5-6-7-8-9
10: [2]

2x3x8x1 = $48

Press with [X]: 1x1x8x1 = 8 x $3 = $24

Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 11-22-2009 at 04:35 AM.
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Old 11-21-2009, 11:17 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

AQU SCR/CHG'S:
http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/AQU-changes.asp


Track: FAST
Turf: SOFT
Turf Races: 7, 9 ( 4 - OFF TURF )


7TH

1 Classic Campaign Early
1A Free Country Early
2B Brady Baby Early
3 Sheila's Magic Early
7 Stevil Early
11 Theconfidenceman Early
12 Forever My Friend Early
13 Malibu Moonshine Early
14 Reflect Times (JPN) Early


8TH

6 Precursor Early


9TH

11 Count Catamount Early
12 Tigresco Early
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 11-21-2009, 11:24 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

CD SCR/CHG'S:
http://www.churchilldowns.com/racing...rogram-changes



RACE 7 - LATE PICK 4 BEGINS (50-CENT MINIMUM WAGER)

NO CHANGES


RACE 8 - $60,000 Bet On Sunshine

NO CHANGES


RACE 9 - 36th running of the $100,000-added Cardinal Handicap (Grade III)

Medication Change #1 You Go West Girl - Races with Adjunct Bleeder Medication


RACE 10 - SUPER HI-5 (NO CARRYOVER)

SCRATCH #10 Western Prospector
SCRATCH #11 Stan the Tap Man
AE #13 Flavor will run
AE #14 Mythical Pegasus will run
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #4  
Old 11-21-2009, 02:59 PM
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tigerfan tigerfan is offline
Tropical Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 262
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept

6th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Very tricky group ..

Most Likely: #1 Make History 5-1
Best Value: #7 Citizen's Arrest 8-1
Next Best: #6 Forward Hatch 4-1
Super Add: #9 Monsignor 8-1
Tricky for everyone but SB. Another day, another $200+ tri. Thanks, Steve!
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